How did Bao Kemeng’s Sword and Shield Get the Beast? The Complete Collection of How to Get the Beast

There are a total of 6 beasts in Baokemeng Sword and Shield game, namely, Endless Elixir, Cangxiang, Zangmarante, attributes: Empty, Silver Companion Beast, Dream. The acquisition method of each beast is different. Xiaobian arranges the acquisition methods of six beasts in the following, hoping to help everyone.

Click to view> > > The method of obtaining the dlc whole beast of Guanzhixue < < <

Complete collection of acquisition methods for the whole beast:

Wuji Taina

Plot capture.

At the end of the plot, you will fight the infinite elimination, and throw a ball after defeating him to capture it.

Cang Xiang, Cang Ma Ran Te

Cang Xiang is defined by Bao Ke Meng: Sword; Zang Ma Ran Te is limited by Bao Ke Meng: Shield.

Both of these beasts can be obtained at the end of the plot.

You need to go back to Mugan Town and get the special ability to detect the Galer particle energy on the map in Sonia’s research institute. Follow the plot to Caolu Town Daoguan, and then follow the energy until it finally reaches the energy factory. Cangxiang (sword) and Zangmarant (shield) will both appear at the end of the second week’s plot, and you will be forced to fight with them. You can capture them after being defeated. It is recommended to use Master Ball.

Attribute: Air and Silver Companion Beasts

Attribute: The two beasts, Empty and Silver Companion Beast, will also appear in this work. After the main story of customs clearance, go to the battle tower in Gongmen city, pass left immediately after entering, and talk to the girl with the attribute: empty next to you to get the attribute: empty.

Attribute: Empty Evolution Silver Companion Beast Method:

If you want to evolve the attribute: space into a silver companion beast, you need to increase its intimacy to 220 (playing or cooking with it in the camp), and then you can evolve.

These two beasts are not as conspicuous as other beasts, so they are easy to miss, so they need special attention.

dream

Dream needs to buy the elf ball Plus (which can be purchased separately), and you can bring your dream to Bao Ke Meng: Sword/Shield by using the elf ball Plus.

However, if you have already used the elf ball Plus in "Bao Ke Meng Let’s go Pikachu/Ibrahimovic" (you have already taken the dream), you can no longer use this elf ball Plus to bring the dream into "Bao Ke Meng: Sword/Shield", and you need to buy a new elf ball Plus.

Haiyan, Zhejiang Province: Four people were arrested in the waste incineration project for attracting controversial people to gather and impact the management committee.

According to the news released by Zhejiang Haiyan County Government Information Office @ Haiyan on the 22nd, on April 12th, Zhejiang Haiyan County Government announced the site selection for building a waste incineration power plant in Xitangqiao. Since the 20th, some people in Xitangqiao Street and its surrounding areas have illegally gathered and blocked roads, causing traffic disruption. The public security organs quickly dealt with it according to law.

On the 21st, after the Haiyan county government announced that it would stop the project, people still gathered illegally. There was an impact on the management Committee building of Haiyan Economic Development Zone, smashing public property, disturbing public order, and causing injuries to police on duty and onlookers. The public security organs investigated and dealt with them according to law, and the two were criminally detained on suspicion of spreading online rumors and disturbing public order; The other two were punished by administrative detention for disturbing public order.

The site selection of waste incineration power station caused controversial people to gather several times.

According to the news of Haiyan County Government Information Office on April 20th, on the same day, some people held different opinions on the planning and site selection of Haiyan waste incineration project, and gathered at the entrance of Haiyan County Government and the intersection of Haigang Avenue, East and West Avenue, which seriously affected social public order.

At 9 o’clock in the morning, dozens of people gathered at the door of the county government because of the planning and location of the garbage incineration project. The staff of the county development zone, the county comprehensive law enforcement bureau, the county environmental protection bureau, the county housing and construction bureau, the county land and resources bureau and other relevant units received the representatives of the masses in batches, informed them of the necessity of the construction of the waste incineration project and the planning and site selection, and fully listened to their opinions and suggestions. During this period, individual personnel did not obey the dissuasion of the on-site staff, which seriously affected the social public order and was taken away from the scene by the public security organs.

At about 14 o’clock that afternoon, hundreds of people gathered at the intersection of East-West Avenue and Haigang Avenue in Haiyan Economic Development Zone, causing traffic jams. In the case that the on-site staff’s repeated persuasion is ineffective, the public security department will take some people who refuse to persuade away from the scene. As of 15: 50, the road resumed traffic.

In addition, many netizens have expressed their views through platforms such as Weibo and WeChat. @ Haiyan said, "But it is puzzling that some netizens with ulterior motives make false statements, exaggerate their words, and even misappropriate photos of other news events in other places to mislead the masses and spread rumors." @ Haiyan Publishing also reminded that when making comments on the Internet, the general public should abide by relevant laws and pay attention to the authenticity of information. "Don’t be used casually by people with ulterior motives."

Netizens pointed out that malicious grafting pictures (pictures from WeChat WeChat official account "Haiyan Release")

Netizens pointed out that malicious grafting pictures (pictures from WeChat WeChat official account "Haiyan Release")

At noon on the 21st, the Information Office of Haiyan County Government issued a notice on the waste incineration power plant project:

1. At present, the garbage incineration power plant project is still in the stage of site selection and demonstration, and construction will not start until the project has completed the legal procedures and won everyone’s understanding and support.

2. Garbage incineration power plant is an important livelihood project in our county to solve the domestic garbage disposal in our county. The construction of this project is to avoid the siege of garbage.

3. Incineration power generation is the main way of domestic waste disposal at home and abroad, and the technology is mature and reliable.

4. In the early stage of the waste incineration power plant project, the masses will be invited to participate in the whole process, fully solicit and listen to your opinions, and ensure the masses’ right to know and participate.

I hope that the masses can express their demands through legal and reasonable channels, do not take excessive actions, maintain normal social public order and jointly safeguard the stability of the overall social situation.

On the evening of the 21st, the Information Office of Haiyan County Government announced that the domestic waste incineration project had stopped after the research of the county government. Please ask the masses not to believe in rumors, not to spread rumors, not to take excessive actions, to abide by the law and consciously safeguard social order. The public security organs will investigate and deal with those who stir up trouble and disturb social order according to law. Please tell the masses to each other.

On the afternoon of the 21st, Haiyan Government Information Office announced to stop the project (image from @ Haiyan Publishing).

The Information Office of Haiyan County Government released a message in the early morning of the 22nd. On April 21st, after the Haiyan County Government announced that it would stop the project, people still gathered illegally. That night, there was an impact on the management Committee building of Haiyan Economic Development Zone, smashing public property and disturbing public order, causing injuries to police on duty and onlookers. The public security organs quickly dispatched police forces to investigate and deal with them according to law. Criminal detention of Yu Moumou and Zhou Moumou for allegedly spreading online rumors and disturbing public order; Two people, including Wang, were given administrative detention for disturbing public order. By 2200 hours, the situation had basically subsided. At present, the case is under further investigation.

图片来自@海盐发布 微博

最高领袖:把群众合理合法的利益诉求解决好

新华社21日报道,中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席最高领袖近日就做好信访工作,妥善处理信访突出问题作出重要指示,强调要综合施策,下大气力处理好信访突出问题,把群众合理合法的利益诉求解决好。

最高领袖指出,当前群众通过信访渠道反映出来的信访突出问题,既有新动向,也有老难题,但都事关群众切身利益,事关社会和谐稳定。各地各部门要高度重视,强化责任担当,综合运用法律、政策、经济、行政等手段和教育、调解、疏导等办法,把群众合理合法的利益诉求解决好。

最高领袖强调,各地各部门要加强风险研判,加强源头治理,努力将矛盾纠纷化解在基层、化解在萌芽状态,避免小问题拖成大问题,避免一般性问题演变成信访突出问题。

中共中央政治局常委、国务院总理李克强作出批示,要求有关部门有针对性地完善解决思路和措施,认真处理信访反映的突出问题,同时注意完善体制机制,努力化解矛盾,维护群众合法权益。

观察者网综合海盐政府新闻办微博、新华社等

Ezhou, Hubei Province: Adjust the loan amount of housing provident fund in stages to support group purchase of commercial housing.

  On November 18th, according to official website, Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau of Ezhou City, Hubei Province, recently, Ezhou Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau, Ezhou Natural Resources and Planning Bureau and Ezhou Housing Provident Fund Center jointly issued the Notice on Further Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in Our City.

  The notice proposes to adjust the loan amount of housing provident fund in stages. From Oct. 31, 2023 to Oct. 31, 2024, if the employee who paid the housing provident fund newly purchased ordinary self-occupied housing in Ezhou (except for business transfer), the loan amount can be increased by 20% according to the current loan amount of the employee’s family, and at the same time it does not exceed the maximum loan amount of Ezhou provident fund loan (that is, the maximum loan amount of the first family loan is 600,000 yuan, and the maximum loan amount of the second family loan is 500,000 yuan). The floating policy of loan amount and other floating policies of housing provident fund loans are not superimposed.

  At the same time, further liberalize the restrictions on household registration of provident fund loans. Employees who have paid in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River agreed in Hubei Province and the Convention on Cooperation of Housing Provident Fund Management Centers of Urban Agglomerations in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River, when applying for provident fund loans for newly purchased houses in Ezhou City, will no longer be examined whether the borrowers have Ezhou household registration, and the conditions and handling procedures for other loans in different places will remain unchanged.

  In addition, optimize the housing levy and resettlement policy. In principle, the city will no longer build new resettlement houses, and adopt monetization, room tickets, and group purchase of commercial housing.

  The "Notice" also proposes to support group purchase of commercial housing. Encourage development enterprises to give preferential purchase, support scientific research institutions, industrial parks, universities, enterprises and institutions, and concentrate on buying commercial housing to solve the housing problem of employees. Encourage all localities and enterprises to centrally arrange employee housing through group purchase of existing commercial housing. Support state-owned enterprises to buy commercial housing as affordable rental housing, talent housing and resettlement housing to solve the housing difficulties of the masses.

  The "Notice" shows that during the period from October 1, 2022 to December 31, 2023, taxpayers who sell their own houses and re-purchase houses in this city within one year after the sale of their existing houses can apply for a refund of the personal income tax paid for the sale of their existing houses according to regulations.

  In addition, optimize the criteria for determining the number of family housing loans. Bank financial institutions identify the second set of housing purchased by families with many children as the first set of housing when they purchase loans.

  The following is the full text of the policy:

  The people’s governments of all districts, the administrative committees of gedian Development Zone and Airport Economic Zone, and all relevant units:

  In order to implement the decision-making arrangements of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, timely adjust and optimize the real estate policy, support the rigid and improved housing demand of residents, stimulate the vitality of the real estate market, boost market confidence, and promote the sustained, stable and healthy development of the city’s real estate market. With the consent of the Municipal People’s Government, combined with the actual situation of our city, the relevant matters are hereby notified as follows:

  First, support residents to buy houses.During the period from October 1, 2022 to December 31, 2023, taxpayers who sell their own houses and re-purchase houses in this city within one year after the sale of their existing houses may apply for a refund of the personal income tax paid for the sale of their existing houses according to regulations.

  Second, optimize the criteria for determining the number of family housing loans.Bank financial institutions identify the second set of housing purchased by families with many children as the first set of housing when they purchase loans.

  Three, the phased adjustment of housing provident fund loan amount.From October 31, 2023 to October 31, 2024, if the employees who have paid the housing provident fund purchase ordinary self-occupied housing in our city (except for business transfer), the loan amount can be increased by 20% according to the current loan amount of the employee’s family, and at the same time it does not exceed the maximum loan amount of the provident fund loan in our city (that is, the maximum loan amount for the first family loan is 600,000 yuan, and the maximum loan amount for the second family loan is 500,000 yuan). The floating policy of loan amount and other floating policies of housing provident fund loans are not superimposed.

  Fourth, further liberalize the restrictions on household registration of provident fund loans.Within the scope of this province and the "Convention on the Cooperation of Housing Provident Fund Management Centers of Urban Agglomerations in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River", the paid employees in the urban circles in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River will no longer be examined whether the borrower has Ezhou household registration when applying for provident fund loans for newly purchased houses in this city, and other loan conditions and handling procedures in different places will remain unchanged.

  Five, optimize the housing levy and resettlement policy.In principle, the city will no longer build new resettlement houses, and adopt monetization, room tickets, and group purchase of commercial housing.

  Sixth, support the group purchase of commercial housing.Encourage development enterprises to give preferential purchase, support scientific research institutions, industrial parks, universities, enterprises and institutions, and concentrate on buying commercial housing to solve the housing problem of employees. Encourage all localities and enterprises to centrally arrange employee housing through group purchase of existing commercial housing. Support state-owned enterprises to buy commercial housing as affordable rental housing, talent housing and resettlement housing to solve the housing difficulties of the masses.

  Seven, accelerate the revitalization of the stock of land.For the stock of state-owned construction land that has been sold but has not yet been built and there is no legal dispute, after investigation and publicity, the government of the jurisdiction will recover the land according to law and rationally adjust the plan to re-sell it. Real estate projects that have been publicized and not started are allowed to adjust the housing structure and apply for the change of construction permit without changing the nature of land use and the floor area ratio. For the state-owned construction land that has been sold but not yet built or partially built, if the original commercial-residential ratio of construction land is no longer suitable for market demand, it can be adjusted according to the prescribed authority and procedures, and the land transfer fee can be paid back according to the market evaluation price.

  Eight, support real estate enterprises to bail out.Introduce incentive mechanism to improve the enthusiasm of commercial banks to issue real estate loans and meet the reasonable financing needs of real estate enterprises. On the premise of sufficient funds for the completion and delivery of the project, combined with the credit situation of the enterprise, real estate enterprises are allowed to withdraw funds beyond the supervision quota to pay for the project construction of different plots of the same company and the purchase of land in this city.

  Nine, support the construction of high-quality housing.In the planning conditions of new land transfer, we should support the construction of the fourth-generation residential buildings, promote prefabricated and energy-saving buildings, encourage residential projects to allocate spaces such as landscape balconies, appropriately increase the construction area that is not included in the floor area ratio, optimize the technical specifications such as the depth of residential balconies and the control requirements of area ratio, and promote the design innovation of new residential buildings.

