Cctv news Recently, with the theme of "improving the emergency response ability and keeping the bottom line of safety and stability", the second class of the 65th Middle School of the Party School of Zhengzhou Municipal Committee held a student forum on how to improve the emergency response ability of young and middle-aged cadres. During the activity, 15 students’ representatives exchanged speeches, and Deng Yunqi, director of the cadre planning office of the Organization Department of Zhengzhou Municipal Committee, made a summary comment.

　　At the forum, all the students spoke from different perspectives and fields closely around the theme, combining their work practice and learning experience. Students communicate from the practical level, explain their views from the industry field, express their views from the perspective of "learning from practice", and solve the problem of emergency response ability of young and middle-aged cadres with "understanding thinking".

　　The atmosphere at the forum was warm, and "flash" suggestions emerged one after another. The speeches included both theoretical explanations and case analysis. There are both problems and countermeasures; There are both experiences and lessons. Through this forum, the students exchanged ideas, enlightened their wisdom, tested the learning effect, and embodied the purpose of applying what they have learned to promote learning.

　　Deng Yunqi fully affirmed this student forum. He believes that the forum is well-prepared, well-organized, and has a strong atmosphere. All the students have made in-depth thinking based on their own job responsibilities and professional fields, and made speeches from different dimensions and perspectives. He expressed the hope that everyone will cherish the learning platform of the party school, take everything and every activity seriously, calm down, think deeply, discuss and communicate, improve their ability in all directions, lay a solid foundation for future work, and live up to the trust and cultivation of the organization.

　　Text: Ren Zeping Xiong Chai Zhou Zhe of Evergrande Research Institute.

　　Intern Zhou Xinyi and others contributed to this article.

　　guide reading

　　In July 2018, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party put forward the requirement of "six stabilities" to do a good job in economic work, putting "stable employment" in the first place. In 2019, the Government Work Report put the employment priority policy at the macro-policy level for the first time, and asked higher vocational colleges to expand enrollment by 1 million. In May, the the State Council Employment Leading Group was established for the first time, which showed that the central government attached great importance to employment. What is the current employment situation in China?

　　abstract

　　There are limitations or distortions in judging the employment situation only by official unemployment rate and other data. 1) The registered unemployment rate in cities and towns depends on the unemployed taking the initiative to register with the social and social departments, and it is only for the non-agricultural population. The data fluctuates slightly, and it fell to 3.61% at the end of the second quarter of 2019, which is not related to the economic trend. 2) The urban survey unemployment rate was officially announced from the beginning of 2018, and it continued to be higher than 5% in 2019 and 5.1% in June. However, the survey sample of 85,000 urban households only accounts for 0.03% of the urban employment in China, and the sampling rate is only half of 0.07% in the United States. Moreover, it is not representative of migrant workers and the sampling frame is aging. 3) The recruitment rate depends on the fact that job seekers and employers voluntarily register with local public employment service agencies, and the data shows a long-term upward trend, with limited reference value. In the second quarter of 2019, it was 1.22, both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter. 4) To judge the employment situation, we need not only employment quantity indicators such as unemployment rate, but also employment quality indicators such as average working hours, salary growth rate and part-time job ratio, but there are limited indicators to measure employment quality at present.

　　Other employment data reflect the current real employment pressure. 1) The number of new jobs in cities and towns decreased by 2% year-on-year in the first half of this year, and the growth rate of the number of people receiving unemployment benefits and re-employment was not optimistic. In the first half of 2019, there were only 7.47 million new jobs in cities and towns, a year-on-year decrease of 2.0%, and the target completion rate dropped to 67.0%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points compared with the first half of last year. In the first quarter of 2019, the year-on-year growth rate of the number of people receiving unemployment insurance benefits has increased for five consecutive quarters. From January to May 2019, the number of unemployed people in cities and towns re-employed decreased by 9.1%, and the number of people with employment difficulties decreased by 4.2%. 2) Both manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI employee indices tend to decline. In June 2019, the manufacturing PMI employee index fell to 46.9%, the lowest since March 2009; Non-manufacturing PMI employees index fell to 48.2%, falling for two consecutive months. 3) The CIER index of Renmin University and Zhilian recruitment is still at a low level in the second quarter. The CIER index is the ratio of recruitment demand to the number of applicants on the Zhaopin recruitment website, which was 1.89 in the second quarter of 2019, although it rose slightly year-on-year, it was still at a low level. In terms of regions, the CIER indices in the eastern, central, western and northeastern regions in the second quarter of 2019 were 1.18, 1.14, 0.92 and 0.66, respectively, which all declined year-on-year, and the eastern region experienced the largest decline; In terms of cities, the CIER indices of first-tier, new-tier, second-tier and third-tier cities are 0.60, 0.94, 1.18 and 1.25 respectively.Second-and third-tier cities saw the biggest decline. 4) In the first half of 2019, the search volume of job-related keywords in Baidu Index surged. The search volume of Baidu for keywords such as "looking for a job", "recruitment", "recruitment information" and "unemployment benefits" in the past 90 days increased by 482%, 492%, 80% and 122% respectively.

　　The economic downturn will further put pressure on the job market. 1) The current economic and financial situation is grim. In the second quarter of 2019, the GDP growth rate dropped to a new low of 6.2%, 0.2 percentage points lower than that in the first quarter. Moreover, the impact of the escalation of trade friction in May and the intensive introduction of real estate financing tightening policies has not yet appeared. Recently, leading economic indicators have declined, such as real estate sales, land purchase and funding sources, PMI orders and PMI export orders. Moreover, the economic and financial structure is deteriorating. For example, the proportion of medium and long-term loans of enterprises has declined, while the proportion of short-term loans and short-term financing has increased; PPI goes down, and corporate profits decline. Although the continuous reduction of labor supply will alleviate the employment pressure, the economic slowdown will lead to a further slowdown in labor demand and further pressure on the job market, although large-scale unemployment is unlikely. 2) From the perspective of industry, the employment in manufacturing industry is mainly affected by the downturn in exports and the decline in profits of PPI-declining enterprises. The construction industry is affected by the limited space for infrastructure recovery and the decline in real estate investment, and the follow-up is not optimistic; According to Zhaopin’s recruitment data, the recruitment demand in the financial industry decreased by 39.7% and 37.0% in the first and second quarters respectively, and the Internet/e-commerce decreased by 22.5% and 13.6% respectively. From the perspective of key groups, the scale of college graduates continues to hit a new high, the growth rate of migrant workers slows down but their age is aging, the scale of "4050" personnel rises, and the employment pressure is greater. 3) Policy suggestions. First, further vigorously optimize the business environment, promote the implementation of tax reduction and fee reduction, and smooth financing channels.Give full play to the role of enterprises as the main body of stable employment, especially private and small and medium-sized enterprises. Private and small and medium-sized enterprises are the main body to attract employment, but the business environment has deteriorated in the past few years, including being injured to some extent in the past deleveraging, capacity reduction and environmental protection storms, and the continued downturn in exports has increased their survival pressure, coupled with poor financing channels and liquidity stratification. Although the government has issued a number of policies to bail out private and small and medium-sized enterprises, the effect of the policies remains to be seen. Second, increase the opening up of the service industry, especially the financial, educational, medical and telecommunications industries; Accelerate the construction of metropolitan areas and urban agglomerations with big cities as the core, increase the density and frequency of economically active population to promote agglomeration, and give full play to the role of service industry in absorbing employment. The third is to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, not only to prevent excessive financial bubble, but also to prevent active puncture from causing major financial risks. Fourth, solidly promote the large-scale enrollment expansion of higher vocational colleges, implement large-scale vocational skills training, and promote the transformation of labor skills to meet the needs of industrial transformation and upgrading.

　　Risk warning: the official unemployment rate is limited or distorted, and the policy fluctuates greatly.

　　catalogue

　　1 there are limitations in judging the employment situation simply by official unemployment rate and other data.

　　2 Other employment data reflect the current employment pressure.

　　2.1 New jobs in cities and towns decreased by 2% year-on-year in the first half of the year, and the growth rate of unemployment benefits and re-employment was not optimistic.

　　2.2 manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI employees’ indices are trending downward.

　　2.3 Renmin University and Zhilian recruitment CIER index is still at a low level in the second quarter.

　　2.4 Baidu Index job search related keywords surged in the first half of the year.

　　The economic downturn will further put pressure on the job market, but the possibility of mass unemployment is very low.

　　3.1 The current economic and financial situation is grim, and the labor market will be further under pressure.

　　3.2 The employment pressure of some industries and key groups will be further highlighted.

　　3.3 Policy recommendations

　　main body

　　1 there are limitations in judging the employment situation simply by official unemployment rate and other data.

　　What is employment? According to the definition of the International Labour Organization, people who have worked for at least one hour in order to obtain labor remuneration or business income during the reference week of the survey, as well as people who are on vacation or temporarily suspended from work but are not working, are regarded as employed persons. Therefore, to judge the employment situation, we need to observe not only the overall unemployment rate, the unemployment rate by age, but also the ratio of job vacancies and job seekers, the average working time of employed people, the salary growth rate and the part-time employment ratio. Although China has improved its employment statistics, there are still obvious problems, which are difficult to fully reflect the real employment situation.

　　1) The registered unemployment rate in cities and towns depends on the unemployed taking the initiative to register with the social and social departments, and it is only for the non-agricultural population. The data fluctuates slightly, and it fell to 3.61% in the second quarter of 2019, which is not related to the economic trend. In the early 1980s, China began to establish a registered unemployment system, which was called "unemployment statistics" at that time, and it was changed to "registered unemployment" in 1994. Urban registered unemployment rate = urban registered unemployed/(urban employees+urban registered unemployed). Registered unemployed people in cities and towns are unemployed people who are non-agricultural registered permanent residence, aged over 16 to retirement age, have the ability to work, are unemployed and ask for employment, and voluntarily register with public employment service agencies. Obviously, the registered unemployed do not include migrant workers and other permanent residents, so it is difficult to reflect the real unemployment situation. According to the data, the registered unemployment rate in cities and towns remained stable between 4.0% and 4.3% for a long time from 2002 to 2016, and continued to drop to 3.61% in June 2019 from 2017, which is obviously inconsistent with the economic growth trend.

　　2) The survey unemployment rate has been officially announced since the beginning of 2018, but the survey sample of 85,000 urban families only accounts for about 0.03% of the urban employment in China, and the sampling rate is only half of 0.07% in the United States, and the sample rotation problem leads to insufficient representation of migrant workers. In view of the above-mentioned problems of registered unemployment rate in cities and towns, the National Bureau of Statistics officially implemented the national labor force sampling survey twice a year in 2005, established the monthly labor force sampling survey system in 31 big cities in 2009, and expanded it to 65 cities in 2013. In 2016, the monthly labor force survey covered all prefecture-level cities (prefectures and leagues) and sampled 120,000 families in China, and began to publish the unemployment rate data of urban surveys continuously in early 2018. Obviously different from the registered unemployment rate in cities and towns, the survey unemployment rate in cities and towns in China is based on the statistics of permanent residents, and adopts the unemployment standard of the International Labour Organization, that is, people aged 16 or above who have no job but have been actively looking for a job in the past three months.

　　From the trend point of view, the survey unemployment rate in China and 31 big cities are weakly related to the trend of GDP, and the unemployment rate and GDP growth rate in 31 big cities with relatively long data period basically keep changing in the same direction. Judging from the urban survey unemployment rate, it has been fluctuating in the range of 4.8%-5.3% since January 2018, and it has been higher than 5% since January 2019 and 5.1% in June 2019. Because the urban survey unemployment rate is close to the natural unemployment rate of about 5%, the official believes that there is no periodic unemployment. From a year-on-year perspective, the urban survey unemployment rate basically continued to rise from -0.2 percentage points in January 2018 to 0.3 percentage points in June 2019.