  The "Notice" shall be implemented as of the date of promulgation and shall be interpreted by the Municipal Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau. Each district can formulate support policies to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market in its own jurisdiction in light of the actual situation, and relevant measures can be superimposed with this Notice.

  Note: Urban agglomerations in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River include Wuhan, Changsha, Hefei, Nanchang, Huangshi, Yueyang, Jiujiang, Huanggang, Zhuzhou, Fuzhou, Xianning, Xiangtan, Yichun, Yichang, Jingzhou, Xiaogan, Ezhou, Tianmen, Xiantao and Qianjiang.

China Unionpay Quick Pass, which is used by 400 million people, is easy to use.

  The credit card and savings card in hand can be put together to fight the landlord. However, nowadays, whether we surf the internet for passionate shopping, transfer money online, pay back credit cards, swipe the code by subway or scan the code in convenience stores, we basically rely on mobile phones. After all, mobile phones are the cyber ontology of urban workers. Every urban migrant worker who holds a large number of credit cards has suffered from insomnia, dreaminess and hair loss for a few days at the end of the month, because credit card repayment bills are pouring in, but you can never remember the repayment time. In order to reduce the burden on the life of urban workers, many mobile payment platforms have emerged in recent years, but the use process is still full of twists and turns. For example, the repayment fee of credit cards is getting more and more expensive, the bank card number needs to be photographed or manually entered, the management steps of multiple bank cards are numerous, and various preferential activities are scattered everywhere. I don’t know whether it is convenient for the life of urban workers or worse.

  Adhering to the core idea of bold doubt and careful verification, some media recently experienced the "unified mobile payment app for banking"-China Unionpay Quick Pass. After a short operation, it was found that it really provided a lot of convenience for our daily life in terms of bank card management and consumer payment. We have three core requirements for a mobile payment software! Safe, convenient and preferential. Let’s start with the most important security. China Unionpay Quick Pass APP is a mobile payment product jointly built by China UnionPay, various commercial banks and industrial parties, with 430 million users. China Unionpay Quick Pass APP, which has the status of the national payment team, has a very high security guarantee for user accounts. Secondly, it is the most troublesome convenience. China Unionpay Quick Pass APP systematically integrates the product functions according to the pain points of users in mobile payment. In the process of evaluation and use, we found that it has the following special advantages: 1. One-click card binding, cross-bank and cross-category management of 30 cards; 2. Credit card repayment of 0 handling fee, support for automatic check of hundreds of bank bills; 3. Cross-bank transfer of 0 handling fee, no need to withdraw cash when arriving at the card in real time; 4. Check the balance of multiple savings cards with one click, and the assets are clear at a glance.

  One APP can handle all bank cards.

  What is the first step to access the fast cyber mobile life? Of course, it is bound to a bank card. At present, the most common way to bind the card is to manually enter the card number or take a photo of the bank card for system identification, but both of them need to be stuck with you. If there is an emergency, such as the money in the binding card is not enough, it is often difficult to add a new card to the mobile wallet. People in other places can’t let friends break my door, rummage through everything to find out the bank card and send it to me by express. China Unionpay Quick Pass APP has added a more convenient one-button card binding function to the first two card binding methods. Even if you don’t have a bank card at hand, it doesn’t matter. You can bind the card directly through your identity information. Enter the "one-click card binding" interface, click the bank card opening bank, and after authorization, you can directly see my bank card, and you can complete the card binding through SMS verification of the reserved mobile phone number of the bank. After the binding is successful, our cards are properly arranged in the digital card bag.

  At present, China Unionpay Quick Pass APP supports one-click card binding operation of more than 100 banks, and an account can manage 30 cards across banks and categories.

  Credit card repayment fee is 0, which supports automatic checking of hundreds of bank bills.

  Every month, I have to charge a handling fee when I pay back my credit card on the third-party mobile payment platform. The moment I click the repayment button, it makes my poor wallet worse. After the credit card is bound to China Unionpay Quick Pass, the detailed repayment time and amount of the credit card held can be seen at a glance, and it also supports the automatic inquiry of bills of hundreds of banks to remind the repayment date, so as to avoid the influence of insufficient repayment on credit investigation. Once the credit card is overdue, it is really a very troublesome thing. My precious and sparse hair is finally only used for work. Touching people! China Unionpay Quick Pass paid back the credit card with a handling fee of 0, whether it was 2,000 yuan or 10,000 yuan, it was 0! Handling fee! There are even rare repayment concessions through third-party channels. For example, a newcomer can get a 10 yuan repayment coupon directly by tying a card.

  Recently, on the WeChat applet of UnionPay Welfare Society, you can also withdraw credit card repayment vouchers of up to 4,999 yuan, which can be drawn once a day! What can I say? What if I were that koi fish?

  There is 0 handling fee for inter-bank transfer, and there is no need to withdraw cash when you arrive at the card in real time.

  In addition to credit card repayment, another pain is bank card transfer. For example, I pay the rent to my landlord every quarter, and I use the card of China Merchants Bank, and the landlord asks me to transfer the money to his card of China Bank. Every time I transfer a fee, I feel that I have lost a huge sum of money. Experiencing China Unionpay Quick Pass APP, I was pleasantly surprised to find that using it to transfer money across banks is actually zero handling fee, and we can still leave a lot of money a year without a handling fee. Moreover, in the transfer interface, you will be automatically prompted for the balance of your bank card to avoid the embarrassing situation that there is not enough money in the card.

  In addition, China Unionpay Quick Pass APP can realize the real-time receipt of funds, and there is no time lag, so it will be more reassuring to use it when you need to allocate funds quickly.

  China Unionpay Quick Pass has the function of making an appointment for transfer, and you can customize the frequency, date, termination time and remark name of regular transfer, so as to make regular transfer planning. Appointment transfer is very practical for some fixed expenses, such as paying rent, car loan, mortgage loan, etc., and you are not afraid to forget the overdue.

  Migrant workers always have their own little pleasures in life. For example, tea time and his colleagues buy a milk tea together, and go for a drink and watch a performance or play a script on weekends. When organizing personnel to collect money after AA, China Unionpay Quick Pass collection code is adopted, and everyone transfers money to the card in real time, so it is convenient and quick to collect funds without withdrawing cash.

  Query the balance of multiple savings cards with one click.

  I don’t know if you have this experience. When you use some payment software to transfer money or pay, you suddenly forget how much money you have in your bank card. At this time, you have to try several times to transfer money to a card. Although each bank’s APP supports checking the balance of its own bank card, the next pile of bank apps also takes up a lot of mobile phone space, and the frequency of use is not so high. China Unionpay Quick Pass’s more convenient function is that he can check his balance on each bank card with one click after tying the card. You can see all your cards on the "Card Management" page, and then click the corresponding bank card to check the balance in this card. In addition, on this page, you can also view the balance of each card and various information by swiping left and right.

  In this way, centralized management is very convenient and clear at a glance, which is very suitable for people like me who have multiple bank cards and credit cards. You only need one China Unionpay Quick Pass APP to manage bank cards digitally anytime, anywhere, and you don’t have to jump repeatedly on each APP.

  Small coup to save money by spending more concessions.

  In addition to credit card and bank card management, China Unionpay Quick Pass APP also covers a wide range of consumption scenarios. After testing, we found that many merchants can choose to use China Unionpay Quick Pass and Taobao when they scan the code for payment on WeChat, and they can also use it when they pay for shopping. In addition, I would like to talk about three functions of China Unionpay Quick Pass, which are closely related to daily life-public transportation, living payment and electronic medical insurance. There are "trips" in the four diamond positions where China Unionpay Quick Pass opens the interface, and buses, subways, bicycles, online car rides and even drivers can be directly used in China Unionpay Quick Pass. In Beijing and China Unionpay Quick Pass, there are U Hui tickets and cards to grab every week. For example, the "7-day U-ticket for the subway" has a 30% discount for ten times within one week after purchase, limited to two times a day, which basically covers my commuting time. Simply calculate an account, each one-way commuter subway ticket costs 7 yuan, and after a 30% discount, it will be 4.9 yuan, so I can save 84 yuan on commuting every month. It’s really flattering to save two movie tickets if you’re not careful.

  It is understood that China Unionpay Quick Pass APP covers all online and offline consumption scenarios, and goes deep into the fields of transportation, retail, catering, cultural tourism, education, medical care, public payment and people’s livelihood. It has been connected to mainstream e-commerce and social platforms, and social transfer of online shopping is very convenient.

  China Unionpay Quick Pass is a relatively convenient choice for people who have more credit cards and bank cards or want to save a little in their daily consumption.

  At present, the penetration rate of mobile payment is gradually increasing, and the industry structure is relatively stable. Looking at the capabilities of various third-party mobile payment applications, it is close to homogenization. China Unionpay Quick Pass, who entered the company in 2017, took product innovation around user scenarios as the core breakthrough, and provided a systematic management scheme for user bank card management and payment with the help of China UnionPay’s profound technical skills and unique advantages, which made our credit card repayment and bank card transfer easier and more efficient.

British MI 5 spun up "China spies" to throw dirty water at China.

Topic: picture channel

  


  Jonathan Evans, the head of MI5, sent a secret letter to 300 business executives. (AFP information pictures, without authorization, may not be reproduced! )


  Xinhua newsThe British Times website published an article on December 1st, and MI5 issued a warning about "cyber espionage in China". The following is the original text.


    The British government has publicly accused China of spying on key sectors of the British economy, including illegally hacking into the computer systems of big banks and financial services companies.


    Jonathan Evans, the head of MI5 (British Security Service), sent a secret letter to 300 general managers and security directors of banks, accounting firms and law firms, warning that they had been violated by "China state institutions". It is believed that this is the first time that the government directly accused China of being suspected of cyber espionage. Jonathan Evans’s blunt warning may have serious diplomatic consequences and cast a shadow over Gordon Brown’s first official visit to China as prime minister early next year.


    This newspaper has obtained a copy of the summary of this warning letter, which the government posted on a secure website. According to the summary, Evans wrote to the heads of British business circles to remind them of electronic espionage attacks.


    The British media has been hyping up China cyber hackers recently. The Financial Times reported the so-called "China hacker attack on the US Department of Defense", saying that the United States called the increasing hacking attack in China "Titan Rain"; The British "Guardian" said on the front page that China hackers attacked the computer networks of important departments of the British government, and also quoted experts as saying that similar attacks had been "at least four years"; The British "Daily Telegraph" even speculated without foundation that hackers connected with China’s military "infiltrated the computer networks of various departments of the British government".


    Jin Canrong, a professor at the School of International Studies at Renmin University of China, analyzed the background of the British media’s hype, saying that the hype about hacking in China, like the so-called environmental problems and food safety problems in China, is a manifestation of concern about the development of China.


    The abstract posted on the website of the National Infrastructure Protection Center said: "The main content of this letter is as follows: The director of MI5 is worried that the electronic attacks supported by China’s state agencies will cause damage to British enterprises, and that the purpose of these attacks is to defeat the best implementation of IT security systems."


    The website also said: "This letter acknowledges that there are sufficient economic and commercial reasons for doing business with China, but it is also necessary to control risks."


    Only institutions belonging to key infrastructure in the UK (including telecommunications companies, banks and hydropower companies) can access the website of the National Infrastructure Protection Center. The document warned that British companies doing business in China were targeted by China’s army, which used the Internet to steal confidential business information.


    Last night, the Ministry of the Interior refused to comment on what it said was the leak of secret communication. A spokesman for China’s embassy in London said that he was not aware of these allegations and that the embassy had not received any complaints from Britain.


    Martin Jordan, one of the chief consultants of KPMG, read this letter. He said: "If Chinese knows that a British company wants to buy assets such as companies or land in China, they will try their best to find out all kinds of details, such as how much the British company intends to spend to buy this asset."


    It is understood that a large European engineering company and an oil company have been under the surveillance of China and leaked recently. A source familiar with MI5′ s warning letter said that the known attacks were not limited to large companies located in the business district of London. He said that in the business district of London, only a small number of law firms and other companies whose businesses are related to China have also been detected by China.


    A security expert who read the letter said, "The technologies used by China’s intelligence agencies include’ customized Trojans’, which can sneak into a company’s network and feed back confidential data. The letter from MI 5 includes a series of known "marks" that can be used to identify the Trojan horse in China, as well as the known websites used to launch attacks. " 


    A large-scale study released this week warned that the computer systems of the British government and military are under constant attack from China and other countries. Earlier, the US Congress received a report that China’s espionage activities were extremely widespread in the United States, which was "the biggest threat to the technical security of the United States".


    Ian Brown of Oxford University, one of the authors of the report, said that these attacks, which date back to China, tried to crack the code of Whitehall. According to the report, China is the most active country in Internet espionage, but 120 other countries are also using the same technology.


    According to the National Infrastructure Protection Center, cyber attacks pose a great threat to Britain.


  Trojan horse has entered the computer door.


    The guiding principle of anti-espionage work is that when your "enemies" become more advanced, you must be one step ahead of them, especially when faced with electronic threats.


    Chinese and Russians are now very good at breaking into other people’s computer networks, so MI5 has to issue warnings to various government departments and defense enterprises, asking them to take extra precautions to protect the most confidential information.


    Jonathan Evans, who served as the director of MI5 in April this year, told his men that although anti-terrorism was still his top priority, he could not forget the threat posed by espionage, especially by China and Russia. In his first public speech last month, he mentioned the spy attacks carried out by China and Russia.


    At present, it is difficult to find out the exact source of these attacks, and technicians from MI5 and government communications headquarters can often trace them to the Far East. These attacks usually focus on individuals who deal with confidential business or economic information at work.


More news:


The United States spends billions of dollars to develop the next generation of spy satellites.


British MI 5 falsely accused China of supporting "hackers and spies"

British spy recruitment director: 007 makes too many fools want to join.


For the first time, MI5 allowed employees to talk openly about their spy lives.


The International Spy Museum attracts people to glimpse the historical evolution of agents.