　　There are still three problems in China’s urban survey unemployment rate statistics: First, the sample is insufficient. Among the 120,000 households in the monthly labor force survey, there are about 85,000 households (household units) in cities and towns, accounting for only 0.03% of the urban employment in China. In the United States, the survey sample in the unemployment rate statistics is 60,000 households, accounting for about 0.07% of the non-agricultural employment in the United States. Second, the representativeness of the foreign resident population may be insufficient. In the survey, in order to avoid sample aging, the National Bureau of Statistics adopts sample rotation, that is, it withdraws from the survey after completing four surveys within two years, which means that investigators must find relatively stable families, and permanent migrants with strong mobility may be excluded. Moreover, when the employment situation is not good, some migrant workers return to the countryside, which makes the urban unemployment rate lower in data. Third, the sampling frame is aging. According to the local statistics department, the data of the sixth population census in 2010 is used as the primary sampling frame. Although it is updated every year, it is only a simple expansion in practice, and the newly-built community still cannot enter the sampling frame, which leads to the serious aging of the existing survey samples and poor sample representativeness.

　　3) The recruitment rate depends on job seekers and employers voluntarily going to local public employment service agencies to register, and the data shows a long-term upward trend, with limited reference value. Multiplication ratio = job vacancy/number of job seekers. The data comes from public employment service agencies in 100 cities in Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security. Urban and rural workers who are of working age, have the ability to work and have employment requirements can apply for public employment services in the public employment service institutions of their permanent residence with relevant documents such as resident identity cards; Employers can consult with public employment service agencies and apply for employment services. Since the fourth quarter of 2010, the recruitment ratio has exceeded 1 and basically increased, and it has dropped to 1.22 in the second quarter of 2019, down by 0.05 and 0.01 percentage points respectively from the previous quarter and the same period last year. The relationship between the recruitment ratio and GDP change is weak, mainly because it relies on public employment service agencies at all levels to collect data by registration, and does not include new job-seeking channels such as campus recruitment, online recruitment and employment agency, which has narrow coverage and limited reference significance. As a reference, the US Department of Labor released JOLTS job vacancy data, which comes from the monthly survey of job vacancies and labor turnover rate, which surveys employers about the employment situation of enterprises, the number of vacant positions, recruitment and dismissal, etc. The survey sample covers about 16,000 American enterprises, covering most areas of the American economy. JOLT job vacancies in the United States have a wider coverage, which can better reflect the employment situation and positively change with the year-on-year growth rate of GDP.

　　4) Judging the employment situation requires not only employment quantity indicators such as unemployment rate, but also employment quality indicators such as average working hours, salary growth rate and part-time job ratio. However, there are limited indicators to measure employment quality at present, and there are also sampling problems. Enterprises rarely lay off employees immediately at the beginning of the bad economic situation, but generally choose to reduce wages and working hours first. In this case, the unemployment rate in urban surveys will not rise, but the quality of employment has begun to deteriorate. According to the monthly labor force survey of the National Bureau of Statistics, in June 2019, the average weekly working hours of employed people nationwide were 45.7 hours, 0.6 hours lower than that of the previous month and 0.2 hours lower than that of the same period of last year. However, there is also the problem of insufficient representation of migrant workers due to insufficient samples and sampling deviation, and there are no more employment indicators for reference. In contrast, the US Department of Labor publishes monthly indicators such as average weekly working hours, average weekly salary, full-time and part-time employment, which are comprehensive and can comprehensively reflect the quality of employment.

　　2 Other employment data reflect the current employment pressure.

　　Considering the limitations of the aforementioned employment indicators, we try to infer the current employment situation from other official and unofficial data.

　　2.1 New jobs in cities and towns decreased by 2% year-on-year in the first half of the year, and the growth rate of unemployment benefits and re-employment was not optimistic.

　　In the first half of 2019, the number of newly employed people in cities and towns was only 7.47 million, down 2.0% year-on-year, and the target completion rate dropped to 67.0%, down 1.4 percentage points from the first half of last year. In 2003, a statistical system was established for new employment in cities and towns, and the number of new employees in cities and towns = the cumulative number of new employees in cities and towns during the reporting period-the number of natural attrition. The statistics of new employment in cities and towns are not restricted by household registration, and include various forms of employment with a wide caliber, but it cannot be ruled out that someone frequently changes jobs many times in a year. In July 2018, the cumulative year-on-year growth rate of the number of newly employed urban workers reached a stage high of 2.9%, and then the trend declined. At the beginning of 2019, the cumulative number of newly employed urban workers began to grow negatively, reaching 7.47 million in June, a year-on-year decrease of 2.0%. The target completion rate was 67.0%, which was 1.4 percentage points lower than the 68.4% in January-June 2018.

　　In the first quarter of 2019, the year-on-year growth rate of the number of people receiving unemployment insurance increased for five consecutive quarters. The number of unemployed people in cities and towns re-employed decreased by 9.1% from January to May 2019, and the number of people with employment difficulties decreased by 4.2%. The recipients of unemployment insurance benefits are employees of urban enterprises and institutions. In the first quarter of 2019, the number of people receiving unemployment insurance benefits was 2.27 million, up 1.8% from the previous month and the same period of last year. Among them, the growth rate of the previous month turned from negative to positive, and the year-on-year growth rate increased for five consecutive quarters. The number of unemployed people re-employed in cities and towns was 2.09 million from January to May 2019, a sharp decrease of 9.1% year-on-year, and the year-on-year growth rate dropped sharply for two consecutive months. In September 2018, the year-on-year growth rate of people with employment difficulties reached a high of 16.2% in recent years, and then began to decline rapidly. In February 2019, the year-on-year growth rate began to turn negative. From January to May 2019, the number of people with employment difficulties was 690,000, a year-on-year decrease of 4.2%.

　　2.2 manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI employees’ indices are trending downward.

　　The PMI employee index reflects the views of enterprises on the scale of current employees compared with the previous period. In June 2019, the manufacturing PMI employee index fell to 46.9%, the lowest since March 2009; Non-manufacturing PMI employees index fell to 48.2%. PMI employee index is one of five sub-indices of PMI, among which manufacturing PMI started to be counted in 2005, with a sample of 3,000 enterprises; Non-manufacturing PMI began to be counted in 2007, targeting 4,000 sample enterprises. 50% is the critical point of expansion and contraction, and a PMI employee index of less than 50% means that more business leaders believe that the number of production and operation personnel is lower than that of a month ago.

　　Judging from the manufacturing PMI employee index, the manufacturing PMI employee index has been below 50% for 27 consecutive months since March 2017; In June 2019, it fell to 46.9%, falling for three consecutive months, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month and 2.1 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, the PMI employee index of large, medium and small enterprises in manufacturing industry began to decline in the second half of 2018, and it was 47.0%, 45.9% and 48.3% respectively in June 2019, down 2.0, 2.4 and 1.9 percentage points respectively year-on-year. Medium-sized enterprises not only had a lower absolute level, but also had a larger decline.

　　Judging from the non-manufacturing PMI employee index, the non-manufacturing PMI employee index began to remain below 50% in September 2018, and fell to 48.2% in June 2019, falling for two consecutive months, down 0.1 and 0.7 percentage points respectively from the previous month and the same period last year. Among them, the construction industry PMI employee index began to decline rapidly from 54.1% in March 2019, and fell to 50.4% in June 2019. The service industry PMI employee index continued to be below 50% after July 2014, and began to decline rapidly from 49.7% in August 2018, and fell to 47.9% in June 2019.

　　Similarly, in the questionnaire survey of urban depositors of the central bank, the employment perception index and employment expectation index in the second quarter of 2019 were 44.2% and 52.3%, respectively, down 1.6 and 1.5 percentage points from the previous month. The questionnaire survey of urban depositors is a quarterly survey system established by the People’s Bank of China since 1999. Every quarter, 20,000 depositors are selected from 50 cities (large, medium and small) in China as the survey objects, and the employment feeling index and employment expectation index reflect the views of depositors on employment. From the first quarter to the second quarter of 2018, both the employment feeling index and the employment expectation index stopped rising and declined in fluctuations. In the second quarter of 2019, the employment experience index was 44.2%, down 1.6 and 0.8 percentage points respectively from the previous quarter and the same period of last year; The employment expectation index was 52.3%, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous month and flat year-on-year. In the second quarter of 2019, the proportion of people who chose "good situation and easy employment" in the employment experience index was 15.5%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month and flat year-on-year.

　　2.3 Renmin University and Zhilian recruitment CIER index is still at a low level in the second quarter.

　　The CIER index is the ratio of recruitment demand to the number of applicants on the Zhaopin recruitment website, which was 1.89 in the second quarter of 2019, although it rose slightly year-on-year, it was still at a low level. CIER index is a China employment market prosperity index jointly launched by the Employment Research Institute of Renmin University of China and Zhaopin. It is obtained by analyzing the data of Zhaopin, and it is a good quality and long-term data in the current unofficial employment statistics. CIER index = total recruitment demand/total number of applicants, with 1 as the watershed. When it is greater than 1, it indicates that the demand for labor in the job market is more than the supply of labor in the market, the competition in the job market tends to ease, and the job market is prosperous. In the second quarter of 2019, the CIER index was 1.89, up 0.21 and 0.01 respectively from the previous quarter and the same period last year. From the perspective of the chain, the increase was mainly due to seasonal factors. After entering the second quarter, the demand for employment increased significantly, and the number of people in need increased by 15.7%. After the peak of rework and job-hopping in the Spring Festival, the growth of job-seeking supply slowed down, and the number of job applicants increased by 2.7%. From a year-on-year perspective, the CIER index in the second quarter of 2019 remained at a low level since the second quarter of 2015.

　　In terms of regions, the CIER indices in the eastern, central, western and northeastern regions in the second quarter of 2019 were 1.18, 1.14, 0.92 and 0.66, respectively, which all declined year-on-year, and the eastern region experienced the largest decline; In terms of cities, the CIER indices of first-tier, new-tier, second-tier and third-tier cities are 0.60, 0.94, 1.18 and 1.25, respectively, and the second-tier and third-tier cities have the largest decline; In terms of the nature of enterprises, the CIER index of private enterprises and state-owned enterprises in the second quarter of 2019 was 0.94 and 0.52, respectively, showing a downward trend year-on-year. According to the explanation of the Employment Research Institute of Renmin University of China, the average value of the subentry CIER index is not equal to the overall CIER index, mainly because there may be multiple deliveries by job seekers, and the sum of the subentry job seekers is greater than the overall number of job seekers. In the second quarter of 2019, the CIER indices of the eastern, central, western and northeastern regions were 1.18, 1.14, 0.92 and 0.66, respectively, with the highest employment boom in the eastern region and the lowest in the northeastern region; Compared with the same period of last year, it decreased by 0.28, 0.19, 0.19 and 0.07 respectively, and the employment situation in the east deteriorated the fastest. In the second quarter of 2019, the CIER indices of first-tier, new-tier, second-tier and third-tier cities were 0.60, 0.94, 1.18 and 1.25, respectively, down by 0.11, 0.03, 0.34 and 0.31 percentage points year-on-year, with the second-tier and third-tier cities having the largest decline.In the second quarter of 2019, the CIER indexes of private enterprises, joint ventures, joint-stock enterprises, state-owned enterprises, listed companies and wholly foreign-owned enterprises were 0.94, 0.82, 0.70, 0.52, 0.73 and 0.69, respectively, down by 0.04, 0.05, 0.15, 0.35, 0.29 and 0.23 respectively.