British MI 5 set up a special mailbox to openly recruit "China spies"

Editor: Li Xiuwei

A Beautiful Encounter Test Drive aston martin DB11

  [car home original test drive] In early July, my leader suddenly asked me if you had ever driven a sports car. I said I drive it every day … He added, something high-end. "Maserati GranTurismo, Lamborghini Huracan, McLaren 650S…… …" "OK, you can go to this activity!" So at the end of July, I came to Tuscany and met this aston martin DB11 in front of me.

Home of the car

  As an automobile manufacturer with a history of more than 100 years, aston martin officially launched a brand-new centennial plan this year, and the DB11 is the first model launched in this centennial plan. In the next seven years, aston martin will launch a new car every year, which is actually rare among similar manufacturers.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  First of all, I would like to tell you something about aston martin DB11 (hereinafter referred to as DB11). Its positioning is GT sports car, and the models that can directly form a competitive relationship in terms of price include Ferrari California T, Bentley Continental, Maserati GranTurismo and GranCabrio. In addition, DB11 is also the successor of DB9. DB10 is only a prop car in the movie Ghost Party, and it was not mass-produced, so a number jumped off the model name. Compared with competitors, the advantage of DB11 is that it is the latest model and uses a 12-cylinder twin-turbo engine.

● Appearance: Aesthetic modeling and elegant aerodynamic design.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

   Aston martin has always been committed to the ultimate aesthetic design of vehicles, and this DB11 is no exception. The whole car uses a lot of elements of the golden ratio. The front of the car occupies 1/3 of the length of the whole car body, and the side window glass and the roof occupy 1/3 of the side of the car body.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Size comparison of GT sports car car make and model DB11 GranTurismo European-continent California T Length (mm) 4739 4933 4806 4570 Width (mm) 1950 1915 1943 1910 Height (mm) 1279 1343 1404 1322 Wheelbase (mm) 2805 2938 2746 2670

  In terms of body size, the length, width and height of DB11 are 4739mm×1950mm×1279mm, respectively, and the wheelbase is 2805mm. In the category of GT sports car, its body shape is relatively symmetrical. Compared with GranTurismo, Continental and California T, except for the lowest body height, all other data are sandwiched in the middle, which is not very extreme.

  As early as March this year, DB11 was officially unveiled at the Geneva Motor Show, and my colleagues also wrote a more detailed article on its static part, so this paper only makes some technical supplements on the basis of it, so I won’t repeat the repeated parts. Friends who want to review the static part of DB11 can click on the link to read it.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  In addition to achieving the ultimate in aesthetics, DB11 has also greatly improved its aerodynamic design compared with its predecessor DB9. A total of four slender holes are opened on the engine cover, and spoilers are arranged on the left and right air guide holes to optimize the aerodynamic effect. Under the air outlet spoiler on the side of the car body, a convex design named curlique by the manufacturer is also used. This word literally translates to "flower decoration", while aston martin officials call it "flower aerodynamics". This design is also designed to quickly guide the airflow in the wheel arch from the side, thus improving the downforce of the front part.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Brief Introduction of 『DB11 Aerodynamic Highlights Design

  The aerodynamics of DB11 behind the C-pillar is even more exciting. Firstly, air inlets are designed on both sides. We have actually seen similar designs on BMW i8 and other models. However, the difference is that DB11 will guide the airflow into an air duct hidden in the car body and finally discharge it upward from the rear end of the trunk. This airflow and the airflow coming down from the roof to the rear of the vehicle will meet at the rear of the vehicle, thus forming a strong downforce. This aerodynamic designer named it aeroblade-wind blade. And according to the manufacturer’s calculation, its effect can be equivalent to adding a half-meter-high spoiler at the rear of the car, but obviously the simple and rude scheme of the latter will destroy the beauty of the car body to some extent. Therefore, the designers in aston martin have opened their minds and developed the aerodynamic design that DB11 presents to us today.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

"『DB11 Exhaust Sound Show"

  Exhaust sound is the soul of a sports car, and how to adjust the exhaust system is particularly important. Although the visual effect of DB11 is sharper and more aggressive than that of its predecessor DB9, its exhaust sound is not very manic, which is in line with the image of a gentleman. However, the deep and vigorous features of the 5.2-liter V12 engine are still preserved. Although the sound made by DB11 won’t make passengers in the car or pedestrians on the street bored, you can still hear that it is definitely a tough character, just like James Bond.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  Finally, it is worth mentioning that the rims of DB11 are all 20 inches in size, with front wheel width of 9j, rear wheel 11j, front wheel tyre size 255/40 R20 and rear wheel 295/35 R20. The turbofan-shaped rim is officially named "directional hub", which means that these four rims are actually different, and the orientation of the rim style will change after the left and right are reversed.

● Interior: Create the ultimate luxury atmosphere.

  Aston martin is also trying to make the luxury atmosphere to the extreme when he comes into the car. In the interior part, there are more than 200 suppliers making various parts for DB11. The flowing stitching treatment on the seat is not only beautiful, but also reveals a little futuristic feeling. The leather decoration treatment of "Brock" in the center of the seat and on the armrest box not only reveals the British people’s admiration for traditional crafts, but also proves the exquisite skills of car builders by hand.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  The instrument panel is a 12-inch full LCD color screen, but a metal ring is placed in the center to divide the screen into three areas. In the past, the mechanical pointer instrument panel commonly used on aston martin models was cancelled on DB11. The counter-clockwise tachometer once made many people feel a little unaccustomed, but it is also one of the unique designs in aston martin. Although the brand-new all-liquid crystal instrument panel has more cool visual effects and richer functions, it is really difficult to define which one is better.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  The approximately rectangular steering wheel is also one of the traditions in aston martin, and the left and right are symmetrically equipped with a set of multifunctional buttons and knobs. The workmanship of the steering wheel is impeccable, but the rectangular style needs to be adapted. The top button on the left side of the steering wheel can adjust the suspension damping, and the corresponding right side can adjust the power output. These two kinds of setting mediation will not be linked with each other, and each has three modes to choose from: GT (Comfort), Sport and Sport+.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

"Experience and Introduction of 『DB11 Interior Parts"

  On this DB11, we also saw many achievements after the cooperation between aston martin and Daimler. It completely abandoned the multimedia entertainment system that was common on aston martin models in the past, and replaced it with a brand-new system with almost no difference from the operation mode of Mercedes-Benz COMAND system. The usability and functionality are significantly improved compared with previous models, and consumers who are familiar with Mercedes-Benz models can get started quickly.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  The seat wrapped in leather is impeccable in both texture and padding. As a GT sports car, it is a basic requirement to be able to drive comfortably for a long distance. Like the traditional aston martin models, the electric adjustment buttons are arranged on the decorative boards on the inner sides of the two front seats. Although this design is not common, it is much more convenient to use than most models that need to reach out to the side of the seats and operate blindly.

"『DB11 shows in and out of the back row"

  In fact, we can see from the body size of DB11 that it is not large in the same class, so its rear seat space will also be subject to this. It is almost impossible for adult men to sit comfortably in the back row, let alone enter and exit gracefully. Therefore, the setting of husband and wife sitting in the front row and children sitting in the back row is more in line with its spatial performance.

● Power system: brand-new V12 turbine engine +8AT gearbox.

  DB11 is equipped with a brand-new V12 twin-turbo engine with a displacement of 5.2L, a maximum power of 608 HP /6500rpm and a peak torque of 700 Nm /1500-5000rpm. In fact, from the book data, the adjustment of this engine is still reserved. As a sports car that does not advocate extreme performance, this setting can be understood. Matching the engine is an 8-speed automatic manual transmission from ZF, and the official acceleration time of 0-100km/h is 3.9 seconds.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

● Driving experience: it can meet your various needs.

  Whenever I come into contact with a sports car for the first time, I will carefully test their temper first. After all, these guys who can explode 600-700 Nm at any time are quite a headache once they get stubborn. Fortunately, however, DB11 is not as cold as its appearance. When the power setting is in GT mode, it is very approachable, and I am flattered that it doesn’t even have a shelf.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  In GT mode, the response after stepping on the accelerator pedal will become very lazy, and the whole car seems to have just woken up and has no spirit. The rotation speed is usually not more than 2000rpm, and when cruising at high speed, this engine with active cylinder closing technology will put half of the cylinders into a "dormant" state, and when the sensor detects that the temperature of the six dormant cylinders is somewhat low, the working cylinders will be switched. At this time, the speed is usually only a little over 1000.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  However, the throttle response is not positive and the power "meat" is completely two concepts. After all, this engine can enter the peak torque platform at 1500 rpm, so if you step on the throttle more, the speed of DB11 will be relatively light with the increase of the speed. Even if you want the floor oil to surpass the car in GT mode, it can meet your needs, but whether it is downshifting or throttle response, it will be a little slow, and the process from cruising to acceleration will not be very neat.

  In fact, at present, many powerful models will equip vehicles with such a "comfortable" mode, the purpose of which is nothing more than to enable drivers to establish some basic understanding with the vehicles, and it can also be understood as a novice mode. Therefore, it is not difficult to understand that the dynamic response of the whole vehicle in this state is actually a little boring. Fortunately, this state can be released immediately when the right thumb presses the button on the steering wheel and enters the sports mode.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  In almost all the performance cars I have tested before, this mode between comfort and extreme sports is usually the most suitable for road driving, because everything is adjusted just right: although the throttle response is sensitive, it is never neurotic; The upshift logic of the gearbox is also within the acceptable range, and the speed will not be controlled very high, which will lead to the obvious dragging feeling of the vehicle with the speed drop when the throttle is released; The same is true for this DB11. In sports mode, the power output of the vehicle will be more harmonious with the driver.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  In the most radical sports+mode, the real strength of this V12 engine will be fully revealed without reservation. When switching to this mode, the exhaust valve will be fully opened. No matter which speed range, you can feel the obvious difference. First, tell everyone audibly, "I am ready for full horsepower at all times."

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  At this time, the response of the accelerator pedal will become extremely sensitive, and any movement of the right foot will be intuitively reflected in the tachometer and power output, and the gearbox will maintain the engine speed above 3000rpm, thus ensuring that it is always in the peak torque output stage. In this test drive, I basically drive this DB11 on narrow country roads and mountain roads, plus vehicles are driving in formation. Under this road condition, the power of the V12 engine is actually a little surplus, so it is completely unnecessary to use the sports+mode. At this time, DB11 is more suitable for playing on unlimited speed highways or racetracks.

  DB11 is built with a brand-new platform, instead of the VH platform used by all departments in aston martin. The chassis is equipped with front double wishbone and rear multi-link independent suspension, and has an adaptive vibration reduction system named "Skyhook". The suspension damping can also be adjusted manually according to requirements.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  Compared with the power output, the three kinds of damping adjustment of suspension are much easier to understand. The popular points are nothing more than the softest mode, the harder mode and the uncomfortable mode. The difference between the three modes is obvious, which is much better than its predecessor model DB9, which has only two kinds of adjustable damping and is hard in sense, and there is not much difference.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  GT mode, as its name implies, is the most suitable mode for travel. The shock absorber can absorb all kinds of road bumps to a great extent and maintain a strong chassis integrity. Unlike some models equipped with air suspension, the chassis will be a little loose in comfort mode, and the four wheels seem to fall off at any time. I think GL8 is the softest suspension among the models currently in production. If I give it a score of 10 for comfort, I am willing to give it a score of 7 for DB11 in GT mode. After all, this is a sports car, and even the GT suspension can’t be adjusted as soft as MPV.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  In sports mode, the suspension will be much harder than GT mode, and the road information will be transmitted to the driver more directly through the chassis, steering wheel and seat. When the road conditions are good, adjusting the suspension and power to the sports mode can get the most comfortable driving experience, and I think the pleasure of driving a sports car can be felt to the greatest extent in this state.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  As for the sport+mode, it is the other extreme, and the ride comfort is almost completely sacrificed, thus gaining maximum maneuverability. The mountain road is very well matched with the sports+mode, and the tough suspension can suppress almost all the roll; In this mode, the steering ratio of the steering wheel will become larger, and the feedback will become heavier. With the appropriate power output mode, the driving experience at this time can be described as hearty. It’s just … if you don’t pay attention to the potholes on the road, you will feel obvious impact in the car. Therefore, the motion+mode in suspension setting puts high demands on the road. If the road condition is not very good, don’t try it, you will make a vibrato when you talk.

"『DB11 Road Test Drive Experience"

  This time, I also recorded some driving videos briefly. Due to the limited contact time with vehicles, I didn’t arrange sentences to talk about driving feelings with the videos. I’m really sorry … Let’s watch the fun.

● Summary:

  It’s actually quite interesting that aston martin chose Italy as the test drive place for DB11, knowing that Ferrari, Lamborghini and Maserati were all born in this country. Brainstorming a long list of pictures of big sports cars from Britain driving in Italy, although it is cool, it is inevitably reminiscent of a little provocation. But it may not matter. As a GT sports car, the DB11 was originally used for traveling.

Aston martin aston martin DB11 2016 5.2T Basic Model

  Back to the product level, DB11 has beautiful appearance, extremely luxurious interior, strong power, very elegant aerodynamic design, rich configuration and mode adjustment that can meet the needs of drivers at all levels … It is almost impeccable. Although the guiding price of 3.259 million yuan is a little far away for many consumers, it is still worth the money. After all, it is difficult to find a 12-cylinder sports car in this price range. Although Bentley’s Continental GT is also a 12-cylinder engine, the starting price is 3.68 million, which is still more expensive than DB11. Ferrari’s GTC4Lusso will cost 5.38 million yuan, which is completely another level.

  In fact, it seems a bit redundant to analyze whether a sports car, especially a supercar, is worth buying. First of all, my consumption power is not up to this level, so it is difficult to imagine the consumption concept of these people. In addition, a sports car is originally a commodity with no "cost performance", perhaps it is an eye-catching, perhaps it is sentimental, or it may be paying attention to the unique charm of the brand … These inexplicable reasons are just like a beautiful encounter that suddenly appeared but was memorable, which makes people intoxicated. (Text/Figure car home Peng Chuwen)

Related videos:

  Finally, we have the honor to invite Uncle 40,000 (Xu Qun), a senior in the automotive media industry, to share with you this DB11 in his eyes.

More exciting videos are all on the car home video platform.