　　2.4 Baidu Index job search related keywords surged in the first half of the year.

　　Baidu index can reflect the active search demand of netizens, and the search volume of keywords such as "looking for a job", "recruitment", "recruitment information" and "unemployment benefits" increased by 482%, 492%, 80% and 122? %, the employment pressure is prominent, and the employment situation is more severe than in previous years. Baidu Index takes the search volume of netizens in Baidu as the data base and keywords as the statistical object, and calculates the weighted sum of the search frequency of each keyword in Baidu web search, which can reflect the active search demand of netizens. 1) "Looking for a job": The Baidu search index of "looking for a job" keywords in 2015-2018 all rose to the peak of around 40,000 after the Spring Festival, with obvious periodicity. In February, April and June, 2019, the search index of "looking for a job" reached the peak of 274,000, 314,000 and 114,000 respectively, which fluctuated violently. As of July 27, 2019, the overall daily average increased by 482% year-on-year. 2) "Recruitment": The Baidu search index of the word "recruitment" largely represents the search will of job seekers. The index has soared since May 2019, rising from less than 10,000 to the current peak of 161,000, up 492% year-on-year in the past 90 days, reflecting the increased difficulty in finding a job and the prominent employment pressure. 3) "Recruitment Information": "Recruitment Information" can be used to represent the job-seeking needs of blue-collar workers. The peak after the Spring Festival in 2019 is nearly 30 times that of 2015-2018, and the unemployment problem of blue-collar and migrant workers is stronger than in previous years. Since July,The index experienced the second small peak in the year, and the daily average in the past 90 days increased by 80% year-on-year. 4) "Conditions for receiving unemployment benefits": The search volume of "Conditions for receiving unemployment benefits" has soared since March 2019, and the daily average value of the search index from March to July is about 2.3 times that of the same period of last year, with a year-on-year increase of 122% in the past 90 days, which means that the number of unemployed people has increased and the employment situation has deteriorated. Therefore, the current employment situation is more severe than in previous years, and the number of job seekers seeking unemployment protection and switching to various recruitment and recruitment websites has increased significantly.

　　The economic downturn will further put pressure on the job market, but the possibility of mass unemployment is very low.

　　3.1 The current economic and financial situation is grim, and the labor market will be further under pressure.

　　The current economic and financial situation is grim. In the second quarter of 2019, the GDP growth rate dropped to a new low of 6.2%, down 0.2 percentage points from the first quarter. Moreover, the impact of the trade war escalated again in May and the intensive introduction of real estate financing tightening policies has not yet appeared. Recently, leading economic indicators have declined, such as real estate sales, land purchase and funding sources, PMI orders and PMI export orders. Moreover, the economic and financial structure is deteriorating. For example, the proportion of medium and long-term loans of enterprises has declined, while the proportion of short-term loans and short-term financing has increased; PPI goes down, and corporate profits decline. In the second quarter of 2019, the real growth rate of GDP was 6.2%. After a short period of stabilization in the first quarter, it was 0.2 percentage points lower than that in the fourth quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year, the lowest point since the quarterly accounting of GDP was implemented in 1992, and it will go down again. The main reasons for the economic downturn are: the short-term inventory recovery is suppressed by the second half of the financial leverage cycle, the export effect of Sino-US trade friction appears, and the real estate investment inflection point appears due to the continuous tightening of real estate regulation. Although the issuance of special bonds has made great efforts, the land revenue has declined, and it is expected that the rebound of infrastructure will be limited, making it difficult to hedge the downward trend of the economy. From the data in June, although economic indicators such as consumption and investment have stabilized, they are still in a downturn, and leading indicators have declined. Among them, the PMI new order index was 49.6% in June, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; Real estate sales in June was -2.2% year-on-year, a decrease of 3.3 percentage points from the previous month, but it was still negative.And recently, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments have comprehensively tightened major financing channels such as bank loans, trusts and overseas debts, and the real estate financing situation in the second half of the year is grim; The medium-and long-term loans of newly-increased enterprises were 375.3 billion yuan in June, a year-on-year decrease of 24.8 billion yuan. The proportion of medium-and long-term loans of enterprises fluctuated at a low level, the loan structure deteriorated, and financial institutions’ distrust of enterprises increased. (See the report of Evergrande Research Institute in July, Born in Worry-Macro Outlook in 2019, Fully Estimating the Severity of the Current Economic and Financial Situation-Fully Interpreting the Economic and Financial Data in June).

　　Although the continuous reduction of labor supply will alleviate the employment pressure, the economic slowdown will lead to a further slowdown in labor demand and further pressure on the job market, but it is unlikely that large-scale unemployment will occur. The working-age population aged 15-59 in China reached a peak of 940 million in 2011, and decreased by 4.29 million annually from 2012 to 2018, with a total decrease of 30.06 million. The labor participation rate (economically active population/population aged 15 -64) gradually decreased to 76.2% in 2018, and the scale of labor supply continued to decrease. The economically active population in China reached a peak of 806.94 million in 2016, and the total number of employed people reached a peak of 776.4 million in 2017. From the perspective of the relationship between economic growth and employment, due to the larger economy and the transformation of economic structure to service industry, although the number of new urban jobs created by unit GDP growth has increased significantly, the downward economic growth has led to a significant slowdown in the growth rate of urban employees and non-agricultural employees. In 2011-2018, the number of newly created urban jobs increased from 1.29 million to 2.06 million, and the number of newly created urban jobs increased from 1.29 million to 1.49 million, which was basically stable in the last three years. The number of newly created non-agricultural jobs decreased from 1.74 million to 960,000, the growth rate of urban employees decreased from 3.54% to 2.25%, and the growth rate of non-agricultural employees decreased from 3.43% to 1.11%. However, as long as the policy is properly handled and no major systemic risks occur, the downside of subsequent economic growth is relatively limited.The possibility of mass unemployment is very low.

　　3.2 The employment pressure of some industries and key groups will be further highlighted.

　　In terms of industries, the employment in manufacturing industry is mainly affected by the downturn in exports and the decline in profits of PPI companies. The construction industry is affected by the limited space for infrastructure recovery and the decline in real estate investment, and the follow-up is not optimistic; According to Zhaopin’s recruitment data, the recruitment demand in the financial industry decreased by 39.7% and 37.0% in the first and second quarters respectively, and the Internet/e-commerce decreased by 22.5% and 13.6% respectively. 1) manufacturing industry. In 2017, the employment of manufacturing industry accounted for 26.3% of the employment of urban non-private units. Affected by the global economic downturn and Sino-US economic and trade frictions, exports continued to be sluggish. In the first half of 2019, exports were 0.1% year-on-year, down 9.8 percentage points from 2018; Among them, exports to the United States were -8.1% year-on-year, down 19.4 percentage points from the whole year of 2018. According to estimates, a 25% tariff on $250 billion of goods will affect the employment of 1.99 million people; If a 25% tariff is imposed on $550 billion of goods, it will affect the employment of 4.2 million people, especially the employment of manufacturing industries such as electromechanical and machinery, and the industrial chain is shifting from China to Viet Nam and other places. From the perspective of corporate profits, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by -2.4% year-on-year from January to June 2019, down by 19.6 percentage points compared with the same period of last year. The decline in corporate profits will suppress manufacturing employment. 2) Construction industry. In 2017, the employment in construction industry accounted for 15.0% and 18.9% of the employees in urban non-private units and the number of migrant workers respectively.From January to June, the investment in infrastructure (including water, electricity and gas) was 3.0% year-on-year, and it is expected to continue to rise with the support of the new regulations on special debts; However, the land revenue has fallen sharply, tax reduction and fee reduction have made local governments’ finances tight, and the continuation of local hidden debts has been strictly controlled, and there is limited room for infrastructure investment to rebound. From January to June, the growth rate of investment in real estate development dropped to 10.8%. Weak sales, negative growth in land purchase, and constrained financing of housing enterprises mean that real estate investment will continue to decline slowly in the future. 3) Financial industry and IT industry. According to Zhaopin’s recruitment data, the recruitment demand in the financial industry decreased by 39.7% and 37.0% respectively in the first and second quarters of 2019, especially in the situation of strict financial supervision. Internet/e-commerce recruitment demand decreased by 22.5% and 13.6% respectively. In addition, the demand for real estate/construction/building materials/engineering and computer software in the second quarter decreased by 15.9% and 13.9% respectively.

　　From the perspective of key groups, the scale of college graduates continues to hit a new high, the growth rate of migrant workers slows down but their age is aging, the scale of "4050" personnel rises, and the employment pressure is greater. In terms of college graduates, the number of college graduates (including graduate students) climbed from 880,000 in 1999 to 8.34 million in 2019. Considering that the enrollment of ordinary colleges and universities (including graduate students) increased from 8.03 million to 8.77 million in 2015-2018, the scale of college graduates will continue to reach a new high in the next few years. Because some students’ skills are difficult to adapt to the employment requirements, the pressure of "difficult employment" continues to rise. In terms of migrant workers, the scale of migrant workers increased from 240 million in 2010 to 290 million in 2018, and the growth rate slowed down from 5.4% to 0.6%. However, migrant workers with junior high school education or below are more aging and face greater unemployment risks in the economic downturn. From 2008 to 2018, the proportion of migrant workers over 50 years old rose from 11.4% to 22.4%, and the proportion of 41-50 years old rose from 18.6% to 25.5%. In terms of "4050" personnel, the scale and proportion of "4050" personnel have basically continued to rise, and they are old, with low academic qualifications and single skills, and are prone to long-term unemployment. Among them, from 2003 to 2018, the proportion of women aged 40-59 to women aged 15-59 increased from 38.0% to 47.5%, and the proportion of men aged 50-59 to men aged 15-59 increased from 16.4% to 22.3%.Together, the proportion of the working-age population aged 15-59 rose from 27.1% to 34.6%.

　　3.3 Policy recommendations

　　Generally speaking, in the face of the complicated and severe internal and external situations such as Sino-US trade friction, high macro leverage ratio, increasing downward pressure on the economy, and the critical period of reform and opening up, it is necessary to strengthen countercyclical adjustment through fiscal and monetary policies, and also to maintain strategic strength to prevent flooding. The most important thing is to unswervingly promote reform and opening up, further liberalize market access, restore entrepreneurial confidence, stimulate new growth points such as new economy and service industry, and promote a virtuous circle of economic growth and employment increase. Specifically:

　　First, further vigorously optimize the business environment, promote the implementation of tax reduction and fee reduction, and smooth financing channels, so as to give full play to the role of enterprises as the main body of stable employment, especially private and small and medium-sized enterprises. Private and small and medium-sized enterprises are the main body to attract employment, but the business environment has deteriorated in the past few years, including being injured to some extent in the past deleveraging, capacity reduction and environmental protection storms, and the continued downturn in exports has increased their survival pressure, coupled with poor financing channels and liquidity stratification. Although the government has issued a number of policies to bail out private and small and medium-sized enterprises, the effect of the policies remains to be seen. Therefore, the proactive fiscal policy should continue to promote the implementation of tax reduction and fee reduction, and the more profitable enterprises are, the more they should "release water to raise fish". Monetary policy should continue to unblock the transmission mechanism from wide money to wide credit, increase the structural reform of financial supply side, and intensify efforts to solve the problems of financing difficulties and high financing for private and small and medium-sized enterprises. In addition, we should continue to vigorously promote innovation and entrepreneurship, increase entrepreneurial support, and promote employment through entrepreneurship.

　　Second, increase the opening up of the service industry, especially the financial, educational, medical and telecommunications industries; Accelerate the construction of metropolitan areas and urban agglomerations with big cities as the core, increase the density and frequency of economically active population to promote agglomeration, and give full play to the role of service industry in absorbing employment. In 2012, the number of employees in the secondary industry in China reached its peak, and then it completely relied on the tertiary industry to absorb the labor transferred from the primary industry and the secondary industry. In 2018, the proportion of employment in the primary, secondary and tertiary industries in China was 26.1%, 27.6% and 46.3% respectively. The proportion of employment in the tertiary industry was far from the average level of 74.5% in high-income economies, and there was a broad space for employment. On the one hand, it is necessary to increase the opening-up of the service industry at home and abroad, and vigorously deregulate it. At present, China’s manufacturing industry is basically open to the outside world, while its service industry is relatively low. There is still a lot of room for opening to the outside world in the fields of automobile, finance, high-end clothing, energy, architectural design, medical care, education, telecommunications, internet, press and publication, radio and television, express delivery and so on. On the other hand, the development of most service industries needs agglomeration more than industrial development. We should accelerate the construction of metropolitan areas and urban agglomerations with big cities as the core, promote the further agglomeration of industries and population, and form an industrial division system in which core cities develop high-end service industries, small and medium-sized cities develop manufacturing industries and some service industries.