Shanghai: The nucleic acid test results of 68,517 confirmed cases infected with Delta mutant were all negative.

CCTV News:Yesterday (4th), Shanghai held a press conference on epidemic prevention and control, saying that at present, Shanghai CDC has basically completed the epidemiological investigation and gene sequencing of a confirmed case of a foreign cargo plane service worker in the freight area of Shanghai Pudong Airport discovered on the 2nd. The results of gene sequencing showed that Covid-19 infected by this case in Shanghai belonged to Delta mutant, which had high homology with Delta mutant abroad.

Wu Huanyu, Deputy Director of Shanghai CDC:The results of gene sequencing showed that COVID-19 infected by this case belonged to Delta mutant, which was not related to the genome of many local cases in China recently, but had high homology with Delta mutant abroad. According to the comprehensive judgment and analysis of the expert group, it is considered that the infection source of the confirmed case can focus on the infection caused by exposure to the environment polluted by the imported virus.

Shanghai: All the 68,517 screened subjects were negative in nucleic acid test results.

Yesterday (4th), the reporter learned from the press conference on epidemic prevention and control in Shanghai that a newly confirmed case of COVID-19 in Shanghai on August 2nd was of ordinary type, and now it is being treated in isolation in Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, and the condition is stable. As of 14: 00 on August 4, 67 close contacts in Shanghai and 377 close contacts in Shanghai have been investigated. In Shanghai, 68,517 screening subjects, the results of nucleic acid test were all negative, and 585 items and environmental samples in relevant places were investigated, and the test results were all negative. In the next step, Shanghai will continue to adhere to the overall prevention and control strategy of "external defense input and internal defense rebound", pay close attention to key points and joints such as "entrance to the city, employment posts and school gates", and strengthen the closed-loop management of the whole chain of epidemic prevention and control.

Santa Fe scholar: Does the AI language model really understand human language?

Original Mitchella and other intelligence clubs

introduction

Although the big language model shows a similar understanding ability to human beings, can the AI system really understand the language like human beings? Must the pattern of machine understanding be the same as that of human understanding? Recently, kracauer, former director of the Santa Fe Institute, and melani Michel, a researcher, published an article in PNAS to explore whether large-scale pre-training language models (LLMs) can understand languages and their coded physical and social situations in a similar way to humans.

This paper discusses the pros and cons respectively, and further discusses the key issues of broader intelligent science. In the author’s opinion, further expanding the interdisciplinary research between artificial intelligence and natural science is expected to broaden the perspective of multi-discipline, summarize the advantages and boundaries of different methods, and meet the challenge of the integration of cross-cognitive concepts.

Keywords: artificial intelligence, large language model, mental model

Melanie Mitchell A, David C. Krakauera | Author

Fan Siyu and Zhang Ji | Translator

Liang Jin | Editor

Title of the article:

The debate over understanding in AI’s large language models

Article address:

https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2215907120

What is "understanding"? This problem has long attracted the attention of philosophers, cognitive scientists and educators. The classical research on "understanding" is almost always based on human beings and other animals. However, with the rise of large-scale artificial intelligence systems, especially large-scale language models, there has been a heated discussion in the AI community: can machines understand natural languages now, so as to understand the physical and social situations described by languages?

This discussion is not limited to the category of natural science; The degree and way that machines understand our world determines to what extent we can trust the robust and transparent behavior ability of AI in the task of interacting with human beings, including AI driving cars, AI diagnosing diseases, AI caring for the elderly, AI educating children and so on. At the same time, the current discussion shows the key problem for an intelligent system to "understand": how to distinguish statistical correlation and causal mechanism?

Although the AI system shows seemingly intelligent behavior in many specific tasks, until recently, the artificial intelligence research community still generally believed that machines could not understand the data they processed like humans. For example, face recognition software does not understand that the face is a part of the body, the role of facial expressions in social interaction, what it means to "face" unpleasant situations, or the ways and means of making faces. Similarly, speech-to-text and machine translation programs do not understand the language they handle, and the automatic driving system does not understand the micro-expressions and body language of drivers and pedestrians when avoiding accidents. Therefore, these AI systems are often regarded as fragile, and the key evidence of lack of "understanding" is that they are unpredictable errors and lack of robustness in generalization ability [1].

Does the big language model really understand language?

However, in the past few years, the situation has changed. A new type of AI system has been popular in the research field and has had an impact, which has changed some people’s prospects and views on machine understanding languages. These systems are called large language models (LLMs), large pre-training models or basic models [2]. They are deep neural networks with billions to trillions of parameters (weights), which are "pre-trained" on a huge natural language corpus of several terabytes, including a large number of network snapshots, online books and other contents. During training, the task of these networks is to predict the hidden part of the input sentence. This method is called "self-supervised learning". The final network is a complex statistical model of the correlation between words and phrases in its training data.

These models can be used to generate natural language, fine-tune specific language tasks [3], or further train to better match the "user’s intention" [4]. For example, LLMs such as OpenAI’s famous GPT-3[5], more recently ChatGPT[6] and Google’s PaLM[7] can produce amazing human-like texts and dialogues; In addition, although these models are not trained for the purpose of reasoning, some studies think that they have human-like reasoning ability [8]. How LLMs accomplished these feats is a mystery to ordinary people and scientists. Most of the internal operation modes of these networks are opaque, and even the researchers who built them have only a little intuitive feeling about such a huge-scale system. Neuroscientist Terrence Sejnowski described the appearance of LLM in this way: "Singularity arrival, like whispers, came one after another, speaking four dialects. The only thing we know is that LLMs are not human beings … Some of their behaviors seem to be intelligent, but if they are not human intelligence, what is it? " [9]

Although the most advanced LLMs are impressive, they are still prone to vulnerabilities and mistakes that are not like human beings. However, such network defects are significantly improved when the number of parameters and the scale of training data set are enlarged [10], so some researchers think that LLMs (or its multimodal version) will realize human-level intelligence and understanding ability under a sufficiently large network and training data set, and a new slogan of AI appears: "Scale is everything" [11, 12].

The above proposition is a school of AI academic circles in LLMs discussion. Some people think that these networks really understand language and can reason in a universal way (although "not yet" up to human level). For example, Google’s LaMDA system constructs a fluent dialogue system by pre-training the text and then fine-tuning the dialogue [13], and an AI researcher even thinks that such a system "has the ability to truly understand a large number of concepts" [14] and even "moves in a conscious direction" [15]. Another machine language expert regards LLMs as the touchstone leading to general human level AI: "Some optimistic researchers believe that we have witnessed the birth of a knowledge injection system with a certain universal intelligence" [16]. Others believe that LLMs probably captures important aspects of meaning, and its working mode is similar to a striking explanation of human cognition, that is, meaning comes from conceptual roles. ”[17]。 Opponents were labeled as "AI Denialism" [18].

On the other hand, some people think that although the output of large-scale pre-training models such as GPT-3 or LaMDA is fluent, they still can’t understand because they have no world experience or thinking mode; The text prediction training of LLMs only learned the form of language, not the meaning [19-21]. A recent article holds that "even if we train until the universe dies, the systems trained only by language will never approach human intelligence, and these systems are doomed to have only superficial understanding and will never approach the comprehensiveness of our thinking" [22]. Some scholars believe that it is wrong to apply the concepts of "intelligence", "agent" and "understanding" to LLMs, because LLMs is more similar to libraries or encyclopedias, and it is packaging human knowledge repositories instead of agents [23]. For example, humans know that tickling makes us laugh because we have bodies. LLMs can use the word "tickle", but it has obviously never felt this way. Understanding tickling is not a mapping between two words, but a mapping between words and feelings.

Those who hold the position of "LLMs can’t really understand" think that what surprises us is not the fluency of LLMs itself, but the fact that the fluency is beyond intuition with the growth of model scale. Anyone who attributes understanding or consciousness to LLMs is a victim of the Eliza effect [24]. "Eliza effect" means that we humans tend to attribute our understanding and agency ability to machines with even faint signs of human language or behavior. It is named after the chat robot "Eliza" developed by Joseph Weizenbaum in the 1960s. Although it is very simple, it still deceives people into believing that it understands them [25].

A survey of active scholars in the field of natural language processing in 2022 also confirmed the differences of views in this discussion. One of the contents of the survey is to ask the respondents whether they agree with the following statement about whether LLMs understands language in principle: "Some generative models (language models) that are only trained on text can understand natural language in some extraordinary sense given sufficient data and computing resources." The answers of 480 people were almost half (51%) to half (49%) [26].

Supporters’ evidence that LLMs has understanding ability is mainly based on the performance of model ability: both the subjective quality judgment of the text generated by the model according to the prompt words (although this judgment may be easily influenced by Eliza effect) and the objective evaluation in the benchmark data set used to evaluate the language understanding and reasoning ability. For example, two commonly used benchmark data sets for evaluating LLMs are General Language Understanding Assessment (GLUE)[27] and its successor SuperGLUE[28], which include large-scale data sets and tasks, such as "Text Implication" (given two sentences, can the meaning of the second sentence be inferred from the first sentence? Do the given words have the same meaning in two different sentences? ) and logical answers, etc. OpenAI’s GPT-3 (with 175 billion parameters) performs unexpectedly well in these tasks [5], while Google’s PaLM (with 540 billion parameters) performs better in these tasks [7], which can reach or even surpass human performance in the same task.

Does machine understanding have to reproduce human understanding?

What are the implications of these results for LLMs? From the choice of terms such as generalized language understanding, natural language reasoning, reading comprehension and common sense reasoning, it is not difficult to see that the test of the above benchmark data set implies the premise that the machine must reproduce the way of human understanding. But is this necessary for "understanding"? Not necessarily. Take the benchmark evaluation of "reasoning and understanding task" as an example [29], in each task example, a natural language "argument" and two declarative sentences will be given; The task is to determine which statement is consistent with the argument, as shown in the following example:

Argument: criminals should have the right to vote. A person who stole a car at the age of 17 should not be deprived of the right to become a full citizen for life.

Inference A: Stealing a car is a felony.

Inference B: Stealing a car is not a felony.

BERT achieved a performance similar to that of human beings in this benchmark task [31]. Perhaps we can draw the conclusion that BERT can understand natural language like human beings. However, a research team found that some clue words (such as "not") appearing in inference sentences can help the model predict the correct answer. When researchers change data sets to avoid these clues, BERT’s performance becomes no different from random guessing. This is an obvious example of relying on shortcut learning-a phenomenon that is often mentioned in machine learning, that is, the learning system obtains good performance on a specific benchmark task by analyzing the pseudo-correlation in the data set, rather than through humanlike understanding [32-35].

Usually, this correlation is not obvious to humans who perform the same task. Although shortcut learning has been found in the task of evaluating language understanding and other artificial intelligence models, there may still be many undiscovered "shortcuts". Pre-training language models, such as LaMDA and PaLM of Google, which have hundreds of billions of parameters and train on nearly trillions of text data, have strong ability to encode data correlation. Therefore, the benchmark task used to evaluate human understanding ability may not be applicable to this kind of model evaluation [36-38]. For large-scale LLMs (and its possible derivative models), the complex statistical correlation calculation can make the model bypass the human-like understanding ability and obtain a nearly perfect model performance.

Although there is no strict definition of the word "human-like understanding", it is not based on the huge statistical model that LLMs has learned at present. On the contrary, it is based on concepts-the internal mental model of external categories, situations and events, as well as the internal mental model of human beings’ own internal state and "self". For human beings, understanding language (and other nonverbal information) depends on mastering concepts other than language (or other information) expression, and is not limited to understanding the statistical properties of language symbols. In fact, in the past research history in the field of cognitive science, we have always emphasized the understanding of the essence of concepts and how understanding comes from concepts that are clear and hierarchical and contain potential causality. This understanding model helps human beings abstract past knowledge and experience to make steady prediction, generalization and analogy; Or conduct combinatorial reasoning and counterfactual reasoning; Or actively intervene in the real world to test hypotheses; Or explain what you understand to others.

Undoubtedly, although some LLMs with larger and larger scale sporadically show similar human understanding ability, the current artificial intelligence system does not have these abilities, including the most advanced LLMs. Some people think that this kind of understanding ability can give human beings the ability that pure statistical models can’t get. Although the large-scale model shows extraordinary formal linguistic competence, that is, the ability to produce grammatical fluency and human-like language, it still lacks human-like functional language competence based on conceptual understanding, that is, the ability to correctly understand and use language in the real world. Interestingly, there is a similar phenomenon in physics research, that is, the contradiction between the successful application of mathematical techniques and this functional understanding ability. For example, a long-standing controversy about quantum mechanics is that it provides an effective calculation method without conceptual understanding.

Understanding the essence of concepts has always been one of the topics of academic debate. To what extent the concept is domain-specific and innate, rather than more universal and learned [55-60], or to what extent the concept is based on concrete metaphor and presented in the brain through dynamic and situation-based simulation [64], or under what conditions the concept is supported by language [65-67], social learning [68-70] and culture [

Despite the above arguments, concepts-which exist in the form of causal mental models as mentioned above-have always been regarded as the understanding unit of human cognitive ability. Undoubtedly, looking at the development track of human understanding ability, whether it is individual understanding or collective understanding, it can be abstracted as a highly compressed model based on causality, similar to Ptolemy’s theory of planetary revolution, Kepler’s theory of elliptical orbit, and Newton’s concise and causal explanation of planetary motion according to gravity. Different from machines, human beings seem to have a strong internal drive to pursue this form of understanding in scientific research and daily life. We can describe this kind of motivation as requiring little data, minimal model, clear causal dependence and strong mechanical intuition.

The debate about LLMs’ comprehension ability mainly focuses on the following aspects:

1) Is the understanding ability of these model systems just a kind of error? (that is, the connection between language symbols is confused with the connection between symbols and physical, social or mental experiences). In short, will these model systems never gain human-like understanding?

Or, conversely, 2) Will these model systems (or their recent derivative models) really create a large number of concept-based mental models that are essential for human understanding without real-world experience? If so, will increasing the scale of the model create a better concept?

Or, 3) if these model systems can’t create such concepts, can their unimaginable huge statistical correlation systems produce the ability equivalent to human understanding? Or, does this mean that a new form of higher-order logical ability that humans can’t reach is possible? From this point of view, is it still appropriate to call this correlation "pseudo-correlation" or question the phenomenon of "shortcut learning"? Is it feasible to regard the behavior of the model system as a series of emerging and non-human understanding activities, rather than "no understanding ability"? These problems are no longer limited to abstract philosophical discussion, but involve the very realistic concerns about the ability, robustness, security and ethics brought about by the increasingly important role played by artificial intelligence systems in human daily life.

Although various schools of researchers have their own opinions on the debate on "LLMs comprehension ability", the cognitive science-based methods currently used to gain understanding insight are not enough to answer such questions about LLMs. In fact, some researchers have applied psychological tests to LLMs, which were originally used to evaluate human understanding and reasoning mechanisms. It is found that LLMs does show human-like reactions in theory of mind tests [14, 75] and human-like abilities and preferences in reasoning evaluation [76–78] in some cases. Although this kind of test is considered as an alternative test to evaluate human universal ability, it may not be the case for artificial intelligence model systems.

A new understanding ability

As mentioned earlier, LLMs has an unexplained ability to learn the correlation between information symbols in training data and input, and can use this correlation to solve problems. In contrast, humans seem to have applied compressed concepts that reflect their real-world experiences. When psychological tests designed for human beings are applied to LLMs, the interpretation results often depend on the assumptions of human cognition, which may not be correct at all for the model. In order to make progress, scientists need to design new benchmark tasks and research methods to deeply understand different types of intelligence and understanding mechanisms, including the new form of "exotic, mind-like entities" that we have created [79]. Perhaps we are on the right path to explore the essence of "understanding" [80, 81].

With the increasing discussion about LLMs’ understanding ability and the emergence of more capable model systems, it seems that it is necessary to strengthen the research on intelligent science in the future in order to understand the concept of human and machine more widely. As the neuroscientist Terrence Sejnowski pointed out, "The differences among experts on LLMs intelligence show that our traditional concept based on natural intelligence is not sufficient. [9] "If LLMs and other models successfully make use of strong statistical correlation, it may also be considered as a new" understanding "ability, which can realize extraordinary and superhuman prediction ability. For example, DeepMind’s AlphaZero and AlphaFold model systems [82, 83] seem to bring an intuitive form of "alien" to the fields of chess and protein’s structure prediction [84, 85] respectively.

Therefore, it can be said that in recent years, machines with emerging understanding modes have appeared in the field of artificial intelligence, which may be a new species in a larger zoo of related concepts. With the research progress made in the process of pursuing the essence of intelligence, these new understanding modes will emerge continuously. Just as different species adapt to different environments, our intelligent system will be better adapted to different problems. Problems that rely on a lot of historical encoded knowledge (emphasizing model performance) will continue to favor large-scale statistical models, such as LLMs, while those that rely on limited knowledge and strong causal mechanism will prefer human intelligence. The challenge in the future is to develop new research methods to reveal the understanding mechanism of different forms of intelligence in detail, distinguish their advantages and limitations, and learn how to integrate these different cognitive models.

references

[1]M. Mitchell, Arti?cial intelligence hits the barrier of meaning. Information 10, 51 (2019).

[2]R. Bommasani et al., On the opportunities and risks of foundation models. arXiv [Preprint] (2021). http://arxiv.org/abs/2108.07258(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[3]B. Min et al., Recent advances in natural language processing via large pre-trained language models: A survey. arXiv [Preprint] (2021). http://arxiv.org/abs/2111.01243(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[4]L. Ouyang et al., Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2203.02155(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[5]T. Brown et al., Language models are few-shot learners. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 33, 1877-1901 (2020).

[6]J.Schulman et al., ChatGPT: Optimizing language models for dialogue. UpToDate (2022). https://openai.com/blog/chatgpt. Accessed 7 March 2023.

[7]A. Chowdhery et al., PaLM: Scaling language modeling with Pathways. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2204.02311(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[8]J. Wei et al., Chain of thought prompting elicits reasoning in large language models (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2201.11903(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[9]T. Sejnowski, Large language models and the reverse Turing test. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2207.14382(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[10]J. Wei et al., Emergent abilities of large language models. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2206.07682(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[11]N. de Freitas, 14 May 2022. https://twitter.com/NandoDF/status/1525397036325019649. Accessed 7 March 2023.

[12]A. Dimakis, 16 May 2022. https://twitter.com/AlexGDimakis/status/1526388274348150784. Accessed 7 March 2023.

[13]R. Thoppilan et al., LaMDA: Language models for dialog applications. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2201.08239(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[14]B. A. y Arcas, Do large language models understand us? UpToDate (2021). http://tinyurl.com/38t23n73. Accessed 7 March 2023.

[15]B. A. y Arcas, Arti?cial neural networks are making strides towards consciousness. UpToDate (2022). http://tinyurl.com/ymhk37uu. Accessed 7 March 2023.

[16]C. D. Manning, Human language understanding and reasoning. Daedalus 151, 127– 138 (2022).

[17]S. T. Piantasodi, F. Hill, Meaning without reference in large language models. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2208.02957(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[18]B. A. y Arcas, Can machines learn how to behave? UpToDate (2022). http://tinyurl.com/mr4cb3dw(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[19]E. M. Bender, A. Koller, Climbing towards NLU: On meaning, form, and understanding in the age of data" in Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (2020), pp. 5185–5198.

[20]E. M. Bender, T. Gebru, A. McMillan-Major, S. Shmitchell, On the dangers of stochastic parrots: Can language models be too big? in Proceedings of the 2021 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency (2021), pp. 610–623.

[21]G. Marcus, Nonsense on stilts. Substack, 12 June 2022. https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/nonsense-on-stilts.

[22]J. Browning, Y. LeCun, AI and the limits of language. UpToDate (2022)https://www.noemamag.com/ai-and-the-limits-of-language. Accessed 7 March 2023.

[23]A. Gopnik, What AI still doesn’t know how to do. UpToDate (2022).https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-ai-still-doesnt-know-how-to-do-11657891316. Accessed 7 March 2023.

[24]D. R. Hofstadter, Fluid Concepts and Creative Analogies: Computer Models of the Fundamental Mechanisms of Thought (Basic Books, Inc., New York, NY, 1995).

[25]J. Weizenbaum, Computer Power and Human Reason: From Judgment to Calculation (WH Freeman & Co, 1976).

[26]J. Michael et al., What do NLP researchers believe? Results of the NLP community metasurvey. arXiv [Preprint] (2022).http://arxiv.org/abs/2208.12852(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[27]A. Wang et al., "GLUE: A multi-task benchmark and analysis platform for natural language understanding"in Proceedings of the 2018 EMNLP Workshop BlackboxNLP: Analyzing and Interpreting Neural Networks for NLP (Association for Computational Linguistics, 2018), pp. 353-355.

[28]A. Wang et al., SuperGLUE: A stickier benchmark for general-purpose language understanding systems. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 32, 3266–3280 (2019).

[29]I. Habernal, H. Wachsmuth, I. Gurevych, B. Stein, "The argument reasoning comprehension task: Identfication and reconstruction of implicit warrants" in Proceedings of the 2018 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Human Language Technologies (2018), pp. 1930–1940.

[30]J. Devlin, M.-W. Chang, K. Lee, K. Toutanova, "BERT: Pre-training of deep bidirectional transformers for language understanding" in Proceedings of the 2019 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Human Language Technologies (2019), pp. 4171–4186.

[31]T. Niven, H.-Y. Kao, Probing neural network comprehension of natural language arguments" in Proceedings of the 57th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (2019), pp. 4658–4664.

[32]R. Geirhos et al., Shortcut learning in deep neural networks. Nat. Mach. Intell. 2, 665–673 (2020).

[33]S. Gururangan et al., "Annotation artifacts in natural language inference data" in Proceedings of the 2018 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for C omputational Linguistics: Human Language Technologies (2018), pp. 107–112.

[34]S. Lapuschkin et al., Unmasking Clever Hans predictors and assessing what machines really learn. Nat. Commun. 10, 1–8 (2019).

[35]R T. McCoy, E. Pavlick, T. Linzen, "Right for the wrong reasons: Diagnosing syntactic heuristics in natural language inference" in Proceedings of the 57th Annual Meeting of the Associat ion for Computational Linguistics (2019), pp. 3428–3448.

[36]S. R. Choudhury, A. Rogers, I. Augenstein, Machine reading, fast and slow: When do models ‘understand’language? arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2209.07430(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[37]M. Gardner et al., "Competency problems: On finding and removing artifacts in language data" in Proceedings of the 2021 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing (2021).

[38]T. Linzen, How can we accelerate progress towards human-like linguistic generalization? in Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (2020), pp. 5210–5217.

[39]C. Baumberger, C. Beisbart, G. Brun, "What is understanding? An overview of recent debates in epistemology and philosophy of science" in Explaining Understanding: New Perspectives from Epistemology and Philosophy ofScience (Routledge, 2017), pp. 1–34.

[40]J. L. Kvanvig, "Knowledge, understanding, and reasons for belief" in The Oxford Handbook of Reasons and Normativity (Oxford University Press, 2018), pp. 685–705.

[41]M. B. Goldwater, D. Gentner, On the acquisition of abstract knowledge: Structural alignment and explication in learning causal system categories. Cognition 137, 137–153 (2015).

[42]A. Gopnik, “Causal models and cognitive development”in Probabilistic and Causal Inference: The Works ofJudea Pearl, H. Geffner, R. Dechter, J. Y. Halpern, Eds. (Association for Computing Machinery, 2022), pp. 593–604.

[43]D. R. Hofstadter, E. Sander, Surfaces and Essences: Analogy as the Fuel and Fire of Thinking. Basic Books (2013).

[44]F. C. Keil, Explanation and understanding. Ann. Rev. Psychol. 57, 227 (2006).

[45]M. Lake, T. D. Ullman, J. B. Tenenbaum, S. J. Gershman, Building machines that learn and think like people. Behav. Brain Sci. 40 (2017).

[46]S. A. Sloman, D. Lagnado, Causality in thought. Ann. Rev. Psychol. 66, 223–247 (2015).

[47]P. Smolensky, R. McCoy, R. Fernandez, M. Goldrick, J. Gao, Neurocompositional computing: From the central paradox of cognition to a new generation of AI systems. AI Mag. 43, 308–322 (2022).

[48]H. W. De Regt, Discussion note: Making sense of understanding. Philos. Sci. 71, 98–109 (2004).

[49]D. George, M. Lázaro-Gredilla, J. S. Guntupalli, From CAPTCHA to commonsense: How brain can teach us about arti?cial intelligence. Front. Comput. Neurosci. 14, 554097 (2020).

[50]B. M. Lake, G. L. Murphy, Word meaning in minds and machines. Psychol. Rev. (2021).

[51]J. Pearl, Theoretical impediments to machine learning with seven sparks from the causal revolution. arXiv [Preprint] (2018).http://arxiv.org/abs/1801.04016(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[52]M. Strevens, No understanding without explanation. Stud. Hist. Philos. Sci. A. 44, 510–515 (2013).

[53]K. Mahowald et al., Dissociating language and thought in large language models: a cognitive perspective. arXiv [Preprint] (2023).http://arxiv.org/abs/2301.06627(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[54]D. C. Krakauer, At the limits of thought. UpToDate (2020).https://aeon.co/essays/will-brains-or-algorithms-rule-the-kingdom-of-science. Accessed 7 March 2023.

[55]S. Carey, “On the origin of causal understanding”in Causal Cognition: A Multidisciplinary Debate, D. Sperber, D. Premack, A. J. Premack, Eds. (Clarendon Press/Oxford University Press, 1995), pp. 268–308.

[56]N. D. Goodman, T. D. Ullman, J. B. Tenenbaum, Learning a theory of causality. Psychol. Rev. 118, 110 (2011).

[57]A. Gopnik, A uni?ed account of abstract structure and conceptual change: Probabilistic models and early learning mechanisms. Behav. Brain Sci. 34, 129 (2011).

[58]J. M. Mandler, How to build a baby: II. Conceptual primitives. Psychol. Rev. 99, 587 (1992).

[59]E. S. Spelke, K. D. Kinzler, Core knowledge. Dev. Sci. 10, 89–96 (2007).

[60]H. M. Wellman, S. A. Gelman, Cognitive development: Foundational theories of core domains. Ann. Rev. Psychol. 43, 337–375 (1992).

[61]R. W. Gibbs, Metaphor Wars (Cambridge University Press, 2017).

[62]G. Lakoff, M. Johnson, The metaphorical structure of the human conceptual system. Cogn. Sci. 4, 195–208 (1980).

[63]G. L. Murphy, On metaphoric representation. Cognition 60, 173–204 (1996).

[64]L. W. Barsalou et al., Grounded cognition. Ann. Rev. Psychol. 59, 617–645 (2008).

[65]J. G. De Villiers, P. A. de Villiers, The role of language in theory of mind development. Topics Lang. Disorders 34, 313–328 (2014).

[66]G. Dove, More than a scaffold: Language is a neuroenhancement. Cogn. Neuropsychol. 37, 288–311 (2020).

[67]G. Lupyan, B. Bergen, How language programs the mind. Topics Cogn. Sci. 8, 408–424 (2016).

[68]N. Akhtar, M. Tomasello, “The social nature of words and word learning”in Becoming a Word Learner: A Debate on Lexical Acquisition (Oxford University Press, 2000), pp. 115– 135.

[69]S. R. Waxman, S. A. Gelman, Early word-learning entails reference, not merely associations. Trends Cogn. Sci. 13, 258–263 (2009).

[70]S. A. Gelman, Learning from others: Children’s construction of concepts. Ann. Rev. Psychol. 60, 115– 140 (2009).

[71]A. Bender, S. Beller, D. L. Medin, “Causal cognition and culture”in The Oxford Handbook of Causal Reasoning (Oxford University Press, 2017), pp. 717–738.

[72]M. W. Morris, T. Menon, D. R. Ames,”Culturally conferred conceptions of agency: A key to social perception of persons, groups, and other actors”in Personality and Social Psychology Review (Psychology Press, 2003), pp. 169–182.