　　The third is to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, not only to prevent excessive financial bubble, but also to prevent active puncture from causing major financial risks. Recently, a series of tightening policies for real estate financing have been introduced intensively, from overseas debt, trust and credit to comprehensive tightening. At present, on the one hand, it is necessary to prevent money from releasing water to stimulate the real estate bubble, on the other hand, it is also necessary to prevent active puncture from causing major financial risks. If it is punctured actively, the Sino-US trade friction will not continue. Ten crises and nine real estates, the housing market value in China is about 300 trillion yuan, the stock market is about 60 trillion yuan, and the bond market is about 70 trillion yuan. Old-fashioned seeks the country to exchange time for space, stabilize land prices and stabilize expectations, and use the time window to promote housing system reform and long-term mechanism. At the same time, normal business should be allowed to develop, and irregular business should be carried out step by step, with the front door open and the back door closed, rather than across the board. At present, it is especially necessary to support M&A financing. The merger of unfavorable assets or problematic projects between enterprises is the main force to resolve bad and financial risks, and it is impossible to rely on the state to resolve them.

　　Fourth, solidly promote the large-scale enrollment expansion of higher vocational colleges, implement large-scale vocational skills training, and promote the transformation of labor skills to meet the needs of industrial transformation and upgrading. According to the requirements of the Government Work Report of 2019 on the large-scale enrollment expansion of 1 million people in higher vocational colleges, in May, the Ministry of Education and other six departments jointly issued the Implementation Plan for the Special Work of Enrollment Expansion in Higher Vocational Colleges, emphasizing that "developing higher vocational education is a strategic move to alleviate the current employment pressure and solve the shortage of highly skilled talents", which is mainly aimed at fresh high school graduates, secondary vocational graduates, retired soldiers, laid-off workers and migrant workers. In the same month, the General Office of the State Council issued the Action Plan for Vocational Skills Upgrading (2019-2021), which further emphasized that "vocational skills training is a key measure to maintain employment stability and alleviate structural employment contradictions", and required that more than 50 million subsidized vocational skills trainings be conducted in three years, including more than 15 million in 2019.

This article first appeared on WeChat WeChat official account: Zeping Macro. The content of the article belongs to the author’s personal opinion and does not represent Hexun.com’s position. Investors should operate accordingly, at their own risk.

Special feature of 1905 film network 　 The film that will land in the Lunar New Year archives on December 29th recently held its first press conference in Beijing. Chen Kexin and Wu Junru appeared as producer and director respectively, and with the blessing of Mahua FunAge, the national expectation value of this film increased greatly.

　

I just suddenly felt something was wrong, huh? Isn’t Ceng Guoxiang the director of this film? How did it become Wu Junru’s directorial debut? Isn’t she the producer+starring? In addition, it has been rumored that the starring papi sauce is also a screenwriter of the film. How did this suddenly change people?

Papi sauce’s real name is Jiang Yilei

　

Of course, at that time, the film was also called "Sister Ling made a scene in your house", but no matter from the main lineup or the previous promotional film, it was definitely the same movie as "YaoYaoYaoLing".

　

We all have good memories. Don’t think that if we change our names, we won’t know you!

　

Here, Brother Dao just wants to ask the film side, who made this film and who made it up? After all, "YaoYaoYaoLing" is about to be released in the mainland, but the audience has to spend real money to buy tickets, so how can they have the right to know?

　

So, when did this Rashomon begin? Come on, draw a key point:

　

Some netizens found out that the words "New Works Produced by Chen Kexin and Directed by Ceng Guoxiang" were left in the synopsis column on the Douban platform of "YaoYaoling".

　

The screenshot of the watercress information of the earliest "Sister Ling makes a scene in your house" was not intercepted, but when some netizens took a screenshot the day before yesterday, the name of "Sister Ling makes a scene in your house" has changed to another name of "Yaoyaoling", and the director of the film has turned into Wu Junru, but in the synopsis, it still says "the new work directed by Ceng Guoxiang", and the screenwriter column is still papi sauce (real name is Jiang Yilei).

　

The previous Douban entry of YaoYaoLing

　

The latest entry of YaoYaoLing

　

Of course, the synopsis of Douban has been updated to the latest version, and the writers have been replaced by Zhou Yunhai, Muchun Zha and Wang Yixing.

　

Ceng Guoxiang’s studio photos exposed by various actors were always there from the beginning of filming to the end of filming.

　

Boot photo

　

Studio photo

　

Killing photos

　

Zhang Yi, the leading actor, once wrote an article in his WeChat WeChat official account, mentioning that Ceng Guoxiang was the film director. At that time, the title of Chen Kexin and Wu Junru were more clearly defined, so how could it not arouse the speculation of us "people who eat melons"?

　

On January 27th, 2017, actor Zhang Yi made it clear in his New Year message that he had devoted himself to the filming of "Sister Ling makes a scene in your house", which was produced by Chen Kexin and Wu Junru and directed by Ceng Guoxiang.

　

As the star of the film, it is impossible for Zhang Yi to sign a contract. He has been filming on the set. I still don’t know who the director is, right?

　

Love Zhang Yi, this "real hammer" has not been deleted.

　

If all this is not enough to prove that Ceng Guoxiang is the director of this film, then look at the photo carefully, and you will find the words [Director: Ceng Guoxiang] impressively in the photo.

　

Then how did Ceng Guoxiang get out?

　

Conjecture 1

　

The film style can’t be discussed properly, the director loses the dominant position in the film, and Ceng Guoxiang is forced or takes the initiative to out.

　

In April this year, before the screening of the feature film, there was a propaganda film "Sister Ling made a scene in Meng Gui Fang". At that time, the name of the director did not appear, and the positions of Chen Kexin and Wu Junru were only producer. It seems that at that time, the film has decided to abandon Ceng Guoxiang, but as for who will take over, it has not been decided yet. Of course, this is also a wild guess by Brother Dao. If it is right, it is purely a coincidence.

　

This earlier version of the promo is quite different from the first trailer recently exposed by YaoYaoYaoLing. "Ling Jie makes a scene in Meng Gui Fang" is full of Hong Kong flavor, full of Hong Kong retro style. YaoYaoLing is closer to the aesthetic habits of mainland audiences.

　

In fact, as early as April 9th this year, Ceng Guoxiang accepted a question from the 1905 Film Network at the Hong Kong Celebration. At that time, he clarified that "Sister Ling made a scene in Meng Gui Fang" was not his work, and this collaboration with Chen Kexin was just to help. Ceng Guoxiang also said that as a creator, it is most important to find the story he wants to shoot, and he prefers to shoot the story he wants to express.

　

From this point of view, it is also possible that Ceng Guoxiang lost the leading role of "Sister Ling makes a scene in your house", which led to the final style and direction of the film, which was quite different from Ceng Guoxiang’s expectation. In the end, Ceng Guoxiang could only give up the film voluntarily.

　

Conjecture 2

　

There was a help agreement before, saying, "we are logging tired", and the director changed people?

　

Two days ago, at the press conference of YaoYaoLing, Chen Kexin and Wu Junru kept silent about the beginning and end of Ceng Guoxiang out, and they shared the interesting story of shooting YaoYaoLing — — Wu Junru laughed and said that the couple had quarreled for an hour in the bathroom on the set because of the film, while Chen Kexin admitted that during the process of "supervising the work", parents often felt like protecting their children.

As for Ceng Guoxiang, in addition to publicly thanking her husband Chen Kexin for his advice, Wu Junru singled out another person who gave him a lot of help, that is, Ceng Guoxiang, a new Hong Kong director.

　

Most mainland audiences are familiar with the name Ceng Guoxiang, which should begin with the painful youth love film July and An Sheng, which was a great success in 2016. This work also helped Zhou Dongyu and Sandra win the Golden Horse Award for Best Actress, and director Ceng Guoxiang also won many awards and nominations. Chen Kexin is one of the producers of July and An Sheng. At that time, there were various reports praising Chen Kexin for taking the new director.

　

When YaoYaoLing was also called "Sister Ling made a scene in Meng Gui Fang", many media reported that Chen Kexin once again escorted the new film directed by Ceng Guoxiang.

Now, the play is finished and will be released, but Ceng Guoxiang has changed from a director to a friend to help!

　

In Ceng Guoxiang’s Weibo message, many fans who eat melons also raised the same question. Ceng Guoxiang also responded to this matter in Weibo: "We are all a family, please call me whenever you have something". When we later asked the film propagandist for proof, the other party also gave the answer of "family".

　

In the film industry, especially in Hong Kong, there are still many stories about "one family" helping each other. Take Chen Kexin, the producer of this film, as an example. When he created the film, he personally certified the Hong Kong director Liu Weiqiang to help him a lot. In the "Golden Harvest Prosperity" in the 1980s, Sammo Hung, as the eldest brother, also gave Jackie Chan and others similar assistance in the early creative stage. It can be said that the friendship of "family" can be regarded as a special "culture" passed down in this circle.

　

Only this time "YaoYaoYaoLing" is different. After all, at the beginning of shooting, the starring role of this film has been sealed, and Ceng Guoxiang is the director. However, on the eve of the release, the director changed the controlling person from the film to a passerby who helped, which is not the same as the so-called clear help between the two sides. However, it is obviously unreasonable for the film side to explain it with only one sentence: "we are logging tired".

　

The director was changed, which is nothing new in the film circle. In the early years, there were media reports that Chen Kexin replaced the original director Chen Desen, and Liu Weiqiang was the top one. However, rumors are always difficult to get a positive response from the parties, but time has proved everything. No matter what is right or wrong, the director of guillotines is Liu Weiqiang.

　

"Family" is a good word, and "family" seems to be kind to direct a movie. But today, when we pay more and more attention to intellectual property rights, even a "family" wants to know how everyone divides their work in the movie and doesn’t want to bury anyone’s talent.

　

For what reason did Ceng Guoxiang, who has been following the "Sister Ling" crew to the final stage, quit this project? Since he helped a lot, why didn’t the director Wu Junru+Ceng Guoxiang? How much did Wu Junru shoot and how much did Ceng Guoxiang help?

　

Brother Dao thinks that the film has an obligation to explain to the public that, after all, the audience is the one who ultimately spends money, and the director is also an important indicator for the audience to enter the cinema.

　

Finally, I also wish the YaoYaoLing, which will be released in the mainland on December 29th, a big sale.

Baidu "Cambodia Bar" is involved in gambling recruitment information.

With "spinach" and "Xiaobai" as code words, Baidu’s post bars are accused of spreading overseas casino recruitment information, recruiting casino promoters, and tricking Chinese people into participating in online gambling in Cambodia and other countries.

A few days ago, some netizens reported to www.thepaper.cn/consumersComplaint.jsp, a complaint platform of The Paper Quality Report, that there were a lot of casino recruitment information in the "Cambodian Bar" of Baidu Post Bar.

According to the investigation in www.thepaper.cn, The Paper, there are a lot of gambling information in Baidu Post Bar, such as Phnom Penh Bar, West Port Bar and Work Bar in Cambodia, with the code words of "recruit push, white", "new handicap, interested private chat", "coordinate west port and Bobei".

The Paper reporters made unannounced visits as applicants. Some posters claiming to work in Cambodian gambling companies said that the personnel they recruited in Baidu Post Bar were mainly engaged in "promotion" work, that is, chatting online, mostly in the name of talking about male and female friends, to trick domestic people into participating in online gambling.

"The more he (the gambler) recharges, the higher your commission. If this thing doesn’t win, it will only lose. If you come, you will be trapped." The poster said.

On the afternoon of May 10th, a staff member of Baidu’s docking domestic media told The Paper that he needed to give feedback to the relevant departments about posting gambling information on the Post Bar, and make a clear investigation before replying.

Before the press release, The Paper checked Baidu’s "Cambodian Bar" again, and there were still a large number of recruitment information released by gaming companies; Baidu has not yet responded to this.

Xing Xin, a lawyer, believes that Baidu Post Bar, as a network operator, should immediately stop transmitting such information, prevent information from spreading, and keep records and report to the relevant authorities.

In addition, lawyer Lou Jing said that if Chinese citizens gather to gamble and open casinos in the surrounding areas outside our country to attract domestic citizens as the main source of tourists, which constitutes a crime of gambling, they can be investigated for criminal responsibility in accordance with the provisions of the Criminal Law.

Baidu "Cambodia Bar" is involved in gambling recruitment information.

Baidu "Cambodia Bar" has become the hardest hit area of "spinach"

On May 8, a netizen in Guangdong reported to The Paper that Baidu’s "Cambodia Bar" published a large number of recruitment information of gaming companies, and this kind of recruitment lured Chinese personnel to Cambodia to engage in gambling-related work by means of "selling heads and getting commissions".

The netizen reported that most of the gambling companies in Cambodia are run by Chinese, and he is currently detained by the company and cannot return to China. However, The Paper contacted the netizen many times, and his phone has been unable to get through.

The Paper noted that Baidu’s "Cambodia Bar" has more than 280,000 followers, and at present there are more than 4 million posts in the post bar. Most of the published contents are "A large number of recruitment and promotion", "Welcome to consult, solve all problems and concerns for all of you, and hope to help all of you who come to Cambodia", "Coordinate Westport, which is developing into a big company, and welcomes all kinds of suspected gambling recruitment information such as Xiaobai and job-hopping personnel".

At the same time, in this post bar, posters often use argots such as "spinach" to replace words such as "gambling". A similar situation exists in Baidu Post Bar, such as Phnom Penh Bar in Cambodia, West Port Bar in Cambodia and Work Bar in Cambodia.

The ID address of the poster in the post bar involved shows that most of them come from domestic provinces and cities. Some posters claim that they are already employees of Cambodian gaming companies. They mainly publish content including recruitment information and working experience in Cambodia.

On May 9th, The Paper released job information as a "job seeker", and received nearly 100 replies in one day, mainly including "Add me to know", "How to contact you", "Group mode, resources provided by the company" and so on.

Through the micro-signal left in the post, a self-proclaimed "Baisha" who works for a gaming company in Cambodia told The Paper that his company holds a legal gaming license from the local government in Cambodia, and the gaming games are all lottery tickets that can be seen in China, such as "Fucai 3D, 11-choice 5, Chongqing Time Lottery", and players can make bets through the website platform.

According to the company recruitment brochure provided by Baisha, the company is now recruiting a large number of talents who can "skillfully operate computers and type more than 45 words per minute" in front desk, online customer service, promotion, personnel and other positions, with the basic salary and job requirements of each position.

In the next few days, according to posters such as "Baisha", in fact, they released such recruitment information, mainly by recruiting "promoters" to lure Chinese people to participate in online gambling in Cambodia. The more gamblers lose, the higher the commission of promoters.

Baidu "Cambodia Bar" is involved in gambling recruitment information.

"Promoters" lure people to gamble in the name of talking about boyfriends and girlfriends.

Another poster, "Meng Jie", also claimed to work for a gaming company in the western port area of Cambodia. He told The Paper that his main job is to "attract people and recruit people", and other positions in the company, such as "promotion", "just sit there and chat every day and fool others into gambling".

According to Meng Jie, the objects of "fudge" are divided into two categories. One is that Cambodian gambling companies directly give employees "resources". These "resources" are generally domestic gambling addicts; "Resources" means that gambling companies spend money to buy information from China and then "wash it out".

For some gambling companies without "resources", "promoters" are needed to attract people.

"To put it bluntly, the girl just wants to fool the man. You are his girlfriend, so that he is willing to register with us and gamble. The more he recharges, the higher your commission. If you don’t win this thing, you will only lose." Meng Jie said.

"Male promotion" usually pretends to be a woman to "attract people" and "entice people by sending some messages, and finally make them willing to gamble." Meng Jie said that these gambling companies in Cambodia all require employees not to participate in gambling, and once they are found, they will be fired.

Meng Jie said that he worked in a gambling company in Cambodia for half a year and pulled more than 30 people from China. Usually, the recruitment information is mainly posted on the Internet. The air tickets and accommodation expenses of candidates are paid by Cambodian gaming companies, and there are also special people to pick them up after arriving in Cambodia.

However, as soon as new applicants arrive in Cambodia, their passports will be taken away. "Because the company is afraid that you won’t be able to do it for a long time, the air tickets and accommodation fees paid in the early stage hit Shui Piao."

Bai Sha said that three months ago, he saw the recruitment information in Baidu Cambodia Bar. Because he "had debts at home, there was no way to decide to go to Cambodia". He said that he was caught in a trap. "Work is not as good as expected. You are caught in a trap. People who come to work here are forced to do it. Most of them are Chinese. After all, the boss is also Chinese, doing domestic business."

Baisha said that there are many small companies under his gaming company group, and a small company is called a handicap. There are more than a dozen handicaps under the group. There are 200 to 300 people in his handicap, and the employees are basically Chinese. Now the group’s handicap is still expanding, and they need to recruit a large number of people from China for the company.

Lawyer: Opening a casino abroad to attract Chinese citizens also constitutes a gambling crime.

On the afternoon of May 10th, a staff member of Baidu Company docking domestic media told The Paper that it was not clear about the gambling recruitment posted by Post Bar, and he needed to give feedback to relevant departments first, and then reply after investigation.

The Paper learned that opening a casino in Cambodia requires an application from the local government, and only after obtaining a business license issued by the Cambodian government can the casino legally exist.

Xing Xin, a lawyer of Hunan Jinzhou Law Firm, believes that according to the relevant provisions of China’s Cyber Security Law, Baidu Post Bar, as a network operator, should strengthen the management of information released by its users. If it finds information prohibited by laws and administrative regulations from being released or transmitted, it should immediately stop transmitting the information, take measures such as elimination, prevent information from spreading, save relevant records, and report to the relevant competent authorities.

In addition, regarding the casinos opened by Chinese people in Cambodia, Xing Xin believes that according to the Interpretation of the Supreme People’s Court and the Supreme People’s Procuratorate on Several Issues Concerning the Specific Application of Laws in Handling Gambling Criminal Cases, if Chinese citizens gather to gamble and open casinos in the surrounding areas outside our country in order to attract Chinese citizens as the main source of tourists, which constitutes a gambling crime, they can be investigated for criminal responsibility in accordance with the provisions of the Criminal Law and be sentenced to fixed-term imprisonment of not more than three years, criminal detention control or fines.

Lou Jing, a lawyer of Beijing Yingke Law Firm, said that such casinos were set up abroad to avoid the criminal accountability of China public security organs and the application of China’s criminal laws, but China citizens can still commit crimes if they commit acts prohibited by China’s criminal law abroad.

Lou Jing believes that according to the first paragraph of Article 7 of the Criminal Law, "People’s Republic of China (PRC) citizens who commit crimes stipulated in this law outside the territory of People’s Republic of China (PRC) shall be subject to this law, but if the maximum penalty stipulated in this law is fixed-term imprisonment of not more than three years, they may not be investigated."

Lou Jing said that if most of the gamblers who bet on the websites of Cambodian gambling companies are Chinese, and the settlement and circulation of gambling funds also occur in China, and some criminal acts are committed in China, they can be regarded as criminal acts according to China’s criminal law.

On the afternoon of May 15th, The Paper browsed the Baidu Post Bar again and found that there were still a lot of gambling-related recruitment information. Before the deadline for publication, The Paper repeatedly called the switchboard of Baidu Company, but the line was busy. Baidu has not yet responded to this.

Case: Opening a casino overseas to attract Chinese people to gamble was sentenced to three years and six months.

On May 15th, The Paper searched the non-litigation network with the keywords of "opening a casino overseas" and "online gambling", and found that there were five related criminal proceedings, including four judgments in the first instance and one ruling in the second instance.

In the five judgments, all the defendants were sentenced to fixed-term imprisonment ranging from one year to three years and six months, and fined a certain amount for opening a casino abroad for the purpose of making profits, soliciting and organizing China citizens to the scene or conducting online gambling.

A judgment of the People’s Court of pinghu city, Zhejiang Province on September 19, 2018 shows that the defendant Liu and others organized domestic people to gamble abroad and settle their gambling funds in China by opening casinos in Laos and other places, or used the Internet and mobile communication terminals to transmit gambling videos and data and organize gambling activities. The accumulated gambling funds were more than 67 million yuan, which is a serious case. His behavior has constituted the crime of opening casinos. The court of first instance made a ruling after trial and sentenced Liu to three years in prison.

In addition, a judgment of the People’s Court of Taoshan District, qitaihe city, Heilongjiang Province on December 29, 2016 also shows that when the public security organs investigated the Maizayang Maida Company in Myanmar in handling the mega-cross-border online gambling case, they found that Chen Mou and Liang Moumou from Maoming, Guangdong Province had successively opened new Asian and new international casinos in Maizayang, Myanmar.

After trial, the court held that the defendant Liu and others opened casinos abroad mainly to attract People’s Republic of China (PRC) citizens as the main customers, and used the Internet and mobile communication terminals to transmit gambling videos, organized domestic citizens to make dividends in online gambling casinos or serve as managers, or helped casinos collect and turnover gambling funds, or accepted bets from mainly domestic gamblers to earn illegal profits.

The Taoshan District Court of qitaihe city made a ruling in accordance with the relevant provisions of the Criminal Law. The defendants Chen Mou, Liang Moumou and Liu Moumou were convicted of opening a casino, sentenced to fixed-term imprisonment ranging from three years to one year, and fined RMB 100,000 to 3 million, with suspended execution.

Director:

Screenwriter: Chris Fedak/Laurits Munch-Peterson/

Pedersen, Las Andreas

Starring:/Yahya Abdul-Maidin/

Type: Action/Crime

Release date: April 8, 2022

Special feature of 1905 film network This week’s excellent film "Ambulance on the run" is directed by michael bay, a series of film directors. The film is a collection of scenes that make adrenaline soar, such as explosion, collision and chase, and presents many shocking high-energy action scenes for the audience.

Michael bay’s Ultimate Artistic Pursuit

Michael bay, the director of the film Ambulance, is affectionately called "Explosion Shell" by fans because of the spectacular explosion scenes in his films.

In 1996, the film directed by michael bay showed the audience that an action film can also have the delicacy of an art film. Later, he filmed five films in the Transformers series over 10 years, in which the image of a flesh-and-blood autobot successfully captured the hearts of countless fans.

This week’s excellent film "The Ambulance" was adapted from the Danish film of the same name in 2005. However, michael bay, the director, has an extreme artistic pursuit of his own creation, and basically did not refer to the original film during the filming process. He hopes to continue to stick to his own style in the film and integrate his own personal label creation.

In fact, as early as 2001, in the film directed by director michael bay, he spent seven months preparing with the whole crew to restore the real historical scene, creating a Guinness World Record of 350 explosions in seven seconds.

And in the film Ambulance, he used the new technology for the first time — — The first angle of view was used to shoot through the machine, and Alex Vanoff, the world champion of the 19-year-old drone racing alliance, was boldly used to capture the unique angle and lens with more impact, which brought a unique visual feast to the audience.

reach out to each other

In addition to bringing personal labels into film creation, michael bay also completed a "two-way trip" with two leading actors, Jake Gyllenhaal and Yahya Abdul-Maidin.

Before participating in Ambulance, Jake Gyllenhaal always appeared in various films as the leading actor in literary films full of melancholy temperament.

In the 2004 movie, he was a qualified boyfriend who rescued the heroine alone.