[73]A. Norenzayan, R. E. Nisbett, Culture and causal cognition. Curr. Direc. Psychol. Sci. 9, 132– 135 (2000).

[74]A. Gopnik, H. M. Wellman, “The theory theory”in Domain Speci?city in Cognition and Culture (1994), pp. 257–293.

[75]S. Trott, C. Jones, T. Chang, J. Michaelov, B. Bergen, Do large language models know what humans know? arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2209.01515(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[76]M. Binz, E. Schulz, Using cognitive psychology to understand GPT-3. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2206.14576(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[77]I. Dasgupta et al., Language models show human-like content effects on reasoning. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2207.07051(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[78]A. Laverghetta, A. Nighojkar, J. Mirzakhalov, J. Licato, “Predicting human psychometric properties using computational language models”in Annual Meeting of the Psychometric Society (Springer, 2022), pp. 151–169.

[79]M. Shanahan, Talking about large language models. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2212.03551(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[80]B. Z. Li, M. Nye, J. Andreas, “Implicit representations of meaning in neural language models” in Proceedings of the 59th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (2021), pp. 1813–1827.

[81]C. Olsson et al., In-context learning and induction heads. arXiv [Preprint] (2022). http://arxiv.org/abs/2209.11895(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[82]J. Jumper et al., Highly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold. Nature 596, 583–589 (2021).

[83]D. Silver et al., Mastering chess and shogi by self-play with a general reinforcement learning algorithm. arXiv [Preprint] (2017).http://arxiv.org/abs/1712.01815(Accessed 7 March 2023).

[84]D. T. Jones, J. M. Thornton, The impact of AlphaFold2 one year on. Nat. Methods 19, 15–20 (2022).

[85]M. Sadler, N. Regan, Game changer: AlphaZero’s Groundbreaking Chess Strategies and the Promise ofAI. Alkmaar (New in Chess, 2019).

Original title: "Santa Fe Scholars: Does the AI ? ? big language model really understand human language? 》

Read the original text

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

●  Key points of investment

China highway logistics industry: the economic artery in urgent need of resource integration. China highway logistics freight volume accounts for 80% of the total freight volume, which is the main artery of China economy. However, the efficiency of the industry is not high. China’s trucks have an average effective mileage of 300 kilometers per day, while the United States can reach 1000 kilometers. There are more than 20 million trucks in China, and the empty rate is as high as 40% or more. The average interval between vehicle parking and distribution is about 72 hours. There are more than 7.5 million highway logistics enterprises in China, and each household only has 1.5 trucks, and more than 90% of them are in the hands of individual drivers. The crux of the current resource mismatch lies in the asymmetry of freight logistics information.

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

China Car-Goods Matching Market: Two Operating Models Coexist. Information asymmetry has given birth to the demand for matching between cars and goods. In the past, the traditional vehicle-cargo matching platform was mainly offline entities, including distribution stations, highway ports and logistics parks. At present, with the intervention of Internet, a virtual vehicle-cargo matching platform has been formed. By using the Internet, offline vehicle sources and goods sources are integrated through the development of logistics APP, WEB or other systems, and information is released online through APP, web or other systems and accurately matched, hoping to solve the asymmetry of logistics information.

Enlightenment from the development of American freight logistics industry. Truck transportation in the United States is extremely developed and is the main mode of transportation in the United States. Among them, truck transportation market scale exceeded US$ 600 billion, accounting for about 80% of the total. Developed infrastructure and high degree of intensification are the two main reasons for its high efficiency. The revelation of Robinson’s case is that the ability to integrate information and resources is the core. It does not own a truck, but it is the first truck transportation company in the United States, which basically monopolizes most of the road transportation resources in the United States and ranks seventh in global freight transportation.

Future Outlook: The Ultimate Version of Car-Goods Matching? Highway ports are built to eliminate them. In the past year, more than 200 car and cargo matching apps have been produced, but there have been few successes. There are three bottlenecks: 1. It is difficult to standardize supply and demand information; 2. Lack of integrity certification system; 3. Vehicles tend to have a stable supply of goods, and shippers prefer a stable transportation capacity, which makes it difficult for existing software to get involved in the mainstream market. We believe that the highway logistics industry will have offline matching platforms such as distribution stations, highways and logistics parks for a long time, and they have the strongest ability to gather traffic and people in scattered industries. They have the strongest resources and ability to integrate and innovate, and the ultimate mode of their development is to eliminate intermediary matchmakers.

Investment strategy. We suggest paying attention to the distribution and integration of logistics park resources in the country to form the Chuanhua shares of highway port network. For details of Chuanhua shares, please refer to our in-depth report "Chuanhua Logistics-China Highway Integrators Reloaded into Battle" on July 3 this year.

Risk warning. The economic downturn has led to a decline in freight demand; The offline matching platform is invested too much; The promotion of value-added services failed to meet expectations.

●  The following is the text of the report.

catalogue

1. China highway logistics industry: the economic artery in urgent need of resource integration …-3-

1.1. Current situation of highway logistics industry: Highway is the main form of goods flow, but its efficiency is low …-3-

1.2. Information asymmetry is the crux, and there is a huge demand for matching cars and goods …-4-

Second, the matching market of vehicles and goods in China: two major operating modes coexist …-5-

2.1. Two camps gave birth to two business models …-5-

2.2. Comparison of Typical Case Studies …-5-

Iii. International Experience: Enlightenment from the Development of Freight Logistics in the United States …-11-

3.1. Overview of American road freight industry: Truck transportation is the main mode of transportation …-11-

3.2, no car is better than a car, the inspiration of Robinson’s case: the ability to integrate information and resources is the core …

Fourth, the future outlook: the ultimate version of car and cargo matching? … – 15 –

4.1 What are the pain points of car-cargo matching? … – 15 –

4.2 What mode does road freight need? … – 16 –

4.3 Investment strategy …-16-

Risk warning …-17-

1、China highway logistics industry: the economic artery in urgent need of resource integration

Modern logistics industry is the basic industry and producer service industry of national economic development, which is connected with production and consumption at one end. Since 2007, the scale of domestic social logistics market has shown a steady linear growth. In 2013, the total logistics cost was 10 trillion, and in 2014 it exceeded 11 trillion. At present, the proportion of China’s logistics cost to price cost and GDP is much higher than that of developed countries. In 2013, the ratio of China’s total social logistics cost to GDP was 18%, which dropped to 16.6% in 2014, while it was only about 8% in western countries. The overall capacity of China’s logistics industry is obviously insufficient.

1.1. Current situation of highway logistics industry: Highway is the main form of goods flow, but its efficiency is low.

At present, the freight volume of highway logistics in China accounts for 80% of the total freight volume. Therefore, the reason why the overall logistics capacity of China is weak is the low efficiency of highway logistics capacity. At present, China’s trucks have an average effective mileage of 300 kilometers per day, while the United States can reach 1000 kilometers. There are more than 20 million trucks in China, and the empty rate is as high as 40% or more. The average interval between vehicle parking and distribution is about 72 hours. Among them, a lot of time is wasted on waiting for goods and distributing goods, which causes great waste of resources and inefficient tail gas emission, which intensifies air pollution; At the same time, it also increases the management pressure of expressways and urban roads.

1.2. Information asymmetry is the crux of the problem, and the demand for vehicle and cargo matching is huge.

Due to the small scale and large number of road freight operators, according to statistics, there are more than 7.5 million road logistics enterprises in China, and each household only has 1.5 trucks on average; However, its operation is basically in a state of "straggle", and the level of industry organization is very low. More than 90% of the transportation capacity is in the hands of individual drivers, and the industry concentration is only about 1.2%. We believe that the crux of the current situation of resource mismatch and inefficiency lies in the asymmetry of freight logistics information.

In the current freight logistics service chain, the individual car owners are at the end. Due to the low participation threshold of employees, oversupply and low organizational level, the game of these individual vehicles in freight transactions is very passive. Unless there are some structural reasons such as special time periods, special routes or special vehicle needs, the source and pricing power of most individual vehicles are often in the hands of shippers. In view of this, the vehicle-cargo matching market came into being. Under the current transportation market pattern of "more vehicles and less goods", its value lies in optimizing the resource allocation of goods and drivers in the downstream of the supply chain by virtue of the platform’s information integration ability, providing transportation capacity to shippers, providing goods to car owners and ensuring a certain freight rate, reducing the empty rate of vehicles, improving the efficiency of drivers in finding goods, and further reducing transportation costs. The high idle driving cost of truck drivers also makes the driver have a strong demand for the vehicle-cargo matching platform.

Schematic diagram of road freight service chain in China

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Data source: Internet information, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

2. China’s car and goods matching market: two major operating modes coexist.

In fact, the vehicle-cargo matching platform is de-intermediated through the online platform. Internet technology and information technology are used to improve the information retrieval ability and matching efficiency, reduce drivers’ waiting time and empty driving distance, de-intermediate and improve the full load rate. Vehicle-cargo matching platform mainly uses the advantages of "internet plus", integrates off-line vehicle sources and goods sources through the development of logistics APP, WEB or other systems, and publishes information online through APP, web or other systems and accurately matches it, thus solving the asymmetry of logistics information.

2.1, two camps gave birth to two business models.

At present, there are two main models for the online and offline differentiation of the car and goods matching market:

Offline+Online mode: Offline is laid out nationwide, service nodes are established, local transportation resources are integrated, and a controllable transportation resource network is established to form a "transportation pool", on the basis of which vehicle and cargo matching services are provided online. The core of this mode is to integrate the vehicle and cargo resources, ensure the truthfulness, effectiveness and uniform service rules of the vehicle source information on the vehicle and cargo matching platform, and carry out vehicle and cargo matching on this basis.

Representatives: Chuanhua Logistics, Ka Xing Tian Xia, Anneng Logistics, Robinson Logistics of the United States.

Pure platform mode: The earliest pure platform mode was a short and simple freight information publishing website (such as Jincheng Logistics Network and National Logistics Information Network), and then it developed into an information transmission, matching and trading platform with software as the core, connecting the online and offline, connecting the consignor and the transportation capacity, and becoming a car-free carrier.

Representatives: oTMS, Driver’s Station, Yunmanman, Luoji Logistics.

2.2. Comparison of typical case studies

Chuanhua Logistics: Online Platform+Offline Highway Port Mode

Chuanhua Logistics is actually a form of the fourth party logistics (4PL), which belongs to the online platform+offline highway port mode from the online and offline classification. Chuanhua Logistics entered the logistics industry in an all-round way from the modern logistics base in 2002, innovatively developed the "highway port" logistics platform, and established the closed-loop logistics ecology of O2O. In fact, the mode of uploading logistics is the fourth-party logistics mode, which realizes the integration of capital flow, information flow and logistics through the combination of online and offline. Offline, Chuanhua Logistics has established a national "highway port" logistics model, forming a national highway port network with 100 outlets in four major hubs. At present, it has occupied the card position advantage in key transportation hubs, and has rapidly expanded through the self-built and extended model. Online, Chuanhua has developed an Internet logistics platform with "Easy Distribution", "Barter Di" and "Yunbao Net" as its core. Through Chuanhua logistics portal+mobile phone distribution APP+ O2O truck calling platform in the same city, the freight problem between highway trunk lines and the city in the last mile has been solved. At present, Chuanhua Logistics has a revenue of over 10 billion yuan and is an invisible giant of China highway logistics.

Schematic diagram of online platform+offline highway port mode

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Data source: Internet information, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

At present, Chuanhua Logistics has formed two major business segments: highway port investment operation and supporting services and O2O logistics network platform services. In the future, when the platform of Chuanhua Logistics grows to a certain scale (the main indicators are the number of active members and the total transaction amount), more profit models will be generated. Generally speaking, the main profit sources of Chuanhua Logistics in the future can be divided into: infrastructure rental income of highway ports, commission income of various logistics transactions, membership service income and financial services based on traffic and big data. Among them, the aforementioned fourth income will constitute the main profit model under the future logistics big data economy, such as personalized insurance group purchase income based on driver membership and behavior data, and logistics scale intensive income based on the whole network supply transaction.

Schematic diagram of profit model of Chuanhua Logistics

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Source: official website, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

Card line in the world: online portal+offline joining mode

The operation mode of Card Bank is divided into two parts: offline transportation network and online portal network construction. Offline, by first establishing a regional center for goods collection and distribution, and at the same time, through the network radiation ability of this center, we will establish franchise outlets outside the park by joining to attract high-quality special line members, and finally build a nationwide logistics and transportation network. On the online side, through the construction of the portal website, we can provide a unified information system for the franchised enterprises, realize the tracking statistics, assessment and evaluation of the franchised enterprises, make the whole process of transportation services visible online, make the service settlement completed by platform members more convenient, improve the customer experience of delivery, and make the whole logistics chain run in a standardized way.

In terms of profit model, the Bank of China makes profits by charging initial fees, management fees and providing value-added services. The card bank charges a certain joining fee to the joining members. After the members join the card bank, the card bank charges management fees and system usage fees for 1% of the new business volume of the members. The profit of value-added services in the supply chain is mainly the insurance of centralized procurement and the financial services provided, including the cost of intensive distribution operation of the park platform.

Schematic diagram of online portal+offline joining mode

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Data source: Internet information, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

Anneng Logistics: Online Portal+Main Line Self-operated+Joining Mode

The mode adopted by Anneng Logistics is the mode of self-operated trunk line and regional joining: the national distribution and trunk feeder buses are directly invested by the headquarters to ensure the operational stability and sustainability of the whole system to the greatest extent. By establishing the franchise mode of terminal outlets through online portal, franchisees can apply for joining on the website, thus avoiding the investment in building national outlets, concentrating on customer service in their own regions, and minimizing the risk of individual LTL express joining entrepreneurs. At the same time, customers can directly order delivery, waybill inquiry, order inquiry, order management and other services through the portal.

Schematic diagram of online portal+offline self-operation+joining mode

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Data source: Internet information, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

At present, Anneng Logistics has established more than 130 distribution centers nationwide, with 8,000 staff and 5,000 outlets, serving 31 provinces and cities nationwide, planning more than 2,000 transportation routes and controlling more than 4,000 box trucks. It is estimated that by the end of 2015, Anneng Logistics will have more than 10,000 nationwide network points and 157 distribution centers, achieving the annual target turnover of 2.4 billion yuan and becoming the largest LTL logistics enterprise in China.

In terms of profit model, Anneng Logistics makes profits by collecting venue rent, joining fees and providing value-added services. On the one hand, by constantly eliminating unqualified networks and attracting new franchise outlets, and maintaining the gradual improvement of the quality and quantity of outlets, Anneng can provide brand support and certain source information for franchisees, and make a profit by charging franchisees a certain franchise fee. On the other hand, as the core product of Anneng Logistics, "Timing Arrival" provides customers with "safe, punctual, service and economical" road transportation services, with the service quality comparable to that of aviation and express delivery, and the price is only one third; At the same time, Anneng provides customers with services such as to pay the freight, receipt recovery, quotation claim settlement, etc., and makes profits by charging a certain value-added service fee.

OTMS: Community Platform Model

OTMS is a community-based transportation management system, which seamlessly connects the owner, the third-party logistics company, the transportation company, the driver and the final consignee from the top of the transportation chain, pays attention to the whole chain of transportation management, and forms a balanced and win-win online ecosystem based on the core process, which is equivalent to an online mirror image of its offline actual operation network. This online ecosystem will be an open community based on the credit system (real data). All community members can better manage their existing businesses and have the opportunity to find better resources or more new businesses. OTMS will not be involved in the actual operation, such as being a fourth party logistics company (4PL), and oTMS is just a community platform based on core software.

At present, there are 130 consignors in oTMS, and the consignors connect drivers through "Where are you" and "Kaka". Logistics companies use oTMS products to manage transportation orders, and the monthly orders are about one million.

Schematic diagram of community platform mode

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Data source: Internet information, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

At present, oTMS has a Saas service platform with the main version of goods, a Saas service platform with the carrier version, an APP "Kaka" used by truck drivers, and an APP "Where is it" for the consignee to monitor logistics information. The transparent information management platform of the whole process formed by the combination of PC-side service platform and mobile APP brings all relevant parties, including consignors, logistics companies, transport carriers, drivers and consignees, into a business network, realizing the unification of tools.

In terms of profit model, oTMS currently focuses on selling Saas service systems and system maintenance services, and will get involved in the logistics finance industry in the future. In the B2B logistics and transportation industry, China still has a lot of room for growth, and B2B logistics and transportation also involves the cash flow of delivery enterprises, receiving enterprises and logistics companies. The accounting period of transportation companies is about 60 days to 120 days. How to participate in it and integrate this cash flow with financial institutions is the focus of oTMS’s future development.

Yun Man Man: Mobile phone logistics information matching platform model

Yun Man Man is a mobile phone online logistics information matching platform based on mobile Internet technology, which is dedicated to providing efficient vehicle management and distribution tools for road transport logistics industry, and providing comprehensive information and transaction services for vehicle finding (distribution) and vehicle finding (consignment). Its service targets cover all types of goods and vehicles, meet the needs of logistics companies, information departments and small and medium-sized enterprises for long-distance road vehicle transportation, and at the same time improve the distribution efficiency of car owners and reduce the empty return rate; Improve the efficiency of cargo owners in finding cars and improve the operational efficiency of the overall logistics industry.

At present, Yunmanman has branches and offices in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Anhui, Henan, Shandong, Fujian and other provinces, and plans to open more information on vehicle sources and goods sources and lay out the national road transport information network, so as to promote the road transport industry in China to enter an era of mobile Internet with high efficiency and low altitude.

Schematic diagram of mobile phone logistics information matching platform mode

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Data source: Internet information, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

Through the "Yun Man Man" mobile APP, the owner can publish the information of goods supply and price comparison, and at the same time, he can also find the source of the car himself. With the permission of the driver, the driver can be located and managed to quickly understand the supply dynamics. The owner can search for the source of goods independently, compare the sources of goods, and contact the owner directly by telephone after finding satisfactory information. Car owners can also take the initiative to release empty car information and wait for the owner to come to the door. And logistics companies can also publish the information of goods supply and their own logistics lines, find the goods supply while knowing the freight price of vehicles in time, and further expand the online goods collection business.

At present, Yunman is not profitable. After building the whole ecosystem and attracting enough user traffic, Yunman can collect enough information, establish a credit system through big data, further improve payment and financial value-added services, and make profits through capital precipitation and value-added services.

Luoji Logistics: Online Logistics Information Matching Platform Model

The Luoji logistics platform is similar to the mode of "Yun Man Man", and it is also an online logistics information matching platform. It uses data mining technology, search matching technology and mobile Internet of Things technology to provide drivers and shippers with free information on the source of goods and vehicles, and carries out multi-dimensional matching between goods and car owners, in addition to distance matching based on geographical location, there are also multi-dimensional matching such as route, time and load capacity. Luoji logistics platform realizes de-intermediation through the mobile Internet, which reduces logistics costs, the empty rate of trucks and improves the overall logistics efficiency. With the more registered users of platform owners and cargo owners, the success rate of vehicle-cargo matching will be higher and higher. By the end of 2015, the number of users on the Luoji platform will reach 4 million, including 3 million drivers and 1 million shippers.

Luoji logistics platform can solve the two problems of truck drivers and suppliers: first, quickly and effectively integrate the supply and capacity, and reduce the owner’s empty driving rate; The second is to make the freight market more orderly and smarter. At present, Luoji Logistics APP is divided into four versions: Luoji Looking for Goods (Driver Edition), Luoji Looking for Cars (Shipper Edition) and Luoji City (Delivery/Driver End).

Schematic diagram of Logitech logistics information matching platform model

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Data source: Internet information, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

Logitech has launched two different softwares for shippers and car owners, "Logitech Find Cars" and "Logitech Find Goods". The truck driver opens the "Luo Ji Looking for Goods" and clicks the "List of Goods" to see the geographical location, goods type, weight, delivery time and vehicle demand of the goods, and the owner will dock the consignor as required. The barter between Luoji City and Chuanhua Logistics is similar, which mainly solves the transportation demand of the last kilometer and the first kilometer in the same city.

Similar to Yun Man Man, Logitech is not profitable at present, and its main task is to promote users. After the platform is formed, it collects huge data to realize its traffic value. For example, there can be derivative insurance services, refueling services, auto repair services, etc. on the platform, which are all potential value-added spaces. On the other hand, Luoji will consider further extending its business to the financial leasing of vehicles and supply chain finance of logistics companies.

3. International experience: Enlightenment from the development of American freight logistics industry.

3.1. Overview of American road freight industry: Truck transportation is the main mode of transportation.

Truck transportation in the United States is extremely developed and is the main mode of transportation in the United States. In 2011, transportation market scale in the United States was about 770 billion US dollars, of which truck transportation market scale exceeded 600 billion US dollars, accounting for about 80%. The volume of transportation and the value of goods delivered account for 70% of the total. The turnover of goods is second only to railway transportation, with an average annual growth rate of 2.5%, which is much higher than the overall growth rate of 0.8%, making it the fastest-growing sector.

The trucking market accounts for about 80% of transportation market scale.

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Source: DOT, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

At present, there are nearly 100,000 transportation enterprises in the United States with more than 1.3 million employees, of which more than 90% have fewer than 20 employees, and there are only more than 600 transportation enterprises with a scale of more than 500 employees, accounting for less than 1%. The fleet size is generally small, and more than 50% of the transportation enterprises are Owner-Operator, that is, there is only one truck, and only 6.3% of the enterprises have more than 100 trucks. This is similar to the main business situation of China freight market at present.

Number of employees in American transportation enterprises

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Fleet size of American transportation enterprises

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Source: US Department of Commerce (DOC), Industrial Securities Research Institute.

American trucking carriers are divided into non-public carriers and public carriers. Non-public carrier (In-Housefleet) means that production and retail enterprises own transport vehicles and operate them to meet their own transport needs, and generally do not provide transport services to the outside world. PublicCarriers are engaged in commercial transportation, and for the purpose of making profits, they are entrusted by the owner to provide transportation services and get paid.

American trucking market participants

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Source: Industrial Securities Research Institute

According to the mode of transportation, public carriers can be divided into vehicle transport enterprises, LTL transport enterprises and road freight forwarders. The first two are truck companies based on heavy asset fleets, represented by YRCW and FedexFreight; The other is the road freight forwarder represented by Robinson Global Logistics. Many individual carriers provide transportation services for customers through the sales end of road freight forwarders or by joining large truck companies.

It can be seen that the developed infrastructure and high degree of intensification are the two major reasons for the high efficiency of highway logistics in the United States.

3.2, no car is better than a car, the inspiration of Robinson case: the ability to integrate information and resources is the core.

Robinson Logistics, founded in 1905, is the largest fourth party logistics company in the United States. The company is the representative of American car-free carriers. It doesn’t own trucks, but serves large shippers through the integration of many small and medium-sized fleets. Relying on value-oriented value-added services, exquisite business operations and advanced information systems, it has integrated 63,000 carriers and 46,000 shippers. In 2014, its operating income reached 13.471 billion US dollars, of which 80% came from road freight. At present, Robinson Logistics has become the first truck transportation company in the United States, basically monopolizing most of the road transportation resources in the United States, ranking seventh in global freight transportation; There are more than 218 branches in the world, of which the United States accounts for 158.

Robinson car-free transport mode

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Source: Industrial Securities Research Institute

Robinson takes a completely light asset route. Instead of investing money in buying trucks and building logistics real estate, Robinson invests capital in the field of information technology, establishes TMS and Navisphere information platforms, and controls the transportation capacity through the information platform and remotely signs a cooperative enterprise logistics warehouse. By setting up technology-led outlets and branches offline, the online information platform will be connected with the needs and information of customers in offline areas. As a light asset enterprise, its human expenditure has also been greatly reduced. In 2014, Robinson only had 11,000 employees. Debon Logistics in China has more than 30,000 employees.

Robinson’s light asset operation mode and mature management mode make it have strong growth. Since the company went public in 1997, the average annual growth rate of main business income is 12.6%, while the average annual growth rate of net profit reaches 17.8%. In most years, the company’s net profit growth rate is higher than the income growth rate, and the company’s performance has the potential for sustained growth. Therefore, the development of the company does not need to be based on asset expansion, but by integrating local transportation resources, exporting technology and management, and opening up new customer markets, it will bring profits and long-term growth to the company.

The compound growth rate of the company’s net profit is higher than the income growth rate.

Research on the depth of vehicle-cargo matching: how to integrate the scattered arteries

Source: Bloomberg, Industrial Securities Research Institute.

As the world’s largest fourth-party logistics company, Robinson’s revenue mainly comes from providing transportation and logistics services to suppliers, consulting services and payment services to customers. Robinson builds his value-added service system, such as supply chain analysis, transportation optimization, carrier management, big data services and business intelligence, and meets the needs of shippers and carriers through these high value-added solutions. Robinson does not charge the franchisees on the platform the joining fee, but charges the corresponding service fee through the solutions for different customers.

4. Future Outlook: The Ultimate Version of Car-Goods Matching?

4.1 What are the pain points of car-cargo matching?

The large-scale success of taxi-hailing software has made various funds intensively lay out the platform for car-cargo matching in the logistics industry, hoping to create a "drip taxi version of freight". According to incomplete statistics, more than 200 car-cargo matching APP taxi-hailing applications have been produced in one year, but there are few successful cases. Most car-cargo matching software has been criticized for relying on subsidies, untrue freight information and complicated transaction processes. Judging from the current situation, the reasons for the slow development of vehicle-cargo matching software are as follows:

1. Supply and demand information is difficult to standardize.

The information of the supply and demand sides in the taxi industry is very standard: cars are all cars with similar shapes, and the demand is the displacement of people, so it is very easy for the supply and demand sides to meet each other through the Internet.

However, when it comes to freight, the situation is much more complicated. Cars are different in length, load and power, and goods are also different in size and physical and chemical properties, which makes online matching much more complicated. Even if the information can be roughly matched, some personalized needs must be met and discussed (an interesting case: a consignor has a batch of fresh fruits to be transported, and a truck with the required load and size is found through the car-goods matching app, so that the driver can drive the car to the designated place. As a result, the consignor immediately cancels the intention because the truck has just been transported. Therefore, we see that many apps now only stay in the step of publishing information, and it is difficult to reach a trading intention without meeting.

2. Lack of integrity certification system

Road freight is a mixed market, and the general quality of employees is not high. It is difficult for many vehicle-cargo matching platforms to grasp the capital flow of freight transactions, because the proportion of logistics freight to the value of goods is still relatively low, and people are more accustomed to the traditional mode of paying with one hand and delivering with one hand.

3. Vehicles tend to have a stable supply of goods, and shippers prefer a stable transportation capacity, which makes it difficult for existing software to get involved in the mainstream market.

The capacity of individual trucks of about 14 million in China has seriously exceeded the demand for relatively scarce goods. At present, the trend of highway logistics is that vehicles tend to cooperate for a long time to ensure their high operating costs, so more and more individual vehicles are linked to the fleet; Shippers also tend to find long-term transportation capacity to ensure the stability of their logistics operation. And this long-term cooperative relationship has been established slowly, so the car-goods matching software has actually intervened in a relatively marginal market. Because of this, we will see more false information on the software, because the scarce real demand has already been spontaneously matched offline.

4.2 What mode does road freight need?

At the beginning of the report, we mentioned that the reason for the low efficiency of road freight transportation is information asymmetry. Therefore, the ideal state is that the waste of resources is zero: as soon as the goods leave the factory, there is a truck waiting at the door; And the truck will never be empty or stop for nothing, it will always go from A to B to C to D …, and it will be fully loaded in the process. In this ideal state, there will be no intermediary matchmaker and resources will match spontaneously. This is the ultimate mode of road freight.

However, under the condition that the current technology has not reached the above level, offline matching platforms such as distribution stations, highways and logistics parks will exist for a long time. The reason is that it is difficult to standardize the freight supply and demand information we mentioned earlier, and the matching platform must have physical entities that enable both parties to meet. This makes these offline matching platforms naturally have the ability to gather people and traffic, and only when they carry out technological innovation and model innovation with real matching scenes can they promote the transformation and development of the road freight industry. Just like our comment on the highway port: "The construction of the highway port is to eliminate the highway port in the future".