In 2010, he was also a salesman who bravely pursued love in the film.

However, in the film Ambulance, Jake Gyllenhaal’s image has undergone a great reversal, and he plays the role of a vicious villain. Jake Gyllenhaal said that it was for michael bay that he was willing to subvert the image and appear in this film.

Compared with Jack Gyllenhaal, the actor Yahya Abdul-Maidin is much lower-key. In the movie, he is the villain David Hyde. In the movie "Matrix Restart", he is the new player of the classic character Memphis.

In addition, Jake Gyllenhaal also worked as a photographer in the film. Due to the small and crowded space in the ambulance, photographers can’t get on the bus to shoot. Therefore, Yahya said that if everyone saw a charming and mysterious him, it must have come from Jake Gyllenhaal.

Let’s walk into this week’s excellent film "Desperate Ambulance" to feel this thrilling desperate chase.

This program is live.

In this issue of CCTV-6 movie channel ""on Saturday, the actor will take you into the movie "Desperate Ambulance" as a recommender. In the Sunday film review edition, Tian Long, the film review host, invited director Lin Tao, film scholar Fan Xiaoqing and actor Wan Guopeng to interpret the highlights of this action film.

[Welcome to this program]

CCTV-6 movie channel "Good film has a date"

Saturday, July 15th

Saturday Promotion Edition 22:22

Ambulance at 22:31

Sunday, July 16th

Ambulance at 13:29

　Sunday Film Review Edition 15:41

　　On the evening of November 15, a picture of a finless porpoise suspected of being illegally caught was circulated on several online platforms. On the 16th, the Agriculture and Rural Bureau of Xiangyin County, Yueyang City, Hunan Province sent a letter of illegal fishing clue transfer to the Xiangyin County Public Security Bureau. The Paper learned that the public security organs in Yueyang are trying their best to verify this clue.

　　The finless porpoise is suspected of being illegally caught. Image source: Internet

　　According to the clue transfer letter from the Agriculture and Rural Bureau of Xiangyin County, the source of the clue is Xia Wei, deputy director of the Management Committee of Henglinghu Provincial Nature Reserve, which is located in Xiangyin.

　　Xia Wei told The Paper that after 11pm on the 15th, he received a screenshot forwarded by a friend. That’s a photo of a finless porpoise being caught ashore. In the photo, the finless porpoise has a fishing tackle on his lips, and a man stands behind the finless porpoise. As a staff member of a nature reserve, he immediately became nervous and asked his friends about the source of the pictures. A friend said that he also saw it from a group of fishing friends. The earliest time for this picture to appear in the group was 10: 40 that day. Some screenshots chat that this is "caught by loach".

　　In Xia Wei’s view, the finless porpoise is very smart. Generally, it only eats half a catty to five catties of fish, so it is unlikely to be lured by loach. But he is still worried that this picture reflects the real situation, and "did you catch it yourself (Xiangyin)?" "If it is, it must be dealt with seriously." He thought to himself.

　　The next morning, before going to work, Xia Wei reflected the picture clues to the Xiangyin County Agriculture and Rural Bureau.

　　The transfer letter from the Agriculture and Rural Bureau of Xiangyin County showed that at 6: 54 am on the 16th, the bureau received a screenshot of the illegal fishing of finless porpoise released by Xia Wei who forwarded it to the relevant personnel of "Xiangjiang Baiting Actual Combat Group". The finless porpoise is a national first-class protected animal, and fishing and catching finless porpoise are suspected to constitute a crime.

　　"Our bureau attaches great importance to this, but this photo reflects a small amount of information, and netizens have different opinions on the location of the incident. Therefore, we handed over the clues to the local public security organs at the first time, requesting to trace the key information such as the place where the incident occurred, the shooting time, and the specific personnel reflected in the photo to check whether the incident occurred in our county, so as to carry out the next step. " Tao Feng of Xiangyin Agriculture and Rural Affairs Bureau told The Paper, and then there was a clue transfer letter that netizens saw.

　　The Ministry of Public Security has paid attention to

　　On the afternoon of November 16th, the relevant person in charge of the Propaganda Department of Xiangyin County Committee told The Paper that the public security organ of Xiangyin County attached great importance to it after receiving the clue. Because the information reflected in the picture was extremely limited, it was not certain that it was in Xiangyin, nor could it be sure of the authenticity and source of the picture, so it was reported to Yueyang Public Security Bureau. At present, the public security organs of Yueyang City are fully verifying it.

　　Xia Wei introduced that after reporting the screenshot information of the finless porpoise, he got a video of the finless porpoise being caught for about 10 seconds.

　　In the video, a man asked in Mandarin, "What kind of fish is this? What fish? " Some women answered a few words in dialect. Xia Wei feels that this is not Xiangyin dialect, and he is not sure whether the finless porpoise in the video and the picture is the same, but both pictures have iron grilles on the ground. The finless porpoise in the picture is black and wet, and it should have just landed, but the finless porpoise in the video has turned white under the action of light and is obviously dead.

　　Daming He, a volunteer of Yueyang Dongdongting Ecological Protection Association, told The Paper that he also saw the pictures posted on the Internet. Daming He was a fisherman who had been dealing with finless porpoises for many years. He was not sure whether the finless porpoises were caught ashore, but he introduced that some people in other places used "anchor hooks" to hook the finless porpoises — — Anchoring fish is a prohibited fishing method. This year, the Yangtze River basin has been severely dry, the lakes of Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake have shrunk, the movable area of finless porpoises has also shrunk a lot, and there are more and more anglers. "Even if you catch a finless porpoise, you should release it immediately. Don’t they know that the finless porpoise is a panda in the water? " Daming He said.

Recently, we learned that Xingtu brand will soon launch a brand-new model, Xingjiyuan ET. Based on Chery’s new E0X platform, this car is positioned as a medium and large SUV, offering two power options: pure electric and extended range. The design of Xingjiyuan ET is fashionable and atmospheric, showing the unique charm of the brand. The front of the car adopts a simple and avant-garde design, and the LED penetrating light strip is combined with the light language below to create a scientific and technological visual effect. The side of the car body adopts streamlined roof curve and waistline, with large rims, showing movement and momentum. The shape of the rear is round and full, and the penetrating taillight group contains a large number of LED beads, which makes the effect exquisite and moving when lit.

Entering the car, Star Age ET adopted the design concept of "Welcome Home" super comfortable home to create a livable interior environment. High-end environmental protection materials such as marble slate, real wood decoration and Microfiber are used in interior design. The center console is equipped with a 15.6-inch 2.5K central control large screen, which is very eye-catching. In addition, the car is also equipped with a smart home voice system, including a variety of smart home scenes such as car home interconnection, baby mode, pet mode and karaoke mode, which brings more convenience and comfort to passengers. The center console is also equipped with an electric sliding instrument console and a "star bar", which increases the flexibility of the interior space.

Star Era ET provides pure electric and extended range power systems. The pure electric version is equipped with single motor or double motor, which has excellent maximum power and torque performance and outstanding acceleration performance. The extended-range model is equipped with a 1.5T turbocharged engine and a plug-in hybrid system, which takes into account both power and endurance. Whether it is pure electric or extended-range version, Star Era ET can meet consumers’ demand for power and battery life.

For Xingtu brand, the launch of Star Era ET will further enrich the brand’s product line and meet the needs of different consumers. As a medium and large SUV, Xingjiyuan ET has performed well in design, interior configuration and power system, showing the innovation and strength of Xingtu brand. The launch of this model will further enhance the competitiveness of Xingtu brand in the market and bring more attention and recognition to the brand.

Generally speaking, as a brand-new model of Xingtu brand, Xingjiyuan ET will have a positive impact on the brand with its stylish appearance, comfortable and livable interior and excellent dynamic performance. It will further consolidate the position of Xingtu brand in the market and attract more consumers’ attention and choice. The launch of Star Era ET will inject new vitality into the development of Star Way brand and lay a solid foundation for its future development.

In 2018 and 2019, the key words of Ford Motor Company could not be avoided. But ask yourself, how did Ford go into decline?

After seeing the following complaint from the owner of Fujie, Xiao Bian is convinced that it is closely related to the poor product quality.

Recently, Xiao Bian learned that a complaint from a car owner in Fujie showed that in just two years from July 2016 to the present, the car has been on the road of maintenance, and the problem has not been repaired so far. The car owner also revealed all the bad things from buying a car to the present.

Full of "16 sins":

1. I bought a car in July 2016, but the new car failed to get a flat tire in January due to the problem of Goodyear tire groove, and the 4s manufacturer’s claim was fruitless.

2. The daughter-in-law drove the baby to stop at the school gate, and the sudden brake system failed, and the flameout was restarted.

3. A month later, the instrument engine fault light came on, and the 4s shop checked that it was a problem with the rear oxygen sensor, so the claim was handled.

4. Driving at a low speed rattled the front of the car. After two inspections, there was no result. After that, I went to brake maintenance to reduce the abnormal noise. The local 4s shop said that there was no way.

5. At the beginning of 2017, when I was on a business trip, I passed the Liupanshan high-speed brake jitter and the directional body jitter. I called the 4s shop and said that it was a brake disc problem. I didn’t want to change the brake disc for a new car, so I didn’t care. After the jitter was not so obvious on the way back, I basically didn’t open it.

6. The headlights automatically light up during the day. After going to the 4s shop to check the problem of the left front headlight module, they took other headlight modules for test drive. I said it would take time to claim compensation. You will slowly claim compensation from the manufacturer.

7. Brake tubing recall.

8. The skylight leaks and is recalled.

9. In 2018, there was no high beam manufacturer to upgrade the headlights, and the 4s shop said that the headlights and claims could only be made if they were not lit again.

10. Every time I refueled, I felt that the quantity was wrong. I told the manufacturer that the 69-liter fuel tank was wrong. I went to 4s and said it was a carbon tank problem, so I claimed for compensation.

11. The engine fault light came on. I went to 4s to check that the front oxygen sensor was broken, and claimed for compensation.

12. When changing the carbon canister, I mentioned to 4s that he said that the fuel consumption was extremely high and there might be problems with the oxygen sensor. After replacing the carbon canister, my oil consumption interface was filled with oil and cleared, and the oil consumption was still 20 oil in the urban area.

(I remember running 260 to 280 kilometers for a box of oil), go to 4s and clean the throttle and nozzle as they say. When I’m done, I’ll clear it to 20, and then I’ll go to 4 S. They said there was something wrong with my spark plug and asked me to replace it.

I said, "it can be replaced. I won’t pay the money until the problem is solved. After the fuel consumption is cleared, the fuel consumption is still high. Later, the NGK (gold spark plug) I changed outside was going to return to Fujian for a long distance, but the fuel consumption was still not handled.

13. At the high speed, the cruising range can only be displayed at 520 to 550 every time after filling up with oil. Pingliang to Fujian is 2100 kilometers, and I added 5 oil returns, with a cost of about 1700.

14. On the way back to my hometown, when the speed exceeds 80, the brakes obviously feel the body shaking and the direction shaking. On the way, there are two or three times of shaking, and it feels like a rollover. At that time, the brakes were not trampled.

15. The sunroof, central control, headlights and sunroof keys are out of order. After more than a year, I forgot to handle them every time I went to the 4s shop. After all, it was a minor problem.

16. Go back to my hometown to Pingliang and refuel 1800. When I went to Ford 4s computer to check and read the data, I failed to deal with the fuel consumption problem. When I was lifting the chassis to check the engine fuel tank, the right front wheel rod was linked to an oil seal of the gearbox and leaked oil, and then I claimed for compensation. Brake jitter problem 4s claims with manufacturers are fruitless.

In addition, I took a photo when I filled it with oil, and I lost one grid of oil on the oil meter, only running 56 kilometers. It’s only 2 yuan a kilometer downtown for this fuel consumption. Since 2016, how many manufacturers have seen the problem themselves.

I replaced the new brake pads at my own expense, but they replaced the solenoid valve. The problem was still frustrated between the first and third gears. I changed the gearbox oil for 40,000 kilometers, thinking that the problem could be solved. The problem still existed, and the brake disc rattled behind me. They gave me a protective agent and had to deal with it. This is a common problem. The carbon canister is broken again, and I claim a new one, and the fuel consumption is still high.

I asked to replace the front and rear oxygen sensors, and the fuel consumption was still touching. Later, I replaced the solenoid valve of a carbon canister at my own expense, and the fuel consumption was still high. I recalled the airbag this year, and I changed it inside, and the high-pressure oil pump was also replaced with a new one. The fuel consumption is still so touching.

Ford’s advertisement is good … endless ~ it should be endless.

The fuel consumption is high. I have been repairing it for more than a year, but I can’t fix it well. Changan Ford has been ignoring it after sale. I have been asking the manufacturer’s technical engineer to come over and help me solve the problem. The 4s shop said that the fuel consumption is not a fault.　

How do you feel when you see what happened to this car owner? Still buying it?

It is said that the fuel consumption of American cars is high, but the blessing industry is too high! Besides, the quality of this car has been repaired so many times, shouldn’t it be replaced for this consumer?

[car home Shanghai Preferential Promotion Channel] brings you the latest news, and the high-profile models are currently undergoing an unprecedented promotion activity in Shanghai. It is understood that the discount rate reached an astonishing 107,100 yuan, which enabled the original high-end BMW i5 model to reach a wider range of car buyers. The starting price has been adjusted to an attractive 338,800 yuan, providing consumers with a rare opportunity to buy a car. If you are interested in BMW i5, don’t miss this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. Click "Check the car price" in the quotation form to get higher preferential treatment!

As an innovative luxury electric car, BMW i5 fully integrates the elegance and dynamism of BMW brand. In the front part, the exquisite kidney-shaped air intake grille and LED headlights are adopted, showing the perfect combination of technology and strength. The streamlined body lines are smooth, and the overall style not only retains the classic elements of BMW, but also incorporates the futuristic sense of modern electric vehicles, making the vehicles visually recognizable. This design aims to provide an excellent driving experience while leading the fashion trend of electric travel.

The body lines of BMW i5 are smooth and dynamic. Its length, width and height are 5175mm * 1900mm * 1520mm respectively, and its wheelbase reaches 3105mm, which provides a solid foundation for the interior space. The precise design of the front and rear wheel tracks ensures the driving stability, which are 1621mm and 1658mm respectively. In tyre size, the BMW i5 is equipped with 245/45 R19 tires, which not only ensures the driving grip, but also complements the rim style, and jointly shapes the dynamic appearance of the vehicle.

The interior design of BMW i5 adheres to BMW’s consistent sense of luxury and technology, and the spacious and exquisite interior space presents a very high sense of quality. A 14.9-inch large central control screen is equipped in front of the driver’s seat, which not only displays clearly and operates smoothly, but also supports voice recognition control, which is convenient for drivers to operate multimedia, navigation, telephone and air conditioning. The steering wheel is made of high-grade leather material, which provides a comfortable grip and supports electric up and down+front and rear adjustment to meet the needs of different drivers. The seat is made of imitation leather, and the main and passenger seats have four-way adjustment functions, including front and rear, backrest, height and waist support, to ensure the comfort of long-term driving. In addition, the front seats also have heating function, so drivers can enjoy warmth in cold seasons. The driver’s seat also has an electric memory function, which further enhances the convenience and personalized experience. The car is also equipped with USB/Type-C interface and wireless charging function in the front and rear rows to meet the needs of modern technological life.

The BMW i5 series is equipped with a powerful engine with a maximum power of 210kW and a torque output of 410Nm. The efficient performance of this engine not only provides a smooth driving experience, but also shows BMW’s pursuit of power and efficiency.

Generally speaking, BMW i5 has won high recognition from car home car owners for its excellent endurance performance. His practical experience confirmed the accuracy of the official endurance configuration. Low power consumption not only improved the convenience of driving, but also met his daily needs. This once again confirms BMW’s technical strength and commitment in the field of new energy vehicles, making BMW i5 a green travel partner trusted by consumers.

　　Modern industrial system is an important part of modern economic system, and building a modern industrial system is an inevitable requirement for building a new development pattern and promoting high-quality development. General Secretary of the Supreme Leader attaches great importance to the construction of modern industrial system, and clearly requires "building a modern industrial system that is self-controllable, safe, reliable and competitive". The first meeting of the 20th Central Financial and Economic Committee put forward that "accelerating the construction of a modern industrial system supported by the real economy is related to our strategic initiative in future development and international competition" and "promoting industrial intelligence, greening and integration, and building a modern industrial system with integrity, advancement and safety". In the new era and new journey, we must profoundly study and understand the relevant important expositions of the Supreme Leader General Secretary, actively promote the construction of a modern industrial system, and comprehensively promote the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation with Chinese modernization.

　　Modern industrial system is an industrial system composed of various modern industries including modern agriculture, modern industry and modern service industry, and it is a modern industrial system that meets the needs of Chinese modernization. To build a modern industrial system, we should not only follow the general law of modern industrial development, vigorously develop modern agriculture, modern industry and modern service industry, cultivate modern industrial chains and industrial clusters, and continuously promote industrial upgrading and structural optimization along the direction of intelligence, greening and integration, but also meet the essential requirements of Chinese modernization. To build a modern industrial system, we need to fully understand the basic characteristics that a modern industrial system should have, and promote effective construction practice on the basis of scientific understanding, which can be grasped from five aspects: integrity, advancement, security, coordination and inclusiveness.

　　integrity

　　The integrity of modern industrial system refers to the basic characteristics of complete categories of various industries, complete industrial chain, rich and complete product varieties and strong matching ability of parts. After the founding of New China, an independent and relatively complete industrial system and national economic system were established, which laid a material foundation for modernization. Since the reform and opening-up, China has spent decades completing the industrialization process that western developed countries have gone through for hundreds of years, creating a miracle of rapid economic development and long-term social stability, and forming the most complete and largest industrial system in the world. China has 41 industrial categories, 207 industrial categories and 666 industrial subcategories, making it the only country in the world with all the industrial categories in the United Nations industrial classification, and its manufacturing scale ranks first in the world for 13 consecutive years.

　　Large-scale industry, complete system and strong supporting capacity are conducive to the formation of economies of scale, agglomeration and scope, which is a great advantage of China’s industrial system and reflects the resilience and vitality of China’s economy. Building a modern industrial system with integrity is conducive to enhancing the security and initiative of development. At the same time, the modern industrial system with integrity is also an open system. To speed up the construction of a modern industrial system supported by the real economy, we must adhere to open cooperation and not build a car behind closed doors, which is not only in line with China’s basic national policy of opening to the outside world, but also an inevitable requirement for building an open industrial system. It is necessary to build a complete modern industrial system in the process of mutual promotion of domestic and international double circulation and high-level opening to the outside world. At present, around the construction of a modern industrial system with integrity, efforts should be made in the following aspects.

　　The first is to speed up the short board. Integrity is to maintain and enhance the advantages of complete industrial system and strong supporting ability. At present, there are still some shortcomings in some high-tech sub-industries, and there is still a gap between China and the international advanced industrial level in core basic parts and components, advanced basic technology and key basic materials. Some key links in the industrial chain supply chain are still subject to people. While consolidating traditional advantages, we should speed up the completion of these shortcomings and continuously improve the integrity of the industrial system.

　　Second, relying on the advantages of China’s super-large-scale market, we will deepen international cooperation in the industrial chain and supply chain. The low-cost comparative advantage of China’s labor force has gradually weakened, and some enterprises have begun to move to Southeast Asia and other regions, which has risks such as the relocation of industrial chain and the damage of supporting capacity of manufacturing industry. Enterprises should be encouraged to "go global", and at the same time, modern core factories should be built in China, leaving their core manufacturing capabilities at home.

　　The third is to further optimize the development environment of manufacturing industry, adhere to the real economy as the priority and build a modern industrial system supported by the real economy. Under the impact of digitalization and intellectualization, some traditional industries are facing great pressure of transformation and upgrading, and some places simply eliminate traditional industries as low-end industries through the "one size fits all" policy, which affects the completeness of China’s industrial system to some extent. While consolidating traditional advantageous fields, we should actively promote the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries through modern technological transformation, and we should not simply equate traditional industries with low-end industries and backward industries and ask them to withdraw.

　　Fourth, further improve the modern infrastructure, especially pay attention to the construction of industrial parks and industrial clusters. Constantly improve the development environment of industrial parks and industrial clusters, strengthen the technical and economic ties of various enterprises, improve the supporting capacity of industrial cooperation, and consolidate and strengthen the completeness of China’s industrial system.

　　advancement

　　The advanced nature of modern industrial system refers to the basic characteristics that the technical level of various industries in the industrial system is at the forefront, which requires the industry to adopt a large number of advanced technologies, processes, equipment and management methods, conforms to the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation trend, and generally presents the characteristics of high-end, digital, intelligent and green modern emerging technologies. To build a modern industrial system, it is necessary to continuously improve the technological advancement of the industry and ensure that the industry maintains a leading position in technology and market. We must insist that science and technology are the primary productive forces, talents are the primary resources and innovation is the primary driving force, and that innovation is the core position in the overall situation of China’s modernization. Realize high-level scientific and technological self-reliance, become the world’s major scientific center and technological innovation highland, and let innovation take root in the soil of industrial development. Focus on building a number of new growth engines and constantly shaping new development momentum and new advantages. Accelerate the construction of manufacturing power, quality power, aerospace power, transportation power, network power and digital China.

　　Since the new era, China’s scientific and technological innovation capability and the technological advanced level of industrial system have been continuously improved, basic research and original innovation have been continuously strengthened, some key core technologies have been broken through, strategic emerging industries have been continuously developed and expanded, and great achievements have been made in manned spaceflight, lunar exploration, deep-sea exploration, supercomputers, satellite navigation, quantum information, nuclear power technology, large aircraft manufacturing, artificial intelligence and biomedicine, and they have entered the ranks of innovative countries.

　　We should also see that the advanced nature of China’s overall technical level needs to be improved. From the perspective of innovation investment, although R&D investment has increased substantially in recent years, compared with developed countries, China’s cumulative R&D investment scale is still insufficient, among which basic research investment accounts for a relatively low proportion. From the perspective of R&D output, there is still a big gap in the number of patents, the coverage of technical direction and the balance in the field. Some key core technologies are subject to people and have a high degree of external dependence. On the whole, China’s original innovation ability and underlying technology development ability are still lacking, and some enterprises are in the formation stage of imitation innovation and forward design ability. Compared with the requirements of new industrialization, there is still a certain gap between the quality and efficiency of China’s manufacturing industry and the world’s manufacturing powers, and the innovation efficiency still needs to be improved. We should vigorously promote the optimization and upgrading of manufacturing industry, and constantly promote the upgrading of industrial base and the modernization of industrial chain. At present, around the construction of advanced modern industrial system, efforts should be made from the following aspects.

　　The first is to deepen the reform of the scientific research system. Constantly increase the investment in R&D funds in China, strengthen the dominant position of enterprises in scientific and technological innovation, vigorously promote entrepreneurship, comprehensively enhance the innovation ability of enterprises, cultivate more world-class enterprises with excellent products, outstanding brands, leading innovation and modern governance, and continuously expand the group of specialized and innovative enterprises. Give full play to the advantages of the new national system, strengthen basic research, increase investment in basic research, strengthen the supply of high-level independent technical elements, promote the deep integration of innovation chain’s industrial chain capital chain talent chain, strengthen demand and scene traction, build a number of national manufacturing innovation centers and pilot and application verification platforms with high quality, and build an open, collaborative and efficient common technology research and development platform. Enhance the innovation ability of key core technologies, promote key core technology research projects in the fields of new generation information technology, biotechnology, new energy and new materials, break through key common technologies and cutting-edge leading technologies, and plan brain-like intelligence, quantum information, genetic technology, future network, deep-sea aerospace development, hydrogen energy and energy storage in a forward-looking way.