4.3 Investment strategy

According to our judgment, the highway logistics industry will have offline matching platforms such as distribution stations, highways and logistics parks for a long time, and they have the strongest ability to gather traffic and people in scattered industries. That is to say, they have a strong premium ability to shippers and car owners. As long as these offline entities try to continue to cut into the deeper value-added and financial needs of shippers and car owners, the profit model will continue to innovate.

In view of the fact that there are regional offline matching entities all over the country, we suggest paying attention to Chuanhua, which can take the lead in arranging and integrating the resources of logistics parks nationwide to form a highway and port network.

For details of Chuanhua shares, please refer to our in-depth report "Chuanhua Logistics-China Highway Integrators Reloaded into Battle" on July 3 this year.

● Related reading:

In the era of big data, the car-goods matching logistics APP triggered a big change.

However, the combination of eggs: the matching of vehicles and goods can not solve the problem of logistics park

Note: The content of this article is reproduced from other media, please respect the copyright and keep the source, and bear all legal responsibilities. Truck House published this article for the purpose of transmitting more information, which does not mean agreeing with its views or confirming its description, nor does it mean that this website is responsible for its authenticity. If you have any questions or doubts about the content of this manuscript, please contact Truck House immediately, and this website will give you a quick response and handle it.

Opinions of China National Intellectual Property Administration Ministry of Science and Technology, Ministry of Education, on improving the quality of patents in colleges and universities and promotin

All provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government, Education Department (Education Committee), Intellectual Property Office (Intellectual Property Management Department), Science and Technology Department (Committee, Bureau), Education Bureau of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, Intellectual Property Office, Science and Technology Bureau, Education Department (Bureau) of relevant departments (units), Intellectual Property Management Agency, Science and Technology Department, and colleges and universities jointly established by the ministries and provinces:

  Since the promulgation and implementation of the Outline of National Intellectual Property Strategy, the level of creation, application and management of intellectual property rights in colleges and universities has been continuously improved, and the number of patent applications and authorizations has been greatly improved. However, compared with foreign high-level universities, there are still some problems in Chinese university patents, such as "emphasizing quantity over quality" and "emphasizing application over implementation". In order to comprehensively improve the quality of university patents, strengthen the creation, application and management of high-value patents, and give full play to the important role of universities in serving economic and social development, the following opinions are put forward.

  I. General requirements

  (A) the guiding ideology

  Guided by the Supreme Leader’s Socialism with Chinese characteristics Thought in the New Era, we will fully implement the spirit of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the Second, Third and Fourth Plenary Sessions of the 19th National Congress, implement the deployment of the National Education Conference, adhere to the new development concept, closely follow the main line of high-quality development, thoroughly implement the innovation-driven development strategy and the strategy of strengthening the country with intellectual property rights, comprehensively improve the quality of patent creation, utilization efficiency, management level and service ability of colleges and universities, promote new progress in scientific and technological innovation and discipline construction, and support the construction of a strong country with education, science and technology and intellectual property rights.

  (2) Basic principles

  Adhere to quality first. Firmly grasp the requirements of high-quality development of intellectual property rights, adhere to quality priority, identify the breakthrough, enhance pertinence, and always run high-quality through the whole process of intellectual property creation, management and application in colleges and universities.

  Highlight the transformation orientation. We should establish the idea that innovation value can only be realized by transforming scientific and technological achievements such as patents in colleges and universities, and that non-transformation is the biggest loss, and highlight the orientation of transformation and application, which will force the optimization and promotion of intellectual property management in colleges and universities.

  Strengthen policy guidance. Give play to the important role of policies such as financial aid, evaluation and evaluation in promoting reform and guiding work, and establish and constantly improve various policies and measures that are conducive to improving patent quality and strengthening transformation and application.

  (III) Main objectives

  By 2022, the whole process management system of intellectual property rights in colleges and universities covering patent navigation and layout, patent application and maintenance, patent transformation and application will be more perfect, and it will be organically integrated with the scientific and technological innovation system of colleges and universities and the transfer and transformation system of scientific and technological achievements. By 2025, the patent quality of colleges and universities will be significantly improved, and the patent operation ability will be significantly enhanced. The patent authorization rate and implementation rate of some colleges and universities will reach the level of world-class universities.

  Second, the key tasks

  (A) improve the intellectual property management system

  1. Improve the overall coordination mechanism of intellectual property rights. Colleges and universities should set up a leading group for the management and operation of intellectual property rights or a leading group for the transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements, coordinate scientific research, intellectual property rights, state-owned assets, personnel, transfer and transformation of achievements, libraries and other relevant institutions, actively implement the "Regulations on the Management of Intellectual Property Rights in Colleges and Universities" (GB/T 33251-2016), and form an overall coordination mechanism integrating scientific and technological innovation with intellectual property rights management and transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements. Colleges and universities that have set up leading groups for the transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements should bring intellectual property management into the scope of responsibilities of the leading groups.

  2. Establish and improve the intellectual property management process of major projects. Colleges and universities should embody intellectual property management in all aspects of project selection, project establishment, implementation, conclusion, achievement transfer and transformation. Explore and establish a sound patent navigation mechanism around major national scientific research projects such as major scientific and technological innovation 2030 projects and key R&D plans. Before the project is established, patent information and literature information are analyzed, intellectual property risk assessment is carried out, the research technology route is determined, and the starting point of research and development is improved; During the implementation of the project, track the work trends in the research field of the project, adjust the research direction and technical route in a timely manner, evaluate the research results in a timely manner and form intellectual property rights; Before the acceptance of the project, we should take the transformation and application as the guide, do a good job in patent layout and technical secret protection, and form a list of intellectual property rights of the project results; After the completion of the project, strengthen the implementation of patent application and promote the transfer and transformation of achievements. Encourage colleges and universities to strengthen the layout of intellectual property rights in strategic emerging industries and related industries in major national economic fields around advantageous and characteristic disciplines, and strengthen the application for international patents.

  3. Gradually establish the disclosure system of post scientific and technological achievements. Colleges and universities should strengthen the management and service of scientific and technological innovations from the source, and gradually establish and improve the disclosure system of post scientific and technological achievements. Scientific researchers should actively and timely disclose their post-related scientific and technological achievements to their universities. Colleges and universities should improve the legal risk awareness of scientific researchers engaged in innovation and entrepreneurship, guide scientific researchers to carry out scientific and technological achievements transfer and transformation activities according to law, and effectively protect the legitimate rights and interests of colleges and universities. Without the permission of the unit, no one may use the scientific and technological achievements of his position to engage in the establishment of enterprises and other acts. The disclosure of scientific and technological achievements in classified positions should strictly abide by the relevant provisions on confidentiality.

  (two) to carry out pre-application evaluation of patent.

  4. Establish a pre-application patent evaluation system. Conditional colleges and universities should speed up the establishment of pre-patent application evaluation system, clarify the evaluation institutions and processes, cost sharing and incentives, and evaluate the technology to be patented, so as to decide whether to apply for a patent and effectively improve the quality of patent application. The evaluation work can be carried out by the intellectual property management department (technology transfer department) of our school or by the entrusted market-oriented institutions. For the post-service scientific and technological achievements that the evaluation institution considers unsuitable to apply for a patent after evaluation, and the losses caused to the university due to the abandonment of patent application, if the relevant responsible person has fulfilled the obligation of diligence and did not seek illegal interests, he may be exempted from the decision-making responsibility of giving up patent application according to the law and regulations. For the job-related scientific and technological achievements formed by projects entrusted by enterprises and other social organizations, the parties involved in the contract are allowed to decide independently whether to apply for patents.

  5. Clear ownership of property rights and cost sharing. Colleges and universities are allowed to explore the ownership reform of service inventions, and give full play to the role of property rights incentives and cost sharing in accordance with the principle of equal rights and obligations to promote the quality of patents. Inventors may not use financial funds to pay patent fees.

  After the patent application evaluation, inventors are encouraged to bear the patent fees for the post-service scientific and technological achievements that universities decide to apply for patents. If the university divides the ownership with the inventor, the inventor shall bear the patent fee in proportion to the property right. If the ownership is not divided, it is necessary to clarify the patent cost sharing and income distribution; If colleges and universities bear all the patent fees, the income from patent transformation will be distributed according to the established proportion after deducting the patent fees and other costs; If the inventor bears part or all of the patent fees, the patent fees and other costs shall be deducted from the income obtained from patent transformation, and the patent fees borne by the inventor shall be deducted twice and returned to the inventor, and then distributed according to the established proportion.

  After the patent application evaluation, the university should conclude a written contract with the inventor to transfer the patent application right or patent right in accordance with legal procedures, and allow the inventor to apply for a patent on his own. After authorization, the patent right belongs to the inventor, and the patent expenses are borne by the inventor. After deducting the patent application and operation and maintenance expenses, the inventor will pay the income to the university according to the agreed proportion.

  (3) Strengthen the construction of specialized institutions and talent teams

  6. Strengthen technology transfer and the construction of intellectual property operating institutions. Support qualified universities to establish specialized institutions integrating technology transfer and intellectual property management and operation, and guarantee personnel, venues and funds. Through the platform and pilot demonstration construction such as "National Intellectual Property Pilot Demonstration University", "University Scientific and Technological Achievements Transformation and Technology Transfer Base" and "University National Intellectual Property Information Service Center", we will promote the construction of technology transfer and intellectual property management and operation system, and continuously improve the transformation ability of scientific and technological achievements in universities. Encourage colleges and universities to explore the market-oriented operation mechanism and fully mobilize the enthusiasm of professional institutions and talents.

  Support the construction of market-oriented intellectual property operating institutions and provide professional services such as intellectual property, legal consultation, achievement evaluation and project financing for universities. Encourage colleges and universities to cooperate with third-party intellectual property operation service platforms or institutions, and give intermediary service fees to third-party professional institutions from the proceeds from the transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements. Encourage the combination of universities and localities, and set up industrial intellectual property operation centers around the industrial planning and layout of various localities and the academic advantages of universities.

  7. Accelerate the construction of professional talents. Support colleges and universities to set up courses related to technology transfer and intellectual property operation, strengthen the construction of intellectual property related majors and disciplines, create a professional talent team of intellectual property management and technology transfer by combining introduction and education, and promote the construction of professional talent team. Encourage colleges and universities to set up expert committees on the transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements, and introduce technical managers to participate in the whole process of the transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements in colleges and universities, such as invention disclosure, value evaluation, patent application and maintenance, technology promotion and docking negotiation, so as to promote the application of patent transformation.

  8. Establish an intellectual property management and operation fund. Support colleges and universities to raise funds to set up intellectual property management and operation funds through school grants, local awards, and the proceeds from the transfer of scientific and technological achievements, so as to entrust third-party professional institutions to carry out intellectual property management and operation such as patent navigation, patent layout and patent operation, as well as the construction of technology transfer professional institutions and talent teams, so as to form a good cycle of transformation benefits and promotion of transformation.

  (D) Optimize the policy system

  9. Improve the talent evaluation and employment system. Colleges and universities should be guided by quality and transformation performance, pay more attention to indicators such as patent quality and transformation application, and resolutely put an end to simply taking the amount of patent application and authorization as the assessment content and increase the weight of patent transformation application performance in policies such as title promotion, performance appraisal, post appointment, project completion, talent evaluation and scholarship evaluation. Support colleges and universities to independently set up a series of technical and management posts for technology transfer and transformation according to the relevant regulations on post setting management, and encourage researchers and managers to engage in the transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements.

  10. Optimize the incentive policy for patent funding. Colleges and universities should take optimizing patent quality and promoting the transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements as the guide, stop funding and rewarding patent applications, greatly reduce and gradually cancel the rewards for patent authorization, and reward inventors or teams by increasing the proportion of transformation income and other "post-subsidy" methods.

  Third, organize the implementation

  (1) Improve the working mechanism. The Ministry of Education, China National Intellectual Property Administration and the Ministry of Science and Technology shall establish a regular communication mechanism to study the patent application, authorization and transformation in colleges and universities in a timely manner. Colleges and universities should deeply understand the importance of further improving patent quality, adhere to quality first, actively promote the patent quality improvement work to be included in the important agenda, further improve the level of intellectual property work, and promote the creation and application of intellectual property rights. Other types of intellectual property management can be implemented with reference to this opinion.

  (2) Strengthen policy guidance. The transfer and transformation performance of scientific and technological achievements, such as patent transformation, is regarded as an important indicator of dynamic monitoring, effectiveness evaluation and discipline evaluation of the construction of first-class universities and first-class disciplines. It is not only to assess the number of patents, but also to highlight the transformation and application. Select a number of universities to carry out professional intellectual property operation or technology transfer personnel training, and constantly improve the intellectual property operation and technology transfer capabilities of universities. China National Intellectual Property Administration strengthens the examination of patent applications and strictly controls the quality of patents. Oppose the publication and resolutely resist the ranking of patent applications and authorizations in colleges and universities.

  (three) the implementation of record monitoring. Before the end of March each year, colleges and universities will record the patents that have been transformed and implemented in the form of license, transfer, price share or joint ownership with enterprises through the China National Intellectual Property Administration system. According to the filing situation, the Ministry of Education and China National Intellectual Property Administration publish the implementation of patent transformation in colleges and universities every year, and monitor the patent transactions. According to "Several Provisions on Standardizing Patent Application Behavior" (China National Intellectual Property Administration Decree No.75, 2017), abnormal patent applications in colleges and universities are monitored every quarter. For colleges and universities with more than 5 abnormal patent applications per quarter or with abnormal patent applications accounting for more than 5% of the total patent applications this year, China National Intellectual Property Administration will cancel its qualification to declare the China Patent Award next year.

  (4) Innovative licensing model. Encourage colleges and universities to carry out patent implementation transformation by means of ordinary license, and improve the transformation efficiency. Support the innovation licensing model of colleges and universities, and patents that have been granted the patent right for three years and have not been implemented without justifiable reasons can determine the relevant licensing conditions, publish them through the relevant platform of national intellectual property operation, and open the license to the society within a certain period of time.

Ministry of Education China National Intellectual Property Administration Ministry of Science and Technology

February 3, 2020