　　The second is to actively explore effective investment mechanisms. Appropriately increase investment in new infrastructure construction such as information infrastructure, integration infrastructure and innovation infrastructure, especially promote the construction of major scientific and technological infrastructure, science and education infrastructure and industrial technology innovation infrastructure, and build a major scientific and technological infrastructure system with complete layout, advanced technology, efficient operation and strong support as soon as possible.

　　The third is to establish and improve the evaluation system of industrial basic capacity. Accelerate the implementation of industrial base reengineering projects for core basic components and components, advanced basic technologies and key basic materials. Focusing on the fields of large aircraft, aero-engines, gas turbines, electric energy equipment, marine and offshore equipment, industrial machinery, high-end medical equipment and modern agricultural machinery equipment, we will actively promote key technical equipment research projects and strive to break through a number of innovative and iconic equipment in key areas.

　　Fourth, vigorously develop digital technology and digital economy. Empower the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries through digital technology, take intelligent manufacturing as the main direction, and promote industrial digitalization. Through digital technology, new industries, new formats and new models will be born, and the healthy development of platform economy and sharing economy will be promoted, and digital industrialization will be promoted. In-depth implementation of intelligent manufacturing projects and special actions for digital empowerment of small and medium-sized enterprises, promoting the innovative application of artificial intelligence, accelerating the large-scale application of industrial Internet, improving network security capabilities, and building a number of internationally competitive digital industrial clusters.

　　The fifth is to accelerate the green transformation of development mode. Taking promoting carbon neutrality in peak carbon dioxide emissions as the starting point, we will build a resource-saving and environment-friendly green industrialization system. Build a green manufacturing system and service system, and increase the proportion of green and low-carbon industries in the total economic output. We will make great efforts to promote the optimization and upgrading of traditional industries such as steel, nonferrous metals, petrochemicals, chemicals and building materials, and accelerate the innovation and digital transformation of low-carbon processes in the industrial field. Cooperate to promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction, greening and growth, and promote ecological priority, economical and intensive, green and low-carbon development. Pay close attention to tackling key problems of green and low-carbon technologies, develop green and low-carbon industries, and build a modern green and low-carbon energy system with new energy as the main body and a modern industrial system with green manufacturing as the main body with the energy revolution and green manufacturing as the breakthrough.

　　security

　　The security of modern industrial system is the basic characteristic of ensuring the independent control, safety and reliability of industrial system under the premise of coordinating industrial development and industrial safety, coordinating open development and economic security. To build a safe modern industrial system, we should strengthen our sense of hardship, adhere to the bottom line thinking, and achieve the goal of "controllability" and "industrial safety" through "autonomy". From the perspective of industrial chain, the independent control of industrial system means that it has strong control over the key links of industrial chain supply chain, and has control and influence over all links, subjects and elements in the chain to ensure the smooth operation of industrial chain supply chain and ensure basic security in special periods. This involves not only the supply of physical assets such as raw materials, spare parts, production equipment and mechanical equipment, but also the supply of intangible assets such as technology, software and intellectual property rights.

　　In the past few decades, the global layout of the industrial chain has been based on the basic logic of improving efficiency and reducing costs, looking for the best production plan all over the world. At present, the world’s great changes in the past century have accelerated its evolution, a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation has developed in depth, international forces have been profoundly adjusted, anti-globalization trends have risen, unilateralism and protectionism have risen markedly, world economic recovery has been weak, local conflicts have continued to ferment, global problems have intensified, and the world has entered a new period of turmoil and change. In the future, the supply chain pattern of global manufacturing industry and industrial chain will be adjusted and reshaped in the direction of regionalization, localization and digitalization. The rising industrial safety risk has become an important issue, and all countries have begun to seek to establish an independent, safe and controllable industrial system.

　　In this context, China is faced with the great challenge of how to ensure industrial safety and enhance the initiative of development. Building a modern industrial system requires coordinating development and safety, and actively exploring effective ways to effectively improve the national industrial safety level and improve the toughness of the industrial chain supply chain under the open economic system.

　　On the one hand, it is necessary to promote high-level opening to the outside world and steadily expand institutional opening such as rules, regulations, management and standards. Benchmark the international high-standard economic and trade rules such as the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement and the Digital Economy Partnership Agreement, oppose protectionism, adhere to the combination of "going out" and "bringing in", and form a strong attraction to global factor resources, a strong competitiveness in fierce international competition and a strong driving force in global resource allocation through domestic circulation, and cultivate more world-class enterprises with outstanding products, outstanding brands, leading innovation and modern governance.

　　On the other hand, we must adhere to the bottom line thinking and extreme thinking, identify the weak links of key core technologies and parts, and carry out in-depth industrial base reconstruction projects and major technical equipment research projects. Efforts will be made to tackle key core technologies in the fields of next-generation information technology, biotechnology and artificial intelligence, to achieve the first breakthrough in core technologies such as high-end chips, operating systems, new materials and major equipment, to comprehensively upgrade the industrial base and modernize the industrial chain, and to effectively promote strong chain reinforcement and chain stabilization. Actively carry out industrial competitiveness survey and industrial safety assessment in key areas, improve the industrial safety management system, especially establish an industrial chain supply chain safety management system with clear rights and responsibilities and close cooperation among multiple departments. Strengthen the guidance and coordination of industrial safety policies on the formulation and implementation of economic policies such as China’s manufacturing development planning, major science and technology projects, and anti-monopoly.

　　harmony

　　The industrial system itself is a complex economic system. This system is composed of technology, capital, labor, natural resources and other elements, and under the interaction of spatial combination and time connection, it develops into an ecological system with complex structure. The coordination of modern industrial system refers to the operating state characteristics of industrial system in the process of industrial structure evolution, such as organic combination of various production factors, high cooperation of various enterprises, effective cooperation among industries, orderly transfer of all links in industrial chain, and rational regional layout. To build a modern industrial system, we must build an institutional mechanism of efficient allocation of factors and organic coordination of industries, and then promote a high degree of collaborative coupling among industrial categories, regions, upstream and downstream links, large and medium-sized enterprises, and capital, technology and labor, so as to realize the coordinated development of the real economy, scientific and technological innovation, modern finance and human resources, and make the industrial structure show a trend of advanced and rational evolution.

　　Improving the coordination of industrial system is an important means to solve the imbalance between regional and industrial development, and it is also an important content to build a new development pattern. Without a coordinated industrial system, all links of production, distribution, circulation and consumption cannot be connected in an orderly manner, supply and demand cannot be efficiently and dynamically balanced, the domestic grand cycle cannot be unimpeded, and the domestic and international double cycles cannot effectively promote each other. Since the new era, China has promoted the simultaneous development of new industrialization, informationization, urbanization and agricultural modernization, which shows that China’s industrial structure is constantly developing to an advanced and rational level, no matter from the relationship between the output value of the three industries and the proportion of employment, the upgrading and transformation of traditional industries and the rapid development of strategic emerging industries, or from the perspective of regional coordinated development and enterprise growth process.

　　What needs to be seen is that there are still some problems in the coordination of China’s industrial system: the market-oriented docking and integration mechanism and service system of innovation chain and the industrial chain are still not perfect, and the elements and achievements of scientific and technological innovation can not serve the development of the real economy well; The supporting role of the real economy in the modern industrial system is not strong enough. The development of the real economy industry and the virtual economy industry is unbalanced, and there is a trend that the economy is "divorced from reality". The financial industry is not strong enough to serve the real economy, and there are blocking points and silting points in the capital circulation between the financial industry and the real economy industry. The construction of a unified domestic market needs to be promoted, and the problems of high trade cost and high factor flow cost are obvious. The pattern of industrial division of labor based on the functional orientation and comparative advantages of regional subjects needs to be improved, and the gap between urban and rural regional economic development is still significant. The level of industrial integration needs to be improved, the deep integration of digital technology and real economy is not enough, and the integration of modern service industry with advanced manufacturing industry and modern agriculture needs to be deepened. In order to solve these problems, it is necessary to promote the coordinated development of real economy, scientific and technological innovation, modern finance and human resources, promote the virtuous circle of science and technology, industry and finance, and improve the coordination of modern industrial system.

　　First, deepen the reform of science and technology and industrial innovation system, and constantly strengthen and improve the construction of science and technology innovation system. Innovate the transformation mechanism of scientific and technological achievements, form a complete innovation system from basic research to applied research, strive to repair the chain between technology research and industrialization, and improve the transformation rate of scientific and technological achievements.

　　The second is to deepen the reform of the education system and attach importance to cultivating knowledge-based, skilled and innovative industrial workers. Intensify efforts to cultivate compound talents in the fields of STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics) and form an institutional mechanism for the real economy to attract these high-quality talents.

　　The third is to focus on the real economy and accelerate the construction of a modern industrial system supported by the real economy. Deepen the structural reform of the financial supply side, improve the financial support innovation system, smooth the cycle of finance and the real economy, improve the institutional arrangement of medium and long-term capital supply in the real economy, innovate financial products and services that go directly to the real economy, and enhance the financing function of multi-level capital markets.

　　The fourth is to promote the deep integration of digital technology and the real economy, cultivate and expand emerging digital industries such as artificial intelligence, big data, blockchain, cloud computing and network security, and build a number of advanced manufacturing clusters with international competitiveness. Further grasp the direction of digitalization, networking and intelligence, use digital technology to carry out all-round, multi-angle and full-chain transformation of manufacturing, service and agriculture, vigorously explore the scene of digital transformation, and constantly cultivate and develop new industries, new formats and new models.

　　Fifth, vigorously promote the effective coordination of future industries, strategic emerging industries, pillar industries and traditional industries, and vigorously develop modern service industries. Promote the producer service industry to extend to specialization and high-end value chain, and strive to promote the deep integration of modern service industry with advanced manufacturing industry and modern agriculture.

　　Sixth, accelerate the construction of a unified domestic market and promote the effective flow and allocation of various industrial factors. Optimize the layout of major productive forces based on the orientation of main functional areas, promote regional coordinated development, and constantly improve the functions and layout of high-tech parks and industrial parks.

　　inclusiveness

　　The inclusiveness of modern industrial system means that the achievements of modern industrial development within the industrial system benefit all the people more fairly.

　　Technological innovation not only promotes industrial modernization, economic growth and the improvement of per capita income level, but also affects the income distribution pattern. Since 1980s, with the development of digitalization and economic globalization, the income gap in most developed countries has been widening year by year. The development of digital economy abroad has shown that the wide application of digital technology will bring impact on employment and income distribution: star enterprises occupy most of profits, data and market share; The share of labor income relative to capital factors continues to decline; The substitution of digital technology for operational skilled workers leads to the polarization trend of income distribution. In the construction of China’s modern industrial system, we should vigorously promote digital industrialization and industrial digitalization. Promote the upgrading of industrial base and the modernization of industrial chain, and promote industrial intelligence, greening and integration. Guide scientific and technological personnel to carry out responsible research and innovation and promote shared development. Specifically, we should more actively eliminate the digital divide between urban and rural areas and between different social groups, more actively promote the application of digital technology in different industries, different regions and different groups, establish a vocational skills training model suitable for new employment forms, improve the digital skills of workers, and make the digital economy dividend better benefit the public. At the same time, we must constantly improve the distribution system, adhere to the principle of distribution according to work and coexistence of various distribution methods, build a coordinated system of primary distribution, redistribution and third distribution, improve the inclusiveness of the modern industrial system through the improvement of the distribution system, and realize the modernization of common prosperity for all people.

　　(This article Source: Economic Daily Author: Huang Qunhui Ni Hongfu Author is a special researcher at the New Era Socialism with Chinese characteristics Thought Research Center, the supreme leader of China Academy of Social Sciences